NAIL vs. PAVE
NAIL (Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF) and PAVE (Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - NAIL is a Building & Construction fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index, while PAVE is a Infrastructure Equities fund tracking the INDXX U.S. Infrastructure Development Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, NAIL returned -14.77%/yr vs 17.15%/yr for PAVE. Their 0.67 correlation means they have sometimes moved together and sometimes differently. NAIL charges 0.96%/yr vs 0.47%/yr for PAVE.
Performance
NAIL vs. PAVE - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, NAIL achieves a -25.11% return, which is significantly lower than PAVE's 18.14% return.
NAIL
- 1D
- -3.77%
- 1M
- -24.78%
- 6M
- -35.02%
- YTD
- -25.11%
- 1Y
- -40.69%
- 3Y*
- -23.69%
- 5Y*
- -14.77%
- 10Y*
- 2.80%
- ALL TIME*
- -0.25%
PAVE
- 1D
- 0.46%
- 1M
- -1.38%
- 6M
- 11.25%
- YTD
- 18.14%
- 1Y
- 26.28%
- 3Y*
- 20.94%
- 5Y*
- 17.15%
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- 16.01%
Liquidity Comparison
| Position | Avg. Volume Value (2W) | Avg. Volume Value (1M) | Avg. Volume Value (3M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $44.87M | $43.82M | $62.70M | |
| $109.69M | $125.02M | $111.27M |
NAIL vs. PAVE - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF | -25.11% | -40.43% | -22.83% | 259.61% | -75.23% | 168.20% | -32.08% | 184.63% | -73.96% | 158.11% |
PAVE Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF | 18.14% | 19.36% | 17.92% | 31.01% | -7.17% | 36.42% | 19.72% | 33.26% | -19.15% | 13.41% |
Correlation
The correlation between NAIL and PAVE is 0.64, which is moderate. They have sometimes moved together and sometimes differently, sharing some price drivers without tracking each other closely.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.64 |
Correlation (3Y) Balances recent behavior with more history. | 0.71 |
Correlation (5Y) Shows whether the relationship held over a longer period. | 0.73 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 8, 2017 | 0.67 |
The correlation between NAIL and PAVE has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.64 to 0.73 - a consistent structural relationship.
NAIL vs. PAVE - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
NAIL
PAVE
Consumer Cyclical
-
Industrials
Basic Materials
Real Estate
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Financial Services
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Consumer Cyclical
NAIL
PAVE
-
Industrials
NAIL
PAVE
Basic Materials
NAIL
PAVE
Real Estate
NAIL
PAVE
-
Communication Services
NAIL
-
PAVE
-
Consumer Defensive
NAIL
-
PAVE
Energy
NAIL
-
PAVE
Financial Services
NAIL
-
PAVE
-
Healthcare
NAIL
-
PAVE
-
Technology
NAIL
-
PAVE
Utilities
NAIL
-
PAVE
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Return for Risk
NAIL vs. PAVE — Risk / Return Rank
NAIL
PAVE
NAIL vs. PAVE - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF (NAIL) and Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| NAIL | PAVE | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.61 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.88 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.99 | 1.21 | -0.22 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.53 | 2.06 | -2.59 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.82 | 6.77 | -7.58 |
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Drawdowns
NAIL vs. PAVE - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum NAIL drawdown since its inception was -93.75%, which is greater than PAVE's maximum drawdown of -44.08%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NAIL and PAVE.
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Drawdown Indicators
| NAIL | PAVE | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -93.75% | -44.08% | -49.67% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -67.85% | -11.91% | -55.94% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -82.09% | -26.23% | -55.86% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -84.40% | -26.23% | -58.17% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -93.75% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -78.60% | -5.89% | -72.71% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -44.24% | -6.19% | -38.05% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 43.97% | 3.62% | +40.35% |
Volatility
NAIL vs. PAVE - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF (NAIL) has a higher volatility of 26.41% compared to Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) at 6.09%. This indicates that NAIL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than PAVE based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| NAIL | PAVE | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 26.41% | 6.09% | +20.32% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 65.39% | 16.61% | +48.78% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 87.99% | 20.42% | +67.57% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 88.09% | 21.71% | +66.38% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 89.81% | 24.37% | +65.44% |
NAIL vs. PAVE - Expense Ratio Comparison
NAIL has a 0.96% expense ratio, which is higher than PAVE's 0.47% expense ratio.
Dividends
NAIL vs. PAVE - Dividend Comparison
NAIL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.83%, more than PAVE's 0.76% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF | 0.83% | 1.55% | 0.63% | 0.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.35% | 1.25% |
PAVE Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF | 0.76% | 0.92% | 0.54% | 0.68% | 0.84% | 0.48% | 0.44% | 0.67% | 0.78% | 0.30% |
Frequently Asked Questions
NAIL and PAVE have a correlation of 0.64, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
NAIL has higher volatility (26.41%) compared to PAVE (6.09%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NAIL dropped -93.75% vs PAVE's -44.08%.
On 5-year performance, PAVE leads with 17.15% vs -14.77% for NAIL. On fees, PAVE is cheaper at 0.47% per year. On volatility, PAVE has been the lower-risk option at 6.09%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, PAVE has performed better with a 17.15% return vs -14.77%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
PAVE is cheaper with a 0.47% expense ratio, compared with 0.96% for NAIL.
NAIL has the higher dividend yield at 0.83%, compared with 0.76% for PAVE.
NAIL is categorized as Building & Construction, while PAVE is Infrastructure Equities. NAIL tracks Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index, while PAVE tracks INDXX U.S. Infrastructure Development Index. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and Global X. Their fees differ too: 0.96% for NAIL and 0.47% for PAVE.
PAVE currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.20 vs -0.41), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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