UGE vs. USML
UGE (ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods) and USML (ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN) are both Leveraged Equities funds - UGE tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%) while USML tracks the MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, UGE returned -1.08%/yr vs 7.54%/yr for USML. A 0.68 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. Both charge a 0.95% expense ratio.
Performance
UGE vs. USML - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UGE achieves a 18.88% return, which is significantly higher than USML's 1.74% return.
UGE
- 1D
- 1.08%
- 1M
- 1.65%
- YTD
- 18.88%
- 6M
- 15.24%
- 1Y
- 9.47%
- 3Y*
- 7.90%
- 5Y*
- -1.08%
- 10Y*
- 8.80%
USML
- 1D
- 0.67%
- 1M
- 2.24%
- YTD
- 1.74%
- 6M
- 1.57%
- 1Y
- 3.61%
- 3Y*
- 15.23%
- 5Y*
- 7.54%
- 10Y*
- —
UGE vs. USML - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGE ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods | 18.88% | -5.21% | 16.40% | 2.38% | -46.78% | 35.36% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 1.74% | 9.33% | 23.97% | 11.37% | -22.87% | 42.12% |
Correlation
The correlation between UGE and USML is 0.46, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.46 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.61 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.68 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 5, 2021 | 0.68 |
Over the past year, the correlation between UGE and USML has dropped to 0.46 - well below their long-term average of 0.68, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.
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Return for Risk
UGE vs. USML — Risk / Return Rank
UGE
USML
UGE vs. USML - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) and ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN (USML). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| UGE | USML | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.16 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.30 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.07 | 1.03 | +0.03 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.38 | 0.15 | +0.22 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.67 | 0.46 | +0.22 |
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Drawdowns
UGE vs. USML - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UGE drawdown since its inception was -71.36%, which is greater than USML's maximum drawdown of -35.34%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UGE and USML.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UGE | USML | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -71.36% | -35.34% | -36.02% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -18.95% | -13.09% | -5.86% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -24.80% | -19.14% | -5.66% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -56.55% | -35.34% | -21.21% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -57.14% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -32.84% | -4.83% | -28.01% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -18.75% | -10.38% | -8.37% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 10.64% | 4.41% | +6.23% |
Volatility
UGE vs. USML - Volatility Comparison
ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) has a higher volatility of 8.67% compared to ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN (USML) at 4.74%. This indicates that UGE's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than USML based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UGE | USML | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.67% | 4.74% | +3.93% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 20.01% | 11.57% | +8.44% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 25.39% | 16.41% | +8.98% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 31.37% | 24.47% | +6.90% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 33.11% | 24.24% | +8.87% |
UGE vs. USML - Expense Ratio Comparison
Both UGE and USML have an expense ratio of 0.95%.
Dividends
UGE vs. USML - Dividend Comparison
UGE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.05%, while USML has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGE ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods | 2.05% | 2.54% | 1.43% | 1.20% | 0.74% | 0.20% | 0.41% | 0.86% | 0.76% | 0.68% | 0.76% | 0.60% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UGE and USML have a correlation of 0.46, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UGE has higher volatility (8.67%) compared to USML (4.74%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UGE dropped -71.36% vs USML's -35.34%.
On 5-year performance, USML leads with 7.54% vs -1.08% for UGE. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, USML has been the lower-risk option at 4.74%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, USML has performed better with a 7.54% return vs -1.08%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
UGE and USML have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.
UGE has the higher dividend yield at 2.05%, compared with 0.00% for USML.
UGE tracks Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%), while USML tracks MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and UBS.
UGE currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.28 vs 0.12), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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