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PSMD vs. HCMT
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

PSMD vs. HCMT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF (PSMD) and Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with PSMD having a 4.91% return and HCMT slightly lower at 4.79%.


PSMD

1D
-0.51%
1M
-0.09%
YTD
4.91%
6M
5.01%
1Y
13.69%
3Y*
12.16%
5Y*
8.98%
10Y*

HCMT

1D
-4.45%
1M
-0.81%
YTD
4.79%
6M
2.44%
1Y
32.49%
3Y*
18.91%
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

PSMD vs. HCMT - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023
PSMD
Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF
4.91%11.45%12.78%6.77%
HCMT
Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF
4.79%7.39%39.14%6.45%

Correlation

The correlation between PSMD and HCMT is 0.82, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.82

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.80

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 22, 2023

0.80

The correlation between PSMD and HCMT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.80 to 0.82 - a consistent structural relationship.

PSMD vs. HCMT - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
PSMD
HCMT

Technology

34.1%
39.1%

Financial Services

12.6%
11.1%

Communication Services

11.2%
10.6%

Consumer Cyclical

10.6%
9.9%

Healthcare

9.4%
8.3%

Industrials

8.0%
7.8%

Consumer Defensive

5.0%
4.5%

Energy

3.2%
3.1%

Utilities

2.3%
2.1%

Real Estate

1.9%
1.8%

Basic Materials

1.8%
1.7%

Technology

PSMD
34.1%
HCMT
39.1%

Financial Services

PSMD
12.6%
HCMT
11.1%

Communication Services

PSMD
11.2%
HCMT
10.6%

Consumer Cyclical

PSMD
10.6%
HCMT
9.9%

Healthcare

PSMD
9.4%
HCMT
8.3%

Industrials

PSMD
8.0%
HCMT
7.8%

Consumer Defensive

PSMD
5.0%
HCMT
4.5%

Energy

PSMD
3.2%
HCMT
3.1%

Utilities

PSMD
2.3%
HCMT
2.1%

Real Estate

PSMD
1.9%
HCMT
1.8%

Basic Materials

PSMD
1.8%
HCMT
1.7%

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Return for Risk

PSMD vs. HCMT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

PSMD
PSMD Risk / Return Rank: 8181
Overall Rank
PSMD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8181
Sharpe Ratio Rank
PSMD Sortino Ratio Rank: 8686
Sortino Ratio Rank
PSMD Omega Ratio Rank: 8787
Omega Ratio Rank
PSMD Calmar Ratio Rank: 6767
Calmar Ratio Rank
PSMD Martin Ratio Rank: 8484
Martin Ratio Rank

HCMT
HCMT Risk / Return Rank: 3737
Overall Rank
HCMT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3737
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HCMT Sortino Ratio Rank: 3434
Sortino Ratio Rank
HCMT Omega Ratio Rank: 3636
Omega Ratio Rank
HCMT Calmar Ratio Rank: 4545
Calmar Ratio Rank
HCMT Martin Ratio Rank: 3636
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

PSMD vs. HCMT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF (PSMD) and Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PSMDHCMTDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+1.16

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.86

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.49

1.23

+0.27

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.11

2.14

+0.97

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

16.22

5.30

+10.92

PSMD vs. HCMT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current PSMD Sharpe Ratio is 2.40, which is higher than the HCMT Sharpe Ratio of 1.24. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of PSMD and HCMT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

PSMD vs. HCMT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum PSMD drawdown since its inception was -11.96%, smaller than the maximum HCMT drawdown of -36.26%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PSMD and HCMT.


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Drawdown Indicators


PSMDHCMTDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-11.96%

-36.26%

+24.30%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-4.42%

-15.27%

+10.85%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-10.70%

-36.26%

+25.56%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-11.96%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.73%

-6.58%

+5.85%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-1.65%

-8.18%

+6.53%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

0.85%

6.15%

-5.30%

Volatility

PSMD vs. HCMT - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF (PSMD) is 1.93%, while Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) has a volatility of 12.47%. This indicates that PSMD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than HCMT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


PSMDHCMTDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.93%

12.47%

-10.54%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

4.78%

19.67%

-14.89%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

5.75%

26.47%

-20.72%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

8.63%

29.01%

-20.38%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

8.47%

29.01%

-20.54%

PSMD vs. HCMT - Expense Ratio Comparison

PSMD has a 0.75% expense ratio, which is lower than HCMT's 1.17% expense ratio.


Dividends

PSMD vs. HCMT - Dividend Comparison

PSMD has not paid dividends to shareholders, while HCMT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.40%.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021
HCMT
Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF
0.40%0.43%2.75%0.63%0.00%0.00%
PSMD
Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.47%

Frequently Asked Questions


PSMD and HCMT have a correlation of 0.82, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

HCMT has higher volatility (12.47%) compared to PSMD (1.93%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PSMD dropped -11.96% vs HCMT's -36.26%.

On 3-year performance, HCMT leads with 18.91% vs 12.16% for PSMD. On fees, PSMD is cheaper at 0.75% per year. On volatility, PSMD has been the lower-risk option at 1.93%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, HCMT has performed better with a 18.91% return vs 12.16%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

PSMD is cheaper with a 0.75% expense ratio, compared with 1.17% for HCMT.

HCMT has the higher dividend yield at 0.40%, compared with 0.00% for PSMD.

They also come from different issuers: Pacer and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.75% for PSMD and 1.17% for HCMT.

PSMD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.40 vs 1.24), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for PSMD and HCMT

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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