UGE vs. SPY
UGE (ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods) and SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - UGE is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%), while SPY is a S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UGE returned 8.03%/yr vs 15.16%/yr for SPY. A 0.65 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. UGE charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.09%/yr for SPY.
Performance
UGE vs. SPY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UGE achieves a 12.50% return, which is significantly higher than SPY's 8.45% return. Over the past 10 years, UGE has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of 8.03%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.16% annualized return.
UGE
- 1D
- 2.85%
- 1M
- -2.22%
- YTD
- 12.50%
- 6M
- 11.83%
- 1Y
- 1.63%
- 3Y*
- 6.36%
- 5Y*
- -2.34%
- 10Y*
- 8.03%
SPY
- 1D
- -2.58%
- 1M
- 0.82%
- YTD
- 8.45%
- 6M
- 8.18%
- 1Y
- 24.51%
- 3Y*
- 21.43%
- 5Y*
- 13.32%
- 10Y*
- 15.16%
UGE vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGE ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods | 12.50% | -5.21% | 16.40% | 2.38% | -46.78% | 42.44% | 56.64% | 58.28% | -30.14% | 32.38% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8.45% | 17.72% | 24.89% | 26.18% | -18.18% | 28.73% | 18.33% | 31.22% | -4.57% | 21.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between UGE and SPY is 0.03, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.03 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.25 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.53 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.61 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 2, 2007 | 0.65 |
Over the past year, the correlation between UGE and SPY has dropped to 0.03 - well below their long-term average of 0.65, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.
UGE vs. SPY - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UGE
SPY
Consumer Defensive
Consumer Cyclical
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
Energy
-
Financial Services
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Consumer Defensive
UGE
SPY
Consumer Cyclical
UGE
SPY
Basic Materials
UGE
-
SPY
Communication Services
UGE
-
SPY
Energy
UGE
-
SPY
Financial Services
UGE
-
SPY
Healthcare
UGE
-
SPY
Industrials
UGE
-
SPY
Real Estate
UGE
-
SPY
Technology
UGE
-
SPY
Utilities
UGE
-
SPY
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Return for Risk
UGE vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank
UGE
SPY
UGE vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UGE | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.04 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.55 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.04 | 1.39 | -0.35 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.14 | 2.92 | -2.78 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.25 | 13.50 | -13.25 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UGE | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.10 | 2.14 | -2.04 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.08 | 0.78 | -0.86 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.24 | 0.85 | -0.60 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.34 | 0.58 | -0.24 |
Drawdowns
UGE vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UGE drawdown since its inception was -71.36%, which is greater than SPY's maximum drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UGE and SPY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UGE | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -71.36% | -55.19% | -16.17% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -18.95% | -8.88% | -10.07% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -24.80% | -18.76% | -6.04% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -56.55% | -24.50% | -32.05% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -57.14% | -33.72% | -23.42% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -36.44% | -2.90% | -33.54% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -18.74% | -9.05% | -9.69% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 10.50% | 1.91% | +8.59% |
Volatility
UGE vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison
ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) has a higher volatility of 8.11% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 3.73%. This indicates that UGE's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UGE | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.11% | 3.73% | +4.38% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.63% | 9.31% | +10.32% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 25.10% | 12.12% | +12.98% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 31.31% | 17.09% | +14.22% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 33.09% | 17.95% | +15.14% |
UGE vs. SPY - Expense Ratio Comparison
UGE has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than SPY's 0.09% expense ratio.
Dividends
UGE vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison
UGE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.17%, more than SPY's 1.00% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
UGE ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods | 2.17% | 2.54% | 1.43% | 1.20% | 0.74% | 0.20% | 0.41% | 0.86% | 0.76% | 0.68% | 0.76% | 0.60% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UGE and SPY have a correlation of 0.03, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UGE has higher volatility (8.11%) compared to SPY (3.73%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UGE dropped -71.36% vs SPY's -55.19%.
On 10-year performance, SPY leads with 15.16% vs 8.03% for UGE. On fees, SPY is cheaper at 0.09% per year. On volatility, SPY has been the lower-risk option at 3.73%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, SPY has performed better with a 15.16% return vs 8.03%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPY is cheaper with a 0.09% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UGE.
UGE has the higher dividend yield at 2.17%, compared with 1.00% for SPY.
UGE is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while SPY is S&P 500. UGE tracks Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%), while SPY tracks S&P 500 Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and State Street. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UGE and 0.09% for SPY.
SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.14 vs 0.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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