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TUA vs. PRVBX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TUA vs. PRVBX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and Permanent Portfolio Versatile Bond Portfolio (PRVBX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TUA achieves a -6.16% return, which is significantly lower than PRVBX's 1.17% return.


TUA

1D
0.22%
1M
-0.88%
6M
-5.37%
YTD
-6.16%
1Y
-5.03%
3Y*
0.30%
5Y*
10Y*
ALL TIME*
-1.57%

PRVBX

1D
-0.05%
1M
-0.06%
6M
0.52%
YTD
1.17%
1Y
3.23%
3Y*
5.35%
5Y*
2.52%
10Y*
4.21%
ALL TIME*
3.67%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Liquidity Comparison


PositionAvg. Volume Value (2W)Avg. Volume Value (1M)Avg. Volume Value (3M)
$0.00$0.00$0.00
$11.78M$10.08M$8.27M

TUA vs. PRVBX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
-6.16%7.27%-3.59%-2.04%-0.83%
PRVBX
Permanent Portfolio Versatile Bond Portfolio
1.17%5.66%5.78%6.91%0.28%

Correlation

The correlation between TUA and PRVBX is 0.56, which is moderate. They have sometimes moved together and sometimes differently, sharing some price drivers without tracking each other closely.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most.

0.56

Correlation (3Y)
Balances recent behavior with more history.

0.61

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 15, 2022

0.63

The correlation between TUA and PRVBX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.56 to 0.63 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

TUA vs. PRVBX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare historical risk-adjusted metric ranks over the past 12 months.

TUA
TUA Risk / Return Rank: 33
Overall Rank
TUA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 33
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TUA Sortino Ratio Rank: 33
Sortino Ratio Rank
TUA Omega Ratio Rank: 33
Omega Ratio Rank
TUA Calmar Ratio Rank: 44
Calmar Ratio Rank
TUA Martin Ratio Rank: 11
Martin Ratio Rank

PRVBX
PRVBX Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
PRVBX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7777
Sharpe Ratio Rank
PRVBX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7979
Sortino Ratio Rank
PRVBX Omega Ratio Rank: 7676
Omega Ratio Rank
PRVBX Calmar Ratio Rank: 6363
Calmar Ratio Rank
PRVBX Martin Ratio Rank: 6363
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) uses a weighted average of the Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Calmar, and Martin percentile ranks for the trailing 12 months. Higher means stronger historical risk-adjusted performance within the peer group.

TUA vs. PRVBX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and Permanent Portfolio Versatile Bond Portfolio (PRVBX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


TUAPRVBXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-2.63

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-3.78

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.89

1.35

-0.47

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.63

2.26

-2.90

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.37

8.60

-9.97

TUA vs. PRVBX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TUA Sharpe Ratio is -0.77, which is lower than the PRVBX Sharpe Ratio of 1.86. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TUA and PRVBX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

TUA vs. PRVBX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TUA drawdown since its inception was -15.85%, smaller than the maximum PRVBX drawdown of -16.91%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TUA and PRVBX.


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Drawdown Indicators


TUAPRVBXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-15.85%

-16.91%

+1.06%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.96%

-1.51%

-6.45%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-9.14%

-1.51%

-7.63%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-8.22%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-16.91%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-10.79%

-0.27%

-10.52%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-8.45%

-0.72%

-7.73%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.67%

0.40%

+3.27%

Volatility

TUA vs. PRVBX - Volatility Comparison

Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) has a higher volatility of 1.86% compared to Permanent Portfolio Versatile Bond Portfolio (PRVBX) at 0.46%. This indicates that TUA's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than PRVBX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TUAPRVBXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.86%

0.46%

+1.40%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

5.57%

1.48%

+4.09%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

6.59%

1.84%

+4.75%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

10.65%

2.37%

+8.28%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

10.65%

4.35%

+6.30%

TUA vs. PRVBX - Expense Ratio Comparison

TUA has a 0.16% expense ratio, which is lower than PRVBX's 0.64% expense ratio.


Dividends

TUA vs. PRVBX - Dividend Comparison

TUA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.11%, less than PRVBX's 4.13% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
PRVBX
Permanent Portfolio Versatile Bond Portfolio
4.13%4.18%3.61%3.16%1.83%0.85%4.73%2.51%1.71%3.30%3.27%5.71%
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
3.11%3.84%5.19%4.83%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


TUA and PRVBX have a correlation of 0.56, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

TUA has higher volatility (1.86%) compared to PRVBX (0.46%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TUA dropped -15.85% vs PRVBX's -16.91%.

PRVBX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.86 vs -0.77), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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