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TQQQ vs. NQ=F
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

TQQQ vs. NQ=F - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) and E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TQQQ achieves a 61.91% return, which is significantly higher than NQ=F's 19.42% return. Over the past 10 years, TQQQ has outperformed NQ=F with an annualized return of 44.95%, while NQ=F has yielded a comparatively lower 20.98% annualized return.


TQQQ

1D
-1.55%
1M
26.46%
YTD
61.91%
6M
54.01%
1Y
132.34%
3Y*
68.49%
5Y*
27.97%
10Y*
44.95%

NQ=F

1D
-0.76%
1M
8.04%
YTD
19.42%
6M
18.64%
1Y
39.66%
3Y*
27.73%
5Y*
17.17%
10Y*
20.98%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TQQQ vs. NQ=F - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
61.91%34.35%58.27%198.04%-79.09%82.98%110.05%133.84%-19.79%118.06%
NQ=F
E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures
19.42%19.93%24.69%54.45%-32.46%26.66%47.22%38.20%-1.18%31.76%

Correlation

The correlation between TQQQ and NQ=F is 0.94, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.94

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.98

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.99

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.98

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 12, 2010

0.98

The correlation between TQQQ and NQ=F has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.94 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

TQQQ vs. NQ=F — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TQQQ
TQQQ Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
TQQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8686
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TQQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 6767
Sortino Ratio Rank
TQQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 6666
Omega Ratio Rank
TQQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 7373
Calmar Ratio Rank
TQQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 6666
Martin Ratio Rank

NQ=F
NQ=F Risk / Return Rank: 9292
Overall Rank
NQ=F Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9393
Sharpe Ratio Rank
NQ=F Sortino Ratio Rank: 9393
Sortino Ratio Rank
NQ=F Omega Ratio Rank: 9393
Omega Ratio Rank
NQ=F Calmar Ratio Rank: 9393
Calmar Ratio Rank
NQ=F Martin Ratio Rank: 8888
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TQQQ vs. NQ=F - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) and E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


TQQQNQ=FDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.36

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.25

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.39

1.43

-0.04

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.60

3.20

+0.40

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

11.77

11.68

+0.10

TQQQ vs. NQ=F - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TQQQ Sharpe Ratio is 2.80, which is comparable to the NQ=F Sharpe Ratio of 2.44. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TQQQ and NQ=F, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


TQQQNQ=FDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.80

2.44

+0.36

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.42

0.76

-0.34

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.68

0.94

-0.26

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.74

0.97

-0.24

Drawdowns

TQQQ vs. NQ=F - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TQQQ drawdown since its inception was -81.66%, which is greater than NQ=F's maximum drawdown of -35.28%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TQQQ and NQ=F.


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Drawdown Indicators


TQQQNQ=FDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-81.66%

-35.28%

-46.38%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-36.97%

-11.89%

-25.08%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-58.04%

-23.05%

-34.99%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-81.66%

-35.28%

-46.38%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-81.66%

-35.28%

-46.38%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-2.29%

-1.02%

-1.27%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-18.52%

-5.11%

-13.41%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

11.28%

3.31%

+7.97%

Volatility

TQQQ vs. NQ=F - Volatility Comparison

ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a higher volatility of 13.35% compared to E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) at 4.05%. This indicates that TQQQ's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than NQ=F based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TQQQNQ=FDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

13.35%

4.05%

+9.30%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

36.04%

11.89%

+24.15%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

47.60%

15.61%

+31.99%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

66.50%

22.43%

+44.07%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

65.95%

22.28%

+43.67%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.94, TQQQ and NQ=F move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

TQQQ has higher volatility (13.35%) compared to NQ=F (4.05%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TQQQ dropped -81.66% vs NQ=F's -35.28%.

TQQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.80 vs 2.44), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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