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TBT vs. UCON
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TBT vs. UCON - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) and First Trust TCW Unconstrained Plus Bond ETF (UCON). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TBT achieves a 1.05% return, which is significantly higher than UCON's 0.76% return.


TBT

1D
-0.51%
1M
-4.25%
YTD
1.05%
6M
2.51%
1Y
-0.72%
3Y*
10.52%
5Y*
16.22%
10Y*
2.32%

UCON

1D
0.02%
1M
0.50%
YTD
0.76%
6M
0.92%
1Y
5.01%
3Y*
5.89%
5Y*
2.78%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TBT vs. UCON - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024202320222021202020192018
TBT
ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury
1.05%-1.45%27.66%-2.42%93.29%2.86%-37.93%-22.90%-5.14%
UCON
First Trust TCW Unconstrained Plus Bond ETF
0.76%7.00%4.69%7.72%-5.72%1.02%6.54%7.39%1.11%

Correlation

The correlation between TBT and UCON is -0.79, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.79

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.68

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.54

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 5, 2018

-0.42

Over the past year, the inverse relationship between TBT and UCON has strengthened: their correlation has moved from -0.42 to -0.79, meaning they now move in opposite directions more often than their long-term average.

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Return for Risk

TBT vs. UCON — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TBT
TBT Risk / Return Rank: 88
Overall Rank
TBT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 88
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TBT Sortino Ratio Rank: 88
Sortino Ratio Rank
TBT Omega Ratio Rank: 88
Omega Ratio Rank
TBT Calmar Ratio Rank: 88
Calmar Ratio Rank
TBT Martin Ratio Rank: 88
Martin Ratio Rank

UCON
UCON Risk / Return Rank: 5050
Overall Rank
UCON Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5252
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UCON Sortino Ratio Rank: 5353
Sortino Ratio Rank
UCON Omega Ratio Rank: 5353
Omega Ratio Rank
UCON Calmar Ratio Rank: 4444
Calmar Ratio Rank
UCON Martin Ratio Rank: 4949
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TBT vs. UCON - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) and First Trust TCW Unconstrained Plus Bond ETF (UCON). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


TBTUCONDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.72

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-2.33

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.01

1.31

-0.31

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.05

2.05

-2.10

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-0.10

7.85

-7.94

TBT vs. UCON - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TBT Sharpe Ratio is -0.04, which is lower than the UCON Sharpe Ratio of 1.69. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TBT and UCON, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

TBT vs. UCON - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TBT drawdown since its inception was -94.99%, which is greater than UCON's maximum drawdown of -15.31%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TBT and UCON.


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Drawdown Indicators


TBTUCONDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-94.99%

-15.31%

-79.68%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-14.89%

-2.45%

-12.44%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-33.83%

-2.85%

-30.98%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-33.83%

-9.60%

-24.23%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-65.09%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-85.92%

-0.43%

-85.49%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-77.34%

-1.48%

-75.86%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

7.55%

0.64%

+6.91%

Volatility

TBT vs. UCON - Volatility Comparison

ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) has a higher volatility of 4.53% compared to First Trust TCW Unconstrained Plus Bond ETF (UCON) at 0.85%. This indicates that TBT's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than UCON based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TBTUCONDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.53%

0.85%

+3.68%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

13.49%

2.37%

+11.12%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

19.19%

2.99%

+16.20%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

31.32%

3.90%

+27.42%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

28.75%

5.88%

+22.87%

TBT vs. UCON - Expense Ratio Comparison

TBT has a 0.93% expense ratio, which is higher than UCON's 0.86% expense ratio.


Dividends

TBT vs. UCON - Dividend Comparison

TBT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.95%, less than UCON's 4.66% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018
TBT
ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury
2.95%3.21%4.64%4.98%0.42%0.00%0.32%2.12%0.99%
UCON
First Trust TCW Unconstrained Plus Bond ETF
4.66%4.63%4.95%4.75%3.12%2.20%3.14%3.25%1.76%

Frequently Asked Questions


TBT and UCON have a correlation of -0.79, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

TBT has higher volatility (4.53%) compared to UCON (0.85%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TBT dropped -94.99% vs UCON's -15.31%.

On 5-year performance, TBT leads with 16.22% vs 2.78% for UCON. On fees, UCON is cheaper at 0.86% per year. On volatility, UCON has been the lower-risk option at 0.85%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 5-year period, TBT has performed better with a 16.22% return vs 2.78%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

UCON is cheaper with a 0.86% expense ratio, compared with 0.93% for TBT.

UCON has the higher dividend yield at 4.66%, compared with 2.95% for TBT.

TBT is categorized as Inverse Bonds, while UCON is Nontraditional Bonds. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and First Trust. Their fees differ too: 0.93% for TBT and 0.86% for UCON.

UCON currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.69 vs -0.04), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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