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SWDRX vs. SPY
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

SWDRX vs. SPY - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Schwab Target 2030 Fund (SWDRX) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SWDRX achieves a 6.57% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's 11.69% return. Over the past 10 years, SWDRX has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of 8.60%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.57% annualized return.


SWDRX

1D
0.06%
1M
2.42%
YTD
6.57%
6M
7.21%
1Y
17.44%
3Y*
13.51%
5Y*
6.43%
10Y*
8.60%

SPY

1D
0.14%
1M
5.40%
YTD
11.69%
6M
12.09%
1Y
29.62%
3Y*
22.64%
5Y*
14.20%
10Y*
15.57%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SWDRX vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
SWDRX
Schwab Target 2030 Fund
6.57%14.87%10.52%16.38%-17.00%12.52%13.49%20.41%-7.20%17.55%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
11.69%17.72%24.89%26.18%-18.18%28.73%18.33%31.22%-4.57%21.71%

Correlation

The correlation between SWDRX and SPY is 0.93, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.93

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.91

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.92

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.93

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 5, 2005

0.94

The correlation between SWDRX and SPY has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.91 to 0.94 - a consistent structural relationship.

SWDRX vs. SPY - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
SWDRX
SPY

Technology

26.0%
35.9%

Financial Services

12.0%
11.8%

Industrials

11.7%
7.8%

Healthcare

10.6%
8.4%

Consumer Cyclical

9.3%
10.3%

Communication Services

8.7%
11.3%

Real Estate

7.4%
1.9%

Consumer Defensive

4.6%
4.8%

Energy

4.3%
3.6%

Basic Materials

3.5%
1.8%

Utilities

2.0%
2.4%

Technology

SWDRX
26.0%
SPY
35.9%

Financial Services

SWDRX
12.0%
SPY
11.8%

Industrials

SWDRX
11.7%
SPY
7.8%

Healthcare

SWDRX
10.6%
SPY
8.4%

Consumer Cyclical

SWDRX
9.3%
SPY
10.3%

Communication Services

SWDRX
8.7%
SPY
11.3%

Real Estate

SWDRX
7.4%
SPY
1.9%

Consumer Defensive

SWDRX
4.6%
SPY
4.8%

Energy

SWDRX
4.3%
SPY
3.6%

Basic Materials

SWDRX
3.5%
SPY
1.8%

Utilities

SWDRX
2.0%
SPY
2.4%

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Return for Risk

SWDRX vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SWDRX
SWDRX Risk / Return Rank: 6060
Overall Rank
SWDRX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6161
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SWDRX Sortino Ratio Rank: 6161
Sortino Ratio Rank
SWDRX Omega Ratio Rank: 6060
Omega Ratio Rank
SWDRX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5454
Calmar Ratio Rank
SWDRX Martin Ratio Rank: 6363
Martin Ratio Rank

SPY
SPY Risk / Return Rank: 7575
Overall Rank
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7777
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 7575
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 7676
Omega Ratio Rank
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 6868
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 8080
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SWDRX vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Schwab Target 2030 Fund (SWDRX) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


SWDRXSPYDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.31

2.52

-0.21

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.29

3.42

-0.12

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.43

1.46

-0.03

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.85

3.42

-0.57

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

12.52

15.93

-3.41

SWDRX vs. SPY - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SWDRX Sharpe Ratio is 2.31, which is comparable to the SPY Sharpe Ratio of 2.52. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SWDRX and SPY, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


SWDRXSPYDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.31

2.52

-0.21

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.51

0.84

-0.32

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.70

0.87

-0.17

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.54

0.59

-0.04

Drawdowns

SWDRX vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SWDRX drawdown since its inception was -45.34%, smaller than the maximum SPY drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SWDRX and SPY.


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Drawdown Indicators


SWDRXSPYDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-45.34%

-55.19%

+9.85%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-6.27%

-8.88%

+2.61%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-9.71%

-18.76%

+9.05%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-28.17%

-24.50%

-3.67%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-28.17%

-33.72%

+5.55%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.48%

-9.05%

+2.57%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.43%

1.91%

-0.48%

Volatility

SWDRX vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Schwab Target 2030 Fund (SWDRX) is 2.35%, while State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has a volatility of 2.75%. This indicates that SWDRX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


SWDRXSPYDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.35%

2.75%

-0.40%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.11%

8.89%

-2.78%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

7.74%

11.81%

-4.07%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

12.58%

17.05%

-4.47%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

12.27%

17.94%

-5.67%

SWDRX vs. SPY - Expense Ratio Comparison

SWDRX has a 0.00% expense ratio, which is lower than SPY's 0.09% expense ratio. Despite the difference, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

SWDRX vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison

SWDRX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 7.80%, more than SPY's 0.97% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.97%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
SWDRX
Schwab Target 2030 Fund
7.80%8.31%6.37%4.28%6.77%6.92%3.23%6.60%7.03%4.86%5.87%9.35%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.93, SWDRX and SPY move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

SPY has higher volatility (2.75%) compared to SWDRX (2.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SWDRX dropped -45.34% vs SPY's -55.19%.

SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.52 vs 2.31), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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