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SPDN vs. SDS
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

SPDN vs. SDS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN) and ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SPDN achieves a -8.34% return, which is significantly higher than SDS's -18.16% return.


SPDN

1D
-0.12%
1M
-4.44%
YTD
-8.34%
6M
-8.19%
1Y
-17.88%
3Y*
-12.97%
5Y*
-9.14%
10Y*

SDS

1D
-0.21%
1M
-9.41%
YTD
-18.16%
6M
-18.17%
1Y
-36.23%
3Y*
-29.11%
5Y*
-22.48%
10Y*
-27.81%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SPDN vs. SDS - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares
-8.34%-11.09%-12.88%-15.04%18.63%-23.72%-24.56%-21.94%5.41%-17.16%
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
-18.16%-26.79%-29.45%-31.53%30.69%-43.02%-49.91%-41.17%6.04%-32.02%

Correlation

The correlation between SPDN and SDS is 0.99 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.99

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.99

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

1.00

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 9, 2016

0.99

The correlation between SPDN and SDS has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.99 to 1.00 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

SPDN vs. SDS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SPDN
SPDN Risk / Return Rank: 00
Overall Rank
SPDN Sharpe Ratio Rank: 00
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPDN Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPDN Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
SPDN Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPDN Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank

SDS
SDS Risk / Return Rank: 00
Overall Rank
SDS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 00
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SDS Sortino Ratio Rank: 00
Sortino Ratio Rank
SDS Omega Ratio Rank: 00
Omega Ratio Rank
SDS Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
SDS Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SPDN vs. SDS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN) and ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


SPDNSDSDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

-1.49

-1.54

+0.06

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

-2.14

-2.42

+0.28

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

0.77

0.74

+0.03

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

-1.02

-1.02

0.00

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

-1.89

-1.80

-0.08

SPDN vs. SDS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SPDN Sharpe Ratio is -1.49, which is comparable to the SDS Sharpe Ratio of -1.54. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SPDN and SDS, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


SPDNSDSDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-1.49

-1.54

+0.06

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.54

-0.67

+0.13

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.78

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.70

-0.66

-0.04

Drawdowns

SPDN vs. SDS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SPDN drawdown since its inception was -75.31%, smaller than the maximum SDS drawdown of -99.85%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SPDN and SDS.


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Drawdown Indicators


SPDNSDSDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-75.31%

-99.85%

+24.54%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-17.95%

-36.20%

+18.25%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-38.24%

-68.14%

+29.90%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-43.85%

-75.54%

+31.69%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-96.48%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-75.31%

-99.85%

+24.54%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-48.53%

-82.73%

+34.20%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

9.71%

20.43%

-10.72%

Volatility

SPDN vs. SDS - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN) is 2.78%, while ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) has a volatility of 5.42%. This indicates that SPDN experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SDS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


SPDNSDSDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.78%

5.42%

-2.64%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

9.08%

17.78%

-8.70%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

12.09%

23.55%

-11.46%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.86%

33.63%

-16.77%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

18.04%

35.82%

-17.78%

SPDN vs. SDS - Expense Ratio Comparison

SPDN has a 0.50% expense ratio, which is lower than SDS's 0.91% expense ratio.


Dividends

SPDN vs. SDS - Dividend Comparison

SPDN's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.12%, less than SDS's 5.87% yield.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
5.87%5.88%7.89%5.77%0.35%0.00%0.92%1.84%1.28%0.09%
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares
4.12%4.06%5.32%5.84%0.96%0.00%0.10%1.89%1.24%0.42%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.99, SPDN and SDS move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

SDS has higher volatility (5.42%) compared to SPDN (2.78%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SPDN dropped -75.31% vs SDS's -99.85%.

On 5-year performance, SPDN leads with -9.14% vs -22.48% for SDS. On fees, SPDN is cheaper at 0.50% per year. On volatility, SPDN has been the lower-risk option at 2.78%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 5-year period, SPDN has performed better with a -9.14% return vs -22.48%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

SPDN is cheaper with a 0.50% expense ratio, compared with 0.91% for SDS.

SDS has the higher dividend yield at 5.87%, compared with 4.12% for SPDN.

SPDN is categorized as Inverse Equities, while SDS is Leveraged Equities. SPDN tracks S&P 500 Index, while SDS tracks S&P 500 Index (-200%). They also come from different issuers: Direxion and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 0.50% for SPDN and 0.91% for SDS.

SPDN currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-1.49 vs -1.54), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for SPDN and SDS

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