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SDS vs. SPDN
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

SDS vs. SPDN - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SDS achieves a -18.16% return, which is significantly lower than SPDN's -8.34% return.


SDS

1D
-0.21%
1M
-9.41%
YTD
-18.16%
6M
-18.17%
1Y
-36.23%
3Y*
-29.11%
5Y*
-22.48%
10Y*
-27.81%

SPDN

1D
-0.12%
1M
-4.44%
YTD
-8.34%
6M
-8.19%
1Y
-17.88%
3Y*
-12.97%
5Y*
-9.14%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SDS vs. SPDN - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
-18.16%-26.79%-29.45%-31.53%30.69%-43.02%-49.91%-41.17%6.04%-32.02%
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares
-8.34%-11.09%-12.88%-15.04%18.63%-23.72%-24.56%-21.94%5.41%-17.16%

Correlation

The correlation between SDS and SPDN is 0.99 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.99

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.99

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

1.00

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 9, 2016

0.99

The correlation between SDS and SPDN has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.99 to 1.00 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

SDS vs. SPDN — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SDS
SDS Risk / Return Rank: 00
Overall Rank
SDS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 00
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SDS Sortino Ratio Rank: 00
Sortino Ratio Rank
SDS Omega Ratio Rank: 00
Omega Ratio Rank
SDS Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
SDS Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank

SPDN
SPDN Risk / Return Rank: 00
Overall Rank
SPDN Sharpe Ratio Rank: 00
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPDN Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPDN Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
SPDN Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPDN Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SDS vs. SPDN - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


SDSSPDNDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

-1.54

-1.49

-0.06

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

-2.42

-2.14

-0.28

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

0.74

0.77

-0.03

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

-1.02

-1.02

0.00

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

-1.80

-1.89

+0.08

SDS vs. SPDN - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SDS Sharpe Ratio is -1.54, which is comparable to the SPDN Sharpe Ratio of -1.49. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SDS and SPDN, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


SDSSPDNDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-1.54

-1.49

-0.06

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.67

-0.54

-0.13

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.78

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.66

-0.70

+0.04

Drawdowns

SDS vs. SPDN - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SDS drawdown since its inception was -99.85%, which is greater than SPDN's maximum drawdown of -75.31%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SDS and SPDN.


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Drawdown Indicators


SDSSPDNDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-99.85%

-75.31%

-24.54%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-36.20%

-17.95%

-18.25%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-68.14%

-38.24%

-29.90%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-75.54%

-43.85%

-31.69%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-96.48%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-99.85%

-75.31%

-24.54%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-82.73%

-48.53%

-34.20%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

20.43%

9.71%

+10.72%

Volatility

SDS vs. SPDN - Volatility Comparison

ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) has a higher volatility of 5.42% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN) at 2.78%. This indicates that SDS's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPDN based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


SDSSPDNDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.42%

2.78%

+2.64%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

17.78%

9.08%

+8.70%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

23.55%

12.09%

+11.46%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

33.63%

16.86%

+16.77%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

35.82%

18.04%

+17.78%

SDS vs. SPDN - Expense Ratio Comparison

SDS has a 0.91% expense ratio, which is higher than SPDN's 0.50% expense ratio.


Dividends

SDS vs. SPDN - Dividend Comparison

SDS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.87%, more than SPDN's 4.12% yield.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
5.87%5.88%7.89%5.77%0.35%0.00%0.92%1.84%1.28%0.09%
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares
4.12%4.06%5.32%5.84%0.96%0.00%0.10%1.89%1.24%0.42%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.99, SDS and SPDN move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

SDS has higher volatility (5.42%) compared to SPDN (2.78%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SDS dropped -99.85% vs SPDN's -75.31%.

On 5-year performance, SPDN leads with -9.14% vs -22.48% for SDS. On fees, SPDN is cheaper at 0.50% per year. On volatility, SPDN has been the lower-risk option at 2.78%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 5-year period, SPDN has performed better with a -9.14% return vs -22.48%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

SPDN is cheaper with a 0.50% expense ratio, compared with 0.91% for SDS.

SDS has the higher dividend yield at 5.87%, compared with 4.12% for SPDN.

SDS is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while SPDN is Inverse Equities. SDS tracks S&P 500 Index (-200%), while SPDN tracks S&P 500 Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.91% for SDS and 0.50% for SPDN.

SPDN currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-1.49 vs -1.54), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for SDS and SPDN

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