SMCZ vs. SPDN
SMCZ (Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF) and SPDN (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares) are both Inverse Equities funds. SMCZ is actively managed, while SPDN is passively managed. Over the past year, SMCZ returned -62.54% vs -12.88% for SPDN. A 0.53 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. SMCZ charges 1.29%/yr vs 0.50%/yr for SPDN.
Performance
SMCZ vs. SPDN - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SMCZ achieves a -79.42% return, which is significantly lower than SPDN's -7.06% return.
SMCZ
- 1D
- 15.76%
- 1M
- 9.56%
- 6M
- -78.30%
- YTD
- -79.42%
- 1Y
- -62.54%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SPDN
- 1D
- 0.58%
- 1M
- 0.11%
- 6M
- -5.97%
- YTD
- -7.06%
- 1Y
- -12.88%
- 3Y*
- -11.23%
- 5Y*
- -8.27%
- 10Y*
- -12.21%
SMCZ vs. SPDN - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
SMCZ Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF | -79.42% | -62.31% |
SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares | -7.06% | -16.13% |
Correlation
The correlation between SMCZ and SPDN is 0.53, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.53 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 1, 2025 | 0.53 |
The correlation between SMCZ and SPDN has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.53 to 0.53 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
SMCZ vs. SPDN — Risk / Return Rank
SMCZ
SPDN
SMCZ vs. SPDN - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (SMCZ) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| SMCZ | SPDN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.66 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.87 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.06 | 0.84 | +0.21 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.69 | -0.81 | +0.13 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.35 | -1.53 | +0.18 |
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Drawdowns
SMCZ vs. SPDN - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SMCZ drawdown since its inception was -97.40%, which is greater than SPDN's maximum drawdown of -75.31%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SMCZ and SPDN.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SMCZ | SPDN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -97.40% | -75.31% | -22.09% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -91.49% | -15.93% | -75.56% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -38.24% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -43.85% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -73.97% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -93.98% | -74.97% | -19.01% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -77.25% | -48.82% | -28.43% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 46.19% | 8.44% | +37.75% |
Volatility
SMCZ vs. SPDN - Volatility Comparison
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (SMCZ) has a higher volatility of 60.25% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN) at 3.50%. This indicates that SMCZ's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPDN based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SMCZ | SPDN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 60.25% | 3.50% | +56.75% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 152.52% | 10.09% | +142.43% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 172.96% | 12.71% | +160.25% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 173.11% | 16.97% | +156.14% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 173.11% | 18.00% | +155.11% |
SMCZ vs. SPDN - Expense Ratio Comparison
SMCZ has a 1.29% expense ratio, which is higher than SPDN's 0.50% expense ratio.
Dividends
SMCZ vs. SPDN - Dividend Comparison
SMCZ's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 9.87%, more than SPDN's 3.34% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SMCZ Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF | 9.87% | 2.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares | 3.34% | 4.06% | 5.32% | 5.84% | 0.96% | 0.00% | 0.10% | 1.89% | 1.24% | 0.42% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SMCZ and SPDN have a correlation of 0.53, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMCZ has higher volatility (60.25%) compared to SPDN (3.50%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SMCZ dropped -97.40% vs SPDN's -75.31%.
On 1-year performance, SPDN leads with -12.88% vs -62.54% for SMCZ. On fees, SPDN is cheaper at 0.50% per year. On volatility, SPDN has been the lower-risk option at 3.50%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SPDN has performed better with a -12.88% return vs -62.54%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPDN is cheaper with a 0.50% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for SMCZ.
SMCZ has the higher dividend yield at 9.87%, compared with 3.34% for SPDN.
They also come from different issuers: Defiance and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 1.29% for SMCZ and 0.50% for SPDN.
SMCZ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.36 vs -1.02), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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