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TPHD vs. MSTZ
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TPHD vs. MSTZ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) and T-REX 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTZ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TPHD achieves a 12.37% return, which is significantly higher than MSTZ's -26.97% return.


TPHD

1D
0.63%
1M
1.39%
6M
9.78%
YTD
12.37%
1Y
13.24%
3Y*
12.80%
5Y*
9.63%
10Y*

MSTZ

1D
-1.53%
1M
39.32%
6M
-19.19%
YTD
-26.97%
1Y
264.10%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TPHD vs. MSTZ - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
TPHD
Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF
12.37%8.28%-1.75%
MSTZ
T-REX 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF
-26.97%-38.95%-94.43%

Correlation

The correlation between TPHD and MSTZ is -0.19, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.19

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 18, 2024

-0.23

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Return for Risk

TPHD vs. MSTZ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TPHD
TPHD Risk / Return Rank: 4444
Overall Rank
TPHD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4242
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TPHD Sortino Ratio Rank: 4343
Sortino Ratio Rank
TPHD Omega Ratio Rank: 3939
Omega Ratio Rank
TPHD Calmar Ratio Rank: 5252
Calmar Ratio Rank
TPHD Martin Ratio Rank: 4444
Martin Ratio Rank

MSTZ
MSTZ Risk / Return Rank: 6060
Overall Rank
MSTZ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6161
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MSTZ Sortino Ratio Rank: 6262
Sortino Ratio Rank
MSTZ Omega Ratio Rank: 6363
Omega Ratio Rank
MSTZ Calmar Ratio Rank: 7171
Calmar Ratio Rank
MSTZ Martin Ratio Rank: 4343
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TPHD vs. MSTZ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) and T-REX 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTZ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


TPHDMSTZDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.44

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.53

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.21

1.30

-0.09

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.08

2.86

-0.78

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

5.73

5.59

+0.14

TPHD vs. MSTZ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TPHD Sharpe Ratio is 1.20, which is comparable to the MSTZ Sharpe Ratio of 1.64. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TPHD and MSTZ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

TPHD vs. MSTZ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TPHD drawdown since its inception was -41.71%, smaller than the maximum MSTZ drawdown of -99.38%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TPHD and MSTZ.


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Drawdown Indicators


TPHDMSTZDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-41.71%

-99.38%

+57.67%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-6.08%

-84.89%

+78.81%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-15.89%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-16.54%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.44%

-97.51%

+97.07%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-4.68%

-94.53%

+89.85%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.21%

43.41%

-41.20%

Volatility

TPHD vs. MSTZ - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD) is 3.03%, while T-REX 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTZ) has a volatility of 56.46%. This indicates that TPHD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MSTZ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TPHDMSTZDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.03%

56.46%

-53.43%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

7.38%

135.20%

-127.82%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

10.59%

148.41%

-137.82%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

14.57%

171.17%

-156.60%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

19.53%

171.17%

-151.64%

TPHD vs. MSTZ - Expense Ratio Comparison

TPHD has a 0.52% expense ratio, which is lower than MSTZ's 1.05% expense ratio.


Dividends

TPHD vs. MSTZ - Dividend Comparison

TPHD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.93%, while MSTZ has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM2025202420232022202120202019
MSTZ
T-REX 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TPHD
Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF
1.93%2.10%2.09%2.19%2.38%1.86%2.38%1.61%

Frequently Asked Questions


TPHD and MSTZ have a correlation of -0.19, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

MSTZ has higher volatility (56.46%) compared to TPHD (3.03%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TPHD dropped -41.71% vs MSTZ's -99.38%.

On 1-year performance, MSTZ leads with 264.10% vs 13.24% for TPHD. On fees, TPHD is cheaper at 0.52% per year. On volatility, TPHD has been the lower-risk option at 3.03%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, MSTZ has performed better with a 264.10% return vs 13.24%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

TPHD is cheaper with a 0.52% expense ratio, compared with 1.05% for MSTZ.

TPHD has the higher dividend yield at 1.93%, compared with 0.00% for MSTZ.

TPHD is categorized as Mid Cap Value Equities, while MSTZ is Inverse Equities. They also come from different issuers: Timothy Plan and REX. Their fees differ too: 0.52% for TPHD and 1.05% for MSTZ.

MSTZ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.64 vs 1.20), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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