SPY vs. PGR

Last updated Jul 21, 2026

SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) is S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index, while PGR (The Progressive Corporation) is a stock. Over the past 10 years, SPY returned 14.90%/yr vs 23.82%/yr for PGR. At a 0.46 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

SPY vs. PGR - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and The Progressive Corporation (PGR). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SPY achieves a 9.40% return, which is significantly higher than PGR's -0.79% return. Over the past 10 years, SPY has underperformed PGR with an annualized return of 14.90%, while PGR has yielded a comparatively higher 23.82% annualized return.

SPY

• 1D: -0.16%
• 1M: -0.62%
• 6M: 7.86%
• YTD: 9.40%
• 1Y: 19.56%
• 3Y*: 19.43%
• 5Y*: 12.81%
• 10Y*: 14.90%
• ALL TIME*: 10.78%

PGR

• 1D: 2.06%
• 1M: 3.64%
• 6M: 4.97%
• YTD: -0.79%
• 1Y: -8.28%
• 3Y*: 23.12%
• 5Y*: 20.34%
• 10Y*: 23.82%
• ALL TIME*: 16.86%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SPY vs. PGR - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	9.40%	17.72%	24.89%	26.18%	-18.18%	28.73%	18.33%	31.22%	-4.57%	21.71%
PGR The Progressive Corporation	-0.79%	-3.02%	51.39%	23.16%	26.81%	10.84%	41.48%	25.14%	9.39%	61.59%

Correlation

The correlation between SPY and PGR is -0.20, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.20
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.02
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.20
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.33
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 29, 1993	0.46

The correlation between SPY and PGR shifts across timeframes, from -0.20 (1 year) to 0.46 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

SPY vs. PGR — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SPY

SPY Risk / Return Rank: 63
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 63
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 61
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 62
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 59
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 72

PGR

PGR Risk / Return Rank: 30
PGR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 31
PGR Sortino Ratio Rank: 27
PGR Omega Ratio Rank: 27
PGR Calmar Ratio Rank: 31
PGR Martin Ratio Rank: 31

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SPY vs. PGR - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and The Progressive Corporation (PGR). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	SPY	PGR	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	1.56	-0.33	+1.89
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	2.17	-0.28	+2.45
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.28	0.96	+0.32
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	2.21	-0.42	+2.63
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	9.59	-0.71	+10.30

SPY vs. PGR - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SPY Sharpe Ratio is 1.56, which is higher than the PGR Sharpe Ratio of -0.33. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SPY and PGR, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

SPY vs. PGR - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SPY drawdown since its inception was -55.19%, smaller than the maximum PGR drawdown of -71.06%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SPY and PGR.

Drawdown Indicators

	SPY	PGR	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-55.19%	-71.06%	+15.87%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-8.88%	-19.79%	+10.91%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-18.76%	-30.35%	+11.59%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-24.50%	-30.35%	+5.85%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-33.72%	-30.35%	-3.37%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-2.05%	-22.33%	+20.28%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-9.02%	-14.55%	+5.53%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	2.04%	11.71%	-9.67%

Volatility

SPY vs. PGR - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is 3.45%, while The Progressive Corporation (PGR) has a volatility of 14.04%. This indicates that SPY experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than PGR based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	SPY	PGR	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	3.45%	14.04%	-10.59%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	10.06%	20.19%	-10.13%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	12.64%	25.34%	-12.70%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	17.15%	25.16%	-8.01%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	17.94%	24.79%	-6.85%

Dividends

SPY vs. PGR - Dividend Comparison

SPY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.01%, less than PGR's 6.55% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
PGR The Progressive Corporation	6.55%	2.15%	0.48%	0.25%	0.31%	6.23%	2.68%	3.89%	1.86%	1.21%	2.50%	2.16%
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	1.01%	1.07%	1.21%	1.40%	1.65%	1.20%	1.52%	1.75%	2.04%	1.80%	2.03%	2.06%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both SPY and PGR in my portfolio?

SPY and PGR have a correlation of -0.20, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, SPY or PGR?

PGR has higher volatility (14.04%) compared to SPY (3.45%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SPY dropped -55.19% vs PGR's -71.06%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.56 vs -0.33), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.