TUA vs. CAOS

Last updated Apr 1, 2026

Compare and contrast key facts about Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS).

TUA and CAOS are both exchange-traded funds (ETFs), meaning they are traded on stock exchanges and can be bought and sold throughout the day. TUA is an actively managed fund by Simplify. It was launched on Nov 14, 2022. CAOS is an actively managed fund by Alpha Architect. It was launched on Aug 14, 2013.

Performance

TUA vs. CAOS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

TUA vs. CAOS - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023
TUA Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF	-3.21%	7.27%	-3.59%	2.65%
CAOS Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF	1.10%	2.55%	5.33%	7.97%

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TUA achieves a -3.21% return, which is significantly lower than CAOS's 1.10% return.

TUA

• 1D: 0.24%
• 1M: -4.04%
• YTD: -3.21%
• 6M: -2.23%
• 1Y: -0.42%
• 3Y*: -1.82%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

CAOS

• 1D: 0.07%
• 1M: 0.43%
• YTD: 1.10%
• 6M: 1.37%
• 1Y: 3.19%
• 3Y*: 5.46%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TUA vs. CAOS - Expense Ratio Comparison

TUA has a 0.16% expense ratio, which is lower than CAOS's 0.63% expense ratio.

CAOS

Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF

TUA

Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF

Return for Risk

TUA vs. CAOS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TUA

TUA Risk / Return Rank: 11
TUA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 11
TUA Sortino Ratio Rank: 9
TUA Omega Ratio Rank: 9
TUA Calmar Ratio Rank: 12
TUA Martin Ratio Rank: 12

CAOS

CAOS Risk / Return Rank: 41
CAOS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 39
CAOS Sortino Ratio Rank: 36
CAOS Omega Ratio Rank: 72
CAOS Calmar Ratio Rank: 35
CAOS Martin Ratio Rank: 23

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TUA vs. CAOS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	TUA	CAOS	Difference
Sharpe ratio Return per unit of total volatility	-0.05	0.69	-0.74
Sortino ratio Return per unit of downside risk	-0.02	0.97	-1.00
Omega ratio Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.00	1.26	-0.26
Calmar ratio Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.02	0.83	-0.86
Martin ratio Return relative to average drawdown	-0.07	1.38	-1.45
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

TUA vs. CAOS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TUA Sharpe Ratio is -0.05, which is lower than the CAOS Sharpe Ratio of 0.69. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TUA and CAOS, offering insights into how both investments have performed under varying market conditions. These values are calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	TUA	CAOS	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.05	0.69	-0.74
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	-0.08	1.27	-1.34

Correlation

The correlation between TUA and CAOS is 0.03, which is considered to be low. This implies their price changes are not closely related. A low correlation is generally favorable for portfolio diversification, as it helps to reduce overall risk by spreading it across multiple assets with different performance patterns.

Dividends

TUA vs. CAOS - Dividend Comparison

TUA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.74%, while CAOS has not paid dividends to shareholders.

	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022
TUA Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF	3.74%	3.84%	5.19%	4.83%	0.15%
CAOS Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Drawdowns

TUA vs. CAOS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TUA drawdown since its inception was -15.85%, which is greater than CAOS's maximum drawdown of -3.60%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TUA and CAOS.

Drawdown Indicators

	TUA	CAOS	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-15.85%	-3.60%	-12.25%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-6.04%	-3.60%	-2.44%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-8.00%	-0.80%	-7.20%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-8.35%	-0.90%	-7.45%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	2.10%	2.18%	-0.08%

Volatility

TUA vs. CAOS - Volatility Comparison

Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) has a higher volatility of 3.08% compared to Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS) at 0.74%. This indicates that TUA's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than CAOS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	TUA	CAOS	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	3.08%	0.74%	+2.34%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	4.61%	1.30%	+3.31%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	7.65%	4.68%	+2.97%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	10.94%	4.37%	+6.57%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	10.94%	4.37%	+6.57%