UGL vs. TLT
UGL (ProShares Ultra Gold) and TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - UGL is a Leveraged Commodities fund tracking the Bloomberg Gold Subindex (200%), while TLT is a Government Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UGL returned 16.37%/yr vs -1.75%/yr for TLT. At a 0.21 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. UGL charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.15%/yr for TLT.
Performance
UGL vs. TLT - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UGL achieves a -12.66% return, which is significantly lower than TLT's 0.27% return. Over the past 10 years, UGL has outperformed TLT with an annualized return of 16.37%, while TLT has yielded a comparatively lower -1.75% annualized return.
UGL
- 1D
- 0.08%
- 1M
- -14.99%
- YTD
- -12.66%
- 6M
- -12.99%
- 1Y
- 29.41%
- 3Y*
- 47.90%
- 5Y*
- 24.60%
- 10Y*
- 16.37%
TLT
- 1D
- -0.24%
- 1M
- 2.93%
- YTD
- 0.27%
- 6M
- 0.45%
- 1Y
- 3.88%
- 3Y*
- -1.38%
- 5Y*
- -6.53%
- 10Y*
- -1.75%
UGL vs. TLT - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -12.66% | 137.57% | 46.36% | 15.56% | -7.59% | -12.30% | 39.04% | 31.11% | -8.02% | 22.50% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.27% | 4.25% | -8.05% | 2.77% | -31.23% | -4.60% | 18.15% | 14.12% | -1.61% | 9.18% |
Correlation
The correlation between UGL and TLT is 0.15, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.15 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.24 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.30 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2008 | 0.21 |
The correlation between UGL and TLT shifts across timeframes, from 0.15 (1 year) to 0.30 (10 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
UGL vs. TLT — Risk / Return Rank
UGL
TLT
UGL vs. TLT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| UGL | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.30 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.56 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.16 | 1.06 | +0.10 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.71 | 0.38 | +0.32 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.85 | 0.92 | +0.93 |
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Drawdowns
UGL vs. TLT - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UGL drawdown since its inception was -75.93%, which is greater than TLT's maximum drawdown of -48.35%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UGL and TLT.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UGL | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -75.93% | -48.35% | -27.58% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -46.64% | -7.58% | -39.06% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -46.64% | -19.18% | -27.46% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -46.64% | -43.70% | -2.94% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -46.64% | -48.35% | +1.71% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -43.37% | -40.12% | -3.25% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.62% | -13.84% | -29.78% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 17.76% | 3.14% | +14.62% |
Volatility
UGL vs. TLT - Volatility Comparison
ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) has a higher volatility of 15.51% compared to iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) at 2.83%. This indicates that UGL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TLT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UGL | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 15.51% | 2.83% | +12.68% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 48.64% | 6.64% | +42.00% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 54.39% | 9.68% | +44.71% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 36.61% | 15.85% | +20.76% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 32.58% | 14.91% | +17.67% |
UGL vs. TLT - Expense Ratio Comparison
UGL has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than TLT's 0.15% expense ratio.
Dividends
UGL vs. TLT - Dividend Comparison
UGL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while TLT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.56%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UGL and TLT have a correlation of 0.15, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UGL has higher volatility (15.51%) compared to TLT (2.83%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UGL dropped -75.93% vs TLT's -48.35%.
On 10-year performance, UGL leads with 16.37% vs -1.75% for TLT. On fees, TLT is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, TLT has been the lower-risk option at 2.83%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, UGL has performed better with a 16.37% return vs -1.75%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TLT is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UGL.
TLT has the higher dividend yield at 4.56%, compared with 0.00% for UGL.
UGL is categorized as Leveraged Commodities, while TLT is Government Bonds. UGL tracks Bloomberg Gold Subindex (200%), while TLT tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UGL and 0.15% for TLT.
UGL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.61 vs 0.30), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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