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USML vs. UGE
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

USML vs. UGE - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN (USML) and ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, USML achieves a 1.74% return, which is significantly lower than UGE's 18.88% return.


USML

1D
0.67%
1M
2.24%
YTD
1.74%
6M
1.57%
1Y
3.61%
3Y*
15.23%
5Y*
7.54%
10Y*

UGE

1D
1.08%
1M
1.65%
YTD
18.88%
6M
15.24%
1Y
9.47%
3Y*
7.90%
5Y*
-1.08%
10Y*
8.80%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

USML vs. UGE - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024202320222021
USML
ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN
1.74%9.33%23.97%11.37%-22.87%42.12%
UGE
ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods
18.88%-5.21%16.40%2.38%-46.78%35.36%

Correlation

The correlation between USML and UGE is 0.46, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.46

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.61

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.68

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 5, 2021

0.68

Over the past year, the correlation between USML and UGE has dropped to 0.46 - well below their long-term average of 0.68, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.

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Return for Risk

USML vs. UGE — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

USML
USML Risk / Return Rank: 1111
Overall Rank
USML Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1111
Sharpe Ratio Rank
USML Sortino Ratio Rank: 1111
Sortino Ratio Rank
USML Omega Ratio Rank: 1111
Omega Ratio Rank
USML Calmar Ratio Rank: 1111
Calmar Ratio Rank
USML Martin Ratio Rank: 1212
Martin Ratio Rank

UGE
UGE Risk / Return Rank: 1414
Overall Rank
UGE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1414
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UGE Sortino Ratio Rank: 1414
Sortino Ratio Rank
UGE Omega Ratio Rank: 1414
Omega Ratio Rank
UGE Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
UGE Martin Ratio Rank: 1313
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

USML vs. UGE - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN (USML) and ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


USMLUGEDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.16

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.30

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.03

1.07

-0.03

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.15

0.38

-0.22

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.46

0.67

-0.22

USML vs. UGE - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current USML Sharpe Ratio is 0.12, which is lower than the UGE Sharpe Ratio of 0.28. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of USML and UGE, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

USML vs. UGE - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum USML drawdown since its inception was -35.34%, smaller than the maximum UGE drawdown of -71.36%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for USML and UGE.


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Drawdown Indicators


USMLUGEDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-35.34%

-71.36%

+36.02%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-13.09%

-18.95%

+5.86%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-19.14%

-24.80%

+5.66%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-35.34%

-56.55%

+21.21%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-57.14%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-4.83%

-32.84%

+28.01%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-10.38%

-18.75%

+8.37%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

4.41%

10.64%

-6.23%

Volatility

USML vs. UGE - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN (USML) is 4.74%, while ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) has a volatility of 8.67%. This indicates that USML experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UGE based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


USMLUGEDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.74%

8.67%

-3.93%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

11.57%

20.01%

-8.44%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

16.41%

25.39%

-8.98%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

24.47%

31.37%

-6.90%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

24.24%

33.11%

-8.87%

USML vs. UGE - Expense Ratio Comparison

Both USML and UGE have an expense ratio of 0.95%.


Dividends

USML vs. UGE - Dividend Comparison

USML has not paid dividends to shareholders, while UGE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.05%.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
UGE
ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods
2.05%2.54%1.43%1.20%0.74%0.20%0.41%0.86%0.76%0.68%0.76%0.60%
USML
ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


USML and UGE have a correlation of 0.46, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

UGE has higher volatility (8.67%) compared to USML (4.74%). In terms of maximum drawdown, USML dropped -35.34% vs UGE's -71.36%.

On 5-year performance, USML leads with 7.54% vs -1.08% for UGE. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, USML has been the lower-risk option at 4.74%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 5-year period, USML has performed better with a 7.54% return vs -1.08%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

USML and UGE have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.

UGE has the higher dividend yield at 2.05%, compared with 0.00% for USML.

USML tracks MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Index, while UGE tracks Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%). They also come from different issuers: UBS and ProShares.

UGE currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.28 vs 0.12), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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