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UST vs. EDV
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

UST vs. EDV - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (EDV). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -2.88% return, which is significantly lower than EDV's -0.72% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has outperformed EDV with an annualized return of -2.13%, while EDV has yielded a comparatively lower -3.32% annualized return.


UST

1D
-0.56%
1M
-0.51%
YTD
-2.88%
6M
-4.24%
1Y
3.81%
3Y*
-0.51%
5Y*
-6.75%
10Y*
-2.13%

EDV

1D
-0.48%
1M
1.42%
YTD
-0.72%
6M
-3.69%
1Y
4.85%
3Y*
-5.25%
5Y*
-10.02%
10Y*
-3.32%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UST vs. EDV - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
-2.88%10.26%-6.19%0.16%-30.19%-7.81%18.83%13.34%-1.09%3.21%
EDV
Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF
-0.72%0.65%-12.78%1.65%-39.15%-6.19%23.59%18.67%-3.40%13.94%

Correlation

The correlation between UST and EDV is 0.87, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.87

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.88

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.87

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.88

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 3, 2010

0.87

The correlation between UST and EDV has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.87 to 0.88 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

UST vs. EDV — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UST
UST Risk / Return Rank: 1414
Overall Rank
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1515
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 1313
Sortino Ratio Rank
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 1313
Omega Ratio Rank
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank

EDV
EDV Risk / Return Rank: 1313
Overall Rank
EDV Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1313
Sharpe Ratio Rank
EDV Sortino Ratio Rank: 1313
Sortino Ratio Rank
EDV Omega Ratio Rank: 1212
Omega Ratio Rank
EDV Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
EDV Martin Ratio Rank: 1313
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UST vs. EDV - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (EDV). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


USTEDVDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.07

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.06

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.07

1.06

+0.01

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.44

0.39

+0.05

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.26

0.90

+0.36

UST vs. EDV - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UST Sharpe Ratio is 0.40, which is comparable to the EDV Sharpe Ratio of 0.33. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UST and EDV, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


USTEDVDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.40

0.33

+0.07

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.44

-0.47

+0.03

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.16

-0.17

+0.01

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.19

0.12

+0.07

Drawdowns

UST vs. EDV - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, smaller than the maximum EDV drawdown of -59.96%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and EDV.


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Drawdown Indicators


USTEDVDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-47.99%

-59.96%

+11.97%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.75%

-12.54%

+3.79%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-16.87%

-26.99%

+10.12%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-43.97%

-55.03%

+11.06%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-47.99%

-59.96%

+11.97%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-38.33%

-54.45%

+16.12%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-15.13%

-23.43%

+8.30%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.03%

5.38%

-2.35%

Volatility

UST vs. EDV - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) is 3.10%, while Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (EDV) has a volatility of 4.06%. This indicates that UST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than EDV based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


USTEDVDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.10%

4.06%

-0.96%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.58%

9.65%

-3.07%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

9.50%

14.64%

-5.14%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

15.47%

21.63%

-6.16%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.18%

19.81%

-6.63%

UST vs. EDV - Expense Ratio Comparison

UST has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than EDV's 0.05% expense ratio.


Dividends

UST vs. EDV - Dividend Comparison

UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.49%, less than EDV's 4.99% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
EDV
Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF
4.99%4.94%4.65%3.81%3.28%1.95%5.54%3.51%2.90%2.92%5.32%4.24%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
3.49%3.65%4.09%3.49%0.47%0.27%0.53%1.42%1.71%0.84%0.64%0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions


UST and EDV have a correlation of 0.87, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

EDV has higher volatility (4.06%) compared to UST (3.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs EDV's -59.96%.

On 10-year performance, UST leads with -2.13% vs -3.32% for EDV. On fees, EDV is cheaper at 0.05% per year. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, UST has performed better with a -2.13% return vs -3.32%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

EDV is cheaper with a 0.05% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UST.

EDV has the higher dividend yield at 4.99%, compared with 3.49% for UST.

UST is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while EDV is Government Bonds. UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while EDV tracks Bloomberg U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20-30 Year Equal Par Bond Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Vanguard. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UST and 0.05% for EDV.

UST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.40 vs 0.33), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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