SDS vs. SPY
SDS (ProShares UltraShort S&P500) and SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - SDS is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S&P 500 Index (-200%), while SPY is a S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, SDS returned -27.05%/yr vs 15.07%/yr for SPY. Their -1.00 correlation means they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. SDS charges 0.91%/yr vs 0.09%/yr for SPY.
Performance
SDS vs. SPY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SDS achieves a -15.25% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's 10.13% return. Over the past 10 years, SDS has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of -27.05%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.07% annualized return.
SDS
- 1D
- -1.30%
- 1M
- -0.07%
- 6M
- -13.26%
- YTD
- -15.25%
- 1Y
- -28.08%
- 3Y*
- -25.42%
- 5Y*
- -20.30%
- 10Y*
- -27.05%
- ALL TIME*
- -24.93%
SPY
- 1D
- 0.72%
- 1M
- 0.30%
- 6M
- 8.53%
- YTD
- 10.13%
- 1Y
- 21.49%
- 3Y*
- 19.32%
- 5Y*
- 12.76%
- 10Y*
- 15.07%
- ALL TIME*
- 10.79%
Liquidity Comparison
| Position | Avg. Volume Value (2W) | Avg. Volume Value (1M) | Avg. Volume Value (3M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $155.74M | $150.04M | $195.27M | |
| $37.27B | $35.99B | $39.23B |
SDS vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 | -15.25% | -26.79% | -29.45% | -31.53% | 30.69% | -43.02% | -49.91% | -41.17% | 6.04% | -32.02% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 10.13% | 17.72% | 24.89% | 26.18% | -18.18% | 28.73% | 18.33% | 31.22% | -4.57% | 21.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between SDS and SPY is -1.00, meaning they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. This relationship can weaken or reverse as market conditions change.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | -1.00 |
Correlation (3Y) Balances recent behavior with more history. | -1.00 |
Correlation (5Y) Shows whether the relationship held over a longer period. | -1.00 |
Correlation (10Y) Provides a long-term view across more market conditions. | -1.00 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 13, 2006 | -1.00 |
The correlation between SDS and SPY has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -1.00 to -1.00 - a consistent structural relationship.
SDS vs. SPY - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
SDS
SPY
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
SDS
SPY
Basic Materials
SDS
-
SPY
Communication Services
SDS
-
SPY
Consumer Cyclical
SDS
-
SPY
Consumer Defensive
SDS
-
SPY
Energy
SDS
-
SPY
Healthcare
SDS
-
SPY
Industrials
SDS
-
SPY
Real Estate
SDS
-
SPY
Technology
SDS
-
SPY
Utilities
SDS
-
SPY
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Return for Risk
SDS vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank
SDS
SPY
SDS vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| SDS | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.53 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -3.56 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.84 | 1.27 | -0.43 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.84 | 2.20 | -3.05 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.42 | 9.40 | -10.82 |
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Drawdowns
SDS vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SDS drawdown since its inception was -99.85%, which is greater than SPY's maximum drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SDS and SPY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SDS | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.85% | -55.19% | -44.66% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -30.56% | -8.88% | -21.68% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -68.14% | -18.76% | -49.38% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -75.54% | -24.50% | -51.04% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -96.08% | -33.72% | -62.36% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -99.84% | -1.40% | -98.44% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -82.85% | -9.01% | -73.84% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 18.14% | 2.08% | +16.06% |
Volatility
SDS vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison
ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) has a higher volatility of 7.16% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 3.58%. This indicates that SDS's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SDS | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 7.16% | 3.58% | +3.58% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 20.17% | 10.14% | +10.03% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 25.61% | 12.89% | +12.72% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 33.87% | 17.18% | +16.69% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 35.84% | 17.95% | +17.89% |
SDS vs. SPY - Expense Ratio Comparison
SDS has a 0.91% expense ratio, which is higher than SPY's 0.09% expense ratio.
Dividends
SDS vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison
SDS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.30%, more than SPY's 1.01% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 | 5.30% | 5.88% | 7.89% | 5.77% | 0.35% | 0.00% | 0.92% | 1.84% | 1.28% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.01% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SDS and SPY have a correlation of -1.00, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SDS has higher volatility (7.16%) compared to SPY (3.58%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SDS dropped -99.85% vs SPY's -55.19%.
On 10-year performance, SPY leads with 15.07% vs -27.05% for SDS. On fees, SPY is cheaper at 0.09% per year. On volatility, SPY has been the lower-risk option at 3.58%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, SPY has performed better with a 15.07% return vs -27.05%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPY is cheaper with a 0.09% expense ratio, compared with 0.91% for SDS.
SDS has the higher dividend yield at 5.30%, compared with 1.01% for SPY.
SDS is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while SPY is S&P 500. SDS tracks S&P 500 Index (-200%), while SPY tracks S&P 500 Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and State Street. Their fees differ too: 0.91% for SDS and 0.09% for SPY.
SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.52 vs -1.01), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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