UST vs. FBND
UST (ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury) and FBND (Fidelity Total Bond ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - UST is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while FBND is a Intermediate Core-Plus Bond fund actively managed by Fidelity. UST is passively managed, while FBND is actively managed. Over the past 10 years, UST returned -2.25%/yr vs 2.54%/yr for FBND. A 0.80 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. UST charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.36%/yr for FBND.
Performance
UST vs. FBND - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -2.66% return, which is significantly lower than FBND's 0.70% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has underperformed FBND with an annualized return of -2.25%, while FBND has yielded a comparatively higher 2.54% annualized return.
UST
- 1D
- -0.42%
- 1M
- -0.04%
- YTD
- -2.66%
- 6M
- -2.37%
- 1Y
- 2.47%
- 3Y*
- 0.27%
- 5Y*
- -6.96%
- 10Y*
- -2.25%
FBND
- 1D
- -0.13%
- 1M
- 0.43%
- YTD
- 0.70%
- 6M
- 1.04%
- 1Y
- 4.85%
- 3Y*
- 4.89%
- 5Y*
- 0.76%
- 10Y*
- 2.54%
UST vs. FBND - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | -2.66% | 10.26% | -6.19% | 0.16% | -30.19% | -7.81% | 18.83% | 13.34% | -1.09% | 3.21% |
FBND Fidelity Total Bond ETF | 0.70% | 7.57% | 2.13% | 6.81% | -12.54% | -0.43% | 9.41% | 9.82% | -0.57% | 3.52% |
Correlation
The correlation between UST and FBND is 0.97 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.97 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.91 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.84 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 9, 2014 | 0.80 |
The correlation between UST and FBND shifts across timeframes, from 0.80 (all time) to 0.97 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
UST vs. FBND - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UST
FBND
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
UST
FBND
Basic Materials
UST
-
FBND
-
Communication Services
UST
-
FBND
-
Consumer Cyclical
UST
-
FBND
-
Consumer Defensive
UST
-
FBND
-
Energy
UST
-
FBND
Healthcare
UST
-
FBND
-
Industrials
UST
-
FBND
Real Estate
UST
-
FBND
-
Technology
UST
-
FBND
-
Utilities
UST
-
FBND
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Return for Risk
UST vs. FBND — Risk / Return Rank
UST
FBND
UST vs. FBND - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Fidelity Total Bond ETF (FBND). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| UST | FBND | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.01 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.45 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.05 | 1.22 | -0.17 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.28 | 1.83 | -1.54 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.77 | 5.32 | -4.56 |
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Drawdowns
UST vs. FBND - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, which is greater than FBND's maximum drawdown of -17.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and FBND.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UST | FBND | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -47.99% | -17.25% | -30.74% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.75% | -2.66% | -6.09% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -16.74% | -5.94% | -10.80% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -43.97% | -17.25% | -26.72% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -47.99% | -17.25% | -30.74% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -38.19% | -1.23% | -36.96% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.16% | -3.34% | -11.82% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.22% | 0.91% | +2.31% |
Volatility
UST vs. FBND - Volatility Comparison
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) has a higher volatility of 3.25% compared to Fidelity Total Bond ETF (FBND) at 1.35%. This indicates that UST's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than FBND based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UST | FBND | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.25% | 1.35% | +1.90% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.75% | 2.81% | +3.94% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.35% | 3.83% | +5.52% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 15.47% | 5.92% | +9.55% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 13.18% | 6.10% | +7.08% |
UST vs. FBND - Expense Ratio Comparison
UST has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than FBND's 0.36% expense ratio.
Dividends
UST vs. FBND - Dividend Comparison
UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.48%, less than FBND's 4.69% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FBND Fidelity Total Bond ETF | 4.69% | 4.70% | 4.73% | 4.26% | 3.07% | 1.86% | 4.25% | 2.90% | 2.93% | 2.56% | 2.84% | 3.26% |
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | 3.48% | 3.65% | 4.09% | 3.49% | 0.47% | 0.27% | 0.53% | 1.42% | 1.71% | 0.84% | 0.64% | 0.75% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.97, UST and FBND move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
UST has higher volatility (3.25%) compared to FBND (1.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs FBND's -17.25%.
On 10-year performance, FBND leads with 2.54% vs -2.25% for UST. On fees, FBND is cheaper at 0.36% per year. On volatility, FBND has been the lower-risk option at 1.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, FBND has performed better with a 2.54% return vs -2.25%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
FBND is cheaper with a 0.36% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UST.
FBND has the higher dividend yield at 4.69%, compared with 3.48% for UST.
UST is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while FBND is Intermediate Core-Plus Bond. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Fidelity. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UST and 0.36% for FBND.
FBND currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.27 vs 0.27), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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