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UST vs. FBND
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

UST vs. FBND - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Fidelity Total Bond ETF (FBND). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -2.66% return, which is significantly lower than FBND's 0.70% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has underperformed FBND with an annualized return of -2.25%, while FBND has yielded a comparatively higher 2.54% annualized return.


UST

1D
-0.42%
1M
-0.04%
YTD
-2.66%
6M
-2.37%
1Y
2.47%
3Y*
0.27%
5Y*
-6.96%
10Y*
-2.25%

FBND

1D
-0.13%
1M
0.43%
YTD
0.70%
6M
1.04%
1Y
4.85%
3Y*
4.89%
5Y*
0.76%
10Y*
2.54%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UST vs. FBND - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
-2.66%10.26%-6.19%0.16%-30.19%-7.81%18.83%13.34%-1.09%3.21%
FBND
Fidelity Total Bond ETF
0.70%7.57%2.13%6.81%-12.54%-0.43%9.41%9.82%-0.57%3.52%

Correlation

The correlation between UST and FBND is 0.97 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.97

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.94

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.91

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.84

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 9, 2014

0.80

The correlation between UST and FBND shifts across timeframes, from 0.80 (all time) to 0.97 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

UST vs. FBND - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
UST
FBND

Financial Services

96.7%
0.2%

Basic Materials

-

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

1.1%

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

71.4%

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

-

Utilities

-

27.5%

Financial Services

UST
96.7%
FBND
0.2%

Basic Materials

UST

-

FBND

-

Communication Services

UST

-

FBND

-

Consumer Cyclical

UST

-

FBND

-

Consumer Defensive

UST

-

FBND

-

Energy

UST

-

FBND
1.1%

Healthcare

UST

-

FBND

-

Industrials

UST

-

FBND
71.4%

Real Estate

UST

-

FBND

-

Technology

UST

-

FBND

-

Utilities

UST

-

FBND
27.5%

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Return for Risk

UST vs. FBND — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UST
UST Risk / Return Rank: 1313
Overall Rank
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1414
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 1313
Sortino Ratio Rank
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 1212
Omega Ratio Rank
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 1313
Martin Ratio Rank

FBND
FBND Risk / Return Rank: 4040
Overall Rank
FBND Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4141
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FBND Sortino Ratio Rank: 4242
Sortino Ratio Rank
FBND Omega Ratio Rank: 3838
Omega Ratio Rank
FBND Calmar Ratio Rank: 4141
Calmar Ratio Rank
FBND Martin Ratio Rank: 3838
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UST vs. FBND - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Fidelity Total Bond ETF (FBND). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


USTFBNDDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.01

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.45

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

1.22

-0.17

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.28

1.83

-1.54

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.77

5.32

-4.56

UST vs. FBND - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UST Sharpe Ratio is 0.27, which is lower than the FBND Sharpe Ratio of 1.27. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UST and FBND, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

UST vs. FBND - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, which is greater than FBND's maximum drawdown of -17.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and FBND.


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Drawdown Indicators


USTFBNDDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-47.99%

-17.25%

-30.74%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.75%

-2.66%

-6.09%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-16.74%

-5.94%

-10.80%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-43.97%

-17.25%

-26.72%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-47.99%

-17.25%

-30.74%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-38.19%

-1.23%

-36.96%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-15.16%

-3.34%

-11.82%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.22%

0.91%

+2.31%

Volatility

UST vs. FBND - Volatility Comparison

ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) has a higher volatility of 3.25% compared to Fidelity Total Bond ETF (FBND) at 1.35%. This indicates that UST's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than FBND based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


USTFBNDDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.25%

1.35%

+1.90%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.75%

2.81%

+3.94%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

9.35%

3.83%

+5.52%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

15.47%

5.92%

+9.55%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.18%

6.10%

+7.08%

UST vs. FBND - Expense Ratio Comparison

UST has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than FBND's 0.36% expense ratio.


Dividends

UST vs. FBND - Dividend Comparison

UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.48%, less than FBND's 4.69% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
FBND
Fidelity Total Bond ETF
4.69%4.70%4.73%4.26%3.07%1.86%4.25%2.90%2.93%2.56%2.84%3.26%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
3.48%3.65%4.09%3.49%0.47%0.27%0.53%1.42%1.71%0.84%0.64%0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.97, UST and FBND move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

UST has higher volatility (3.25%) compared to FBND (1.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs FBND's -17.25%.

On 10-year performance, FBND leads with 2.54% vs -2.25% for UST. On fees, FBND is cheaper at 0.36% per year. On volatility, FBND has been the lower-risk option at 1.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, FBND has performed better with a 2.54% return vs -2.25%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

FBND is cheaper with a 0.36% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UST.

FBND has the higher dividend yield at 4.69%, compared with 3.48% for UST.

UST is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while FBND is Intermediate Core-Plus Bond. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Fidelity. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UST and 0.36% for FBND.

FBND currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.27 vs 0.27), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for UST and FBND

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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