NQ=F vs. ^NDX
NQ=F (E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures) is an asset, while ^NDX (NASDAQ 100 Index) is an index. Over the past 10 years, NQ=F returned 21.06%/yr vs 21.09%/yr for ^NDX. With a 0.98 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep.
Performance
NQ=F vs. ^NDX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, NQ=F achieves a 19.79% return, which is significantly lower than ^NDX's 21.07% return. Both investments have delivered pretty close results over the past 10 years, with NQ=F having a 21.06% annualized return and ^NDX not far ahead at 21.09%.
NQ=F
- 1D
- -0.71%
- 1M
- 9.79%
- YTD
- 19.79%
- 6M
- 18.85%
- 1Y
- 40.49%
- 3Y*
- 27.90%
- 5Y*
- 17.24%
- 10Y*
- 21.06%
^NDX
- 1D
- -0.29%
- 1M
- 10.56%
- YTD
- 21.07%
- 6M
- 19.39%
- 1Y
- 41.12%
- 3Y*
- 28.09%
- 5Y*
- 17.29%
- 10Y*
- 21.09%
NQ=F vs. ^NDX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NQ=F E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures | 19.79% | 19.93% | 24.69% | 54.45% | -32.46% | 26.66% | 47.22% | 38.20% | -1.18% | 31.76% |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 21.07% | 20.17% | 24.88% | 53.81% | -32.97% | 26.63% | 47.58% | 37.96% | -1.04% | 31.52% |
Correlation
The correlation between NQ=F and ^NDX is 0.94, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.99 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 27, 2009 | 0.98 |
The correlation between NQ=F and ^NDX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.94 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
NQ=F vs. ^NDX — Risk / Return Rank
NQ=F
^NDX
NQ=F vs. ^NDX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) and NASDAQ 100 Index (^NDX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| NQ=F | ^NDX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.49 | 2.57 | -0.08 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.32 | 3.37 | -0.05 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.43 | 1.44 | 0.00 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.27 | 3.41 | -0.14 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.92 | 13.03 | -1.11 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| NQ=F | ^NDX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 2.49 | 2.57 | -0.08 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.00 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.94 | 0.94 | +0.01 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.97 | 0.57 | +0.40 |
Drawdowns
NQ=F vs. ^NDX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum NQ=F drawdown since its inception was -35.28%, smaller than the maximum ^NDX drawdown of -82.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NQ=F and ^NDX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| NQ=F | ^NDX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -35.28% | -82.90% | +47.62% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -11.89% | -12.12% | +0.23% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -23.05% | -22.93% | -0.12% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -35.28% | -35.56% | +0.28% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -35.28% | -35.56% | +0.28% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -0.71% | -0.29% | -0.42% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -5.11% | -24.62% | +19.51% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.31% | 3.17% | +0.14% |
Volatility
NQ=F vs. ^NDX - Volatility Comparison
E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) and NASDAQ 100 Index (^NDX) have volatilities of 4.36% and 4.52%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| NQ=F | ^NDX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 4.36% | 4.52% | -0.16% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 11.88% | 12.18% | -0.30% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 15.61% | 16.08% | -0.47% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 22.45% | 22.60% | -0.15% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 22.29% | 22.53% | -0.24% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.94, NQ=F and ^NDX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
^NDX has higher volatility (4.52%) compared to NQ=F (4.36%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NQ=F dropped -35.28% vs ^NDX's -82.90%.
^NDX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.57 vs 2.49), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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