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TYD vs. TBT
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TYD vs. TBT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X (TYD) and ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TYD achieves a -5.40% return, which is significantly lower than TBT's 2.34% return. Over the past 10 years, TYD has underperformed TBT with an annualized return of -4.63%, while TBT has yielded a comparatively higher 2.02% annualized return.


TYD

1D
0.13%
1M
-1.42%
YTD
-5.40%
6M
-7.08%
1Y
1.17%
3Y*
-4.80%
5Y*
-12.47%
10Y*
-4.63%

TBT

1D
-0.45%
1M
-0.50%
YTD
2.34%
6M
6.33%
1Y
-3.06%
3Y*
10.28%
5Y*
14.67%
10Y*
2.02%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TYD vs. TBT - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X
-5.40%11.68%-13.89%-2.87%-43.32%-11.36%27.62%17.88%0.76%5.64%
TBT
ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury
2.34%-1.45%27.66%-2.42%93.29%2.86%-37.93%-22.90%4.98%-17.25%

Correlation

The correlation between TYD and TBT is -0.89, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.89

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.92

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.92

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.85

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 17, 2009

-0.83

The correlation between TYD and TBT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.92 to -0.83 - a consistent structural relationship.

TYD vs. TBT - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
TYD
TBT

Financial Services

21.5%
72.7%

Basic Materials

-

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

-

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

-

Utilities

-

-

Financial Services

TYD
21.5%
TBT
72.7%

Basic Materials

TYD

-

TBT

-

Communication Services

TYD

-

TBT

-

Consumer Cyclical

TYD

-

TBT

-

Consumer Defensive

TYD

-

TBT

-

Energy

TYD

-

TBT

-

Healthcare

TYD

-

TBT

-

Industrials

TYD

-

TBT

-

Real Estate

TYD

-

TBT

-

Technology

TYD

-

TBT

-

Utilities

TYD

-

TBT

-

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Return for Risk

TYD vs. TBT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TYD
TYD Risk / Return Rank: 99
Overall Rank
TYD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1010
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TYD Sortino Ratio Rank: 99
Sortino Ratio Rank
TYD Omega Ratio Rank: 99
Omega Ratio Rank
TYD Calmar Ratio Rank: 99
Calmar Ratio Rank
TYD Martin Ratio Rank: 99
Martin Ratio Rank

TBT
TBT Risk / Return Rank: 77
Overall Rank
TBT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 77
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TBT Sortino Ratio Rank: 77
Sortino Ratio Rank
TBT Omega Ratio Rank: 77
Omega Ratio Rank
TBT Calmar Ratio Rank: 88
Calmar Ratio Rank
TBT Martin Ratio Rank: 88
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TYD vs. TBT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X (TYD) and ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


TYDTBTDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.08

-0.16

+0.24

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.22

-0.08

+0.30

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.02

0.99

+0.03

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.02

-0.08

+0.10

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.05

-0.16

+0.21

TYD vs. TBT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TYD Sharpe Ratio is 0.08, which is higher than the TBT Sharpe Ratio of -0.16. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TYD and TBT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


TYDTBTDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.08

-0.16

+0.24

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.55

0.47

-1.01

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.23

0.07

-0.30

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.05

-0.33

+0.38

Drawdowns

TYD vs. TBT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TYD drawdown since its inception was -64.28%, smaller than the maximum TBT drawdown of -94.99%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TYD and TBT.


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Drawdown Indicators


TYDTBTDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-64.28%

-94.99%

+30.71%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-13.54%

-14.89%

+1.35%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-25.04%

-33.83%

+8.79%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-59.84%

-33.83%

-26.01%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-64.28%

-65.09%

+0.81%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-58.89%

-85.74%

+26.85%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-21.94%

-77.33%

+55.39%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

4.92%

7.49%

-2.57%

Volatility

TYD vs. TBT - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X (TYD) is 4.26%, while ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) has a volatility of 5.85%. This indicates that TYD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TBT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TYDTBTDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.26%

5.85%

-1.59%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

9.67%

13.42%

-3.75%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

14.13%

19.84%

-5.71%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

22.98%

31.42%

-8.44%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

20.37%

28.79%

-8.42%

TYD vs. TBT - Expense Ratio Comparison

TYD has a 1.09% expense ratio, which is higher than TBT's 0.93% expense ratio.


Dividends

TYD vs. TBT - Dividend Comparison

TYD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.20%, more than TBT's 2.91% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
TBT
ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury
2.91%3.21%4.64%4.98%0.42%0.00%0.32%2.12%0.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X
3.20%2.97%3.10%2.71%0.55%0.00%9.80%0.92%1.10%0.01%6.84%1.65%

Frequently Asked Questions


TYD and TBT have a correlation of -0.89, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

TBT has higher volatility (5.85%) compared to TYD (4.26%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TYD dropped -64.28% vs TBT's -94.99%.

On 10-year performance, TBT leads with 2.02% vs -4.63% for TYD. On fees, TBT is cheaper at 0.93% per year. On volatility, TYD has been the lower-risk option at 4.26%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, TBT has performed better with a 2.02% return vs -4.63%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

TBT is cheaper with a 0.93% expense ratio, compared with 1.09% for TYD.

TYD has the higher dividend yield at 3.20%, compared with 2.91% for TBT.

TYD is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while TBT is Inverse Bonds. TYD tracks NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index, while TBT tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 1.09% for TYD and 0.93% for TBT.

TYD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.08 vs -0.16), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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