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SMILX vs. TPDAX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

SMILX vs. TPDAX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in SMI Multi-Strategy Fund (SMILX) and Timothy Plan Defensive Strategies Fund (TPDAX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SMILX achieves a 14.81% return, which is significantly higher than TPDAX's 10.96% return. Both investments have delivered pretty close results over the past 10 years, with SMILX having a 6.92% annualized return and TPDAX not far ahead at 7.18%.


SMILX

1D
0.73%
1M
4.91%
YTD
14.81%
6M
15.34%
1Y
27.37%
3Y*
15.00%
5Y*
7.09%
10Y*
6.92%

TPDAX

1D
0.48%
1M
-0.42%
YTD
10.96%
6M
11.99%
1Y
25.38%
3Y*
15.44%
5Y*
8.65%
10Y*
7.18%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SMILX vs. TPDAX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
SMILX
SMI Multi-Strategy Fund
14.81%13.97%13.23%6.59%-11.85%9.72%17.35%12.77%-10.36%9.51%
TPDAX
Timothy Plan Defensive Strategies Fund
10.96%23.97%5.29%7.71%-5.63%12.15%8.83%13.77%-7.24%4.14%

Correlation

The correlation between SMILX and TPDAX is 0.62, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.62

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.59

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.68

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.67

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 3, 2011

0.67

The correlation between SMILX and TPDAX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.59 to 0.68 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

SMILX vs. TPDAX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SMILX
SMILX Risk / Return Rank: 6464
Overall Rank
SMILX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6161
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SMILX Sortino Ratio Rank: 5353
Sortino Ratio Rank
SMILX Omega Ratio Rank: 5858
Omega Ratio Rank
SMILX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7575
Calmar Ratio Rank
SMILX Martin Ratio Rank: 7373
Martin Ratio Rank

TPDAX
TPDAX Risk / Return Rank: 5959
Overall Rank
TPDAX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6060
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TPDAX Sortino Ratio Rank: 4848
Sortino Ratio Rank
TPDAX Omega Ratio Rank: 5959
Omega Ratio Rank
TPDAX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7373
Calmar Ratio Rank
TPDAX Martin Ratio Rank: 5858
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SMILX vs. TPDAX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for SMI Multi-Strategy Fund (SMILX) and Timothy Plan Defensive Strategies Fund (TPDAX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


SMILXTPDAXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.03

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.17

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.42

1.43

0.00

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.42

3.34

+0.08

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

13.87

11.51

+2.36

SMILX vs. TPDAX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SMILX Sharpe Ratio is 2.31, which is comparable to the TPDAX Sharpe Ratio of 2.28. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SMILX and TPDAX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


SMILXTPDAXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.31

2.28

+0.03

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.43

0.85

-0.43

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.48

0.73

-0.25

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.40

0.60

-0.20

Drawdowns

SMILX vs. TPDAX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SMILX drawdown since its inception was -29.75%, which is greater than TPDAX's maximum drawdown of -22.29%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SMILX and TPDAX.


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Drawdown Indicators


SMILXTPDAXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-29.75%

-22.29%

-7.46%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.14%

-7.58%

-0.56%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-15.09%

-7.58%

-7.51%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-29.75%

-17.58%

-12.17%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-29.75%

-22.29%

-7.46%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

-3.53%

+3.53%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-9.12%

-4.92%

-4.20%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.01%

2.20%

-0.19%

Volatility

SMILX vs. TPDAX - Volatility Comparison

SMI Multi-Strategy Fund (SMILX) has a higher volatility of 3.63% compared to Timothy Plan Defensive Strategies Fund (TPDAX) at 2.91%. This indicates that SMILX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TPDAX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


SMILXTPDAXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.63%

2.91%

+0.72%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

9.87%

9.47%

+0.40%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

12.11%

11.17%

+0.94%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.73%

10.18%

+6.55%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

14.61%

9.90%

+4.71%

SMILX vs. TPDAX - Expense Ratio Comparison

SMILX has a 1.15% expense ratio, which is lower than TPDAX's 1.37% expense ratio.


Dividends

SMILX vs. TPDAX - Dividend Comparison

SMILX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 7.25%, more than TPDAX's 0.72% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
SMILX
SMI Multi-Strategy Fund
7.25%8.33%6.24%0.83%0.36%19.10%0.33%0.45%3.55%1.20%0.89%3.24%
TPDAX
Timothy Plan Defensive Strategies Fund
0.72%0.80%2.76%2.35%4.48%0.50%0.00%2.89%2.69%0.13%0.33%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


SMILX and TPDAX have a correlation of 0.62, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

SMILX has higher volatility (3.63%) compared to TPDAX (2.91%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SMILX dropped -29.75% vs TPDAX's -22.29%.

SMILX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.31 vs 2.28), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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