TRRCX vs. VTTHX
TRRCX (T. Rowe Price Retirement 2030 Fund) and VTTHX (Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund) are both Target Retirement Date funds. Over the past 10 years, TRRCX returned 8.79%/yr vs 9.78%/yr for VTTHX. With a 0.98 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep. TRRCX charges 0.59%/yr vs 0.08%/yr for VTTHX.
Performance
TRRCX vs. VTTHX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TRRCX achieves a 7.93% return, which is significantly lower than VTTHX's 9.13% return. Over the past 10 years, TRRCX has underperformed VTTHX with an annualized return of 8.79%, while VTTHX has yielded a comparatively higher 9.78% annualized return.
TRRCX
- 1D
- 0.34%
- 1M
- 3.17%
- YTD
- 7.93%
- 6M
- 2.50%
- 1Y
- 12.05%
- 3Y*
- 11.95%
- 5Y*
- 5.52%
- 10Y*
- 8.79%
VTTHX
- 1D
- 0.30%
- 1M
- 4.00%
- YTD
- 9.13%
- 6M
- 9.79%
- 1Y
- 21.88%
- 3Y*
- 15.88%
- 5Y*
- 7.97%
- 10Y*
- 9.78%
TRRCX vs. VTTHX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TRRCX T. Rowe Price Retirement 2030 Fund | 7.93% | 8.23% | 10.73% | 16.36% | -16.89% | 13.70% | 15.90% | 22.50% | -6.36% | 19.46% |
VTTHX Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund | 9.13% | 17.55% | 11.56% | 17.37% | -16.64% | 12.96% | 14.80% | 22.44% | -6.57% | 16.81% |
Correlation
The correlation between TRRCX and VTTHX is 0.95, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.95 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.95 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.96 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.97 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 28, 2003 | 0.98 |
The correlation between TRRCX and VTTHX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.95 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
TRRCX vs. VTTHX — Risk / Return Rank
TRRCX
VTTHX
TRRCX vs. VTTHX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for T. Rowe Price Retirement 2030 Fund (TRRCX) and Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund (VTTHX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| TRRCX | VTTHX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.18 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.80 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.27 | 1.47 | -0.20 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.59 | 3.09 | -1.51 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.27 | 13.62 | -8.35 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| TRRCX | VTTHX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 1.32 | 2.49 | -1.18 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.49 | 0.70 | -0.21 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.72 | 0.79 | -0.07 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.58 | 0.54 | +0.05 |
Drawdowns
TRRCX vs. VTTHX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TRRCX drawdown since its inception was -52.28%, roughly equal to the maximum VTTHX drawdown of -51.76%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TRRCX and VTTHX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TRRCX | VTTHX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -52.28% | -51.76% | -0.52% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -7.93% | -7.17% | -0.76% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -10.46% | -10.87% | +0.41% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -24.07% | -23.53% | -0.54% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -28.55% | -27.15% | -1.40% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -6.07% | -6.09% | +0.02% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 2.36% | 1.62% | +0.74% |
Volatility
TRRCX vs. VTTHX - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for T. Rowe Price Retirement 2030 Fund (TRRCX) is 2.55%, while Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund (VTTHX) has a volatility of 2.79%. This indicates that TRRCX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than VTTHX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TRRCX | VTTHX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 2.55% | 2.79% | -0.24% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 8.38% | 7.17% | +1.21% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.55% | 8.89% | +0.66% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 11.34% | 11.38% | -0.04% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 12.24% | 12.46% | -0.22% |
TRRCX vs. VTTHX - Expense Ratio Comparison
TRRCX has a 0.59% expense ratio, which is higher than VTTHX's 0.08% expense ratio.
Dividends
TRRCX vs. VTTHX - Dividend Comparison
TRRCX has not paid dividends to shareholders, while VTTHX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.71%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TRRCX T. Rowe Price Retirement 2030 Fund | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.38% | 6.16% | 12.05% | 9.43% | 5.45% | 5.44% | 8.83% | 3.82% | 2.66% | 3.76% |
VTTHX Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund | 2.71% | 2.96% | 3.12% | 2.47% | 2.71% | 19.52% | 2.50% | 2.33% | 2.69% | 0.16% | 2.77% | 4.67% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.95, TRRCX and VTTHX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
VTTHX has higher volatility (2.79%) compared to TRRCX (2.55%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TRRCX dropped -52.28% vs VTTHX's -51.76%.
VTTHX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.49 vs 1.32), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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