UMDD vs. NAIL

Last updated Jun 13, 2026

UMDD (ProShares UltraPro MidCap400) and NAIL (Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares) are both Leveraged Equities funds - UMDD tracks the S&P MidCap 400 Index (300%) while NAIL tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UMDD returned 12.78%/yr vs 6.16%/yr for NAIL. A 0.68 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. UMDD charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.99%/yr for NAIL.

Performance

UMDD vs. NAIL - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 (UMDD) and Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UMDD achieves a 41.42% return, which is significantly higher than NAIL's -13.15% return. Over the past 10 years, UMDD has outperformed NAIL with an annualized return of 12.78%, while NAIL has yielded a comparatively lower 6.16% annualized return.

UMDD

• 1D: 2.20%
• 1M: 10.73%
• YTD: 41.42%
• 6M: 35.75%
• 1Y: 66.43%
• 3Y*: 23.57%
• 5Y*: 2.41%
• 10Y*: 12.78%

NAIL

• 1D: -2.18%
• 1M: 25.39%
• YTD: -13.15%
• 6M: -27.97%
• 1Y: -17.64%
• 3Y*: -11.92%
• 5Y*: -9.97%
• 10Y*: 6.16%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UMDD vs. NAIL - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
UMDD ProShares UltraPro MidCap400	41.42%	-2.57%	19.68%	27.21%	-49.60%	72.27%	-17.30%	78.90%	-40.29%	49.17%
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares	-13.15%	-40.43%	-22.83%	259.61%	-75.23%	168.20%	-32.08%	184.63%	-73.96%	268.71%

Correlation

The correlation between UMDD and NAIL is 0.70, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.70
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.73
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.75
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.70
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 19, 2015	0.68

The correlation between UMDD and NAIL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.68 to 0.75 - a consistent structural relationship.

UMDD vs. NAIL - Sectors Allocation Comparison

Sectors	UMDD	NAIL
Industrials	13.4%	19.1%
Technology	9.0%	-
Financial Services	7.1%	-
Consumer Cyclical	5.1%	71.8%
Healthcare	4.8%	-
Real Estate	3.9%	0.5%
Energy	2.7%	-
Basic Materials	2.6%	8.6%
Consumer Defensive	2.2%	-
Utilities	1.6%	-
Communication Services	0.5%	-

Return for Risk

UMDD vs. NAIL — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UMDD

UMDD Risk / Return Rank: 49
UMDD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 45
UMDD Sortino Ratio Rank: 45
UMDD Omega Ratio Rank: 43
UMDD Calmar Ratio Rank: 58
UMDD Martin Ratio Rank: 56

NAIL

NAIL Risk / Return Rank: 9
NAIL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7
NAIL Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
NAIL Omega Ratio Rank: 11
NAIL Calmar Ratio Rank: 7
NAIL Martin Ratio Rank: 7

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UMDD vs. NAIL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 (UMDD) and Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	UMDD	NAIL	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	1.40	-0.20	+1.60
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	2.01	0.35	+1.67
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.24	1.04	+0.21
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	2.56	-0.26	+2.83
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	8.58	-0.45	+9.03

UMDD vs. NAIL - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UMDD Sharpe Ratio is 1.40, which is higher than the NAIL Sharpe Ratio of -0.20. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UMDD and NAIL, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

UMDD vs. NAIL - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UMDD drawdown since its inception was -86.24%, smaller than the maximum NAIL drawdown of -93.75%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UMDD and NAIL.

Drawdown Indicators

	UMDD	NAIL	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-86.24%	-93.75%	+7.51%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-26.04%	-67.85%	+41.81%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-60.33%	-82.09%	+21.76%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-64.61%	-84.40%	+19.79%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-86.24%	-93.75%	+7.51%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-3.15%	-75.18%	+72.03%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-23.58%	-43.87%	+20.29%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	7.78%	39.36%	-31.58%

Volatility

UMDD vs. NAIL - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 (UMDD) is 14.80%, while Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL) has a volatility of 26.93%. This indicates that UMDD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than NAIL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	UMDD	NAIL	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	14.80%	26.93%	-12.13%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	35.26%	61.98%	-26.72%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	47.64%	88.92%	-41.28%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	59.05%	87.27%	-28.22%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	62.32%	89.35%	-27.03%

UMDD vs. NAIL - Expense Ratio Comparison

UMDD has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than NAIL's 0.99% expense ratio.

Dividends

UMDD vs. NAIL - Dividend Comparison

UMDD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.74%, less than NAIL's 0.91% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares	0.91%	1.55%	0.63%	0.22%	0.00%	0.00%	0.01%	0.17%	0.35%	1.25%	0.00%	0.00%
UMDD ProShares UltraPro MidCap400	0.74%	1.00%	0.76%	0.19%	0.49%	0.06%	0.08%	0.64%	0.32%	0.00%	0.03%	0.06%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both UMDD and NAIL in my portfolio?

UMDD and NAIL have a correlation of 0.70, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, UMDD or NAIL?

NAIL has higher volatility (26.93%) compared to UMDD (14.80%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UMDD dropped -86.24% vs NAIL's -93.75%.

Which ETF is better, UMDD or NAIL?

On 10-year performance, UMDD leads with 12.78% vs 6.16% for NAIL. On fees, UMDD is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, UMDD has been the lower-risk option at 14.80%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, UMDD or NAIL?

Over the 10-year period, UMDD has performed better with a 12.78% return vs 6.16%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, UMDD or NAIL?

UMDD is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 0.99% for NAIL.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, UMDD or NAIL?

NAIL has the higher dividend yield at 0.91%, compared with 0.74% for UMDD.

What is the main difference between UMDD and NAIL?

UMDD tracks S&P MidCap 400 Index (300%), while NAIL tracks Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UMDD and 0.99% for NAIL.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

UMDD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.40 vs -0.20), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.