PGR vs. SPY

Last updated Jul 21, 2026

PGR (The Progressive Corporation) is a stock, while SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) is S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 10 years, PGR returned 23.82%/yr vs 14.90%/yr for SPY. At a 0.46 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

PGR vs. SPY - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in The Progressive Corporation (PGR) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, PGR achieves a -0.79% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's 9.40% return. Over the past 10 years, PGR has outperformed SPY with an annualized return of 23.82%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively lower 14.90% annualized return.

PGR

• 1D: 2.06%
• 1M: 3.64%
• 6M: 4.97%
• YTD: -0.79%
• 1Y: -8.28%
• 3Y*: 23.12%
• 5Y*: 20.34%
• 10Y*: 23.82%
• ALL TIME*: 16.86%

SPY

• 1D: -0.16%
• 1M: -0.62%
• 6M: 7.86%
• YTD: 9.40%
• 1Y: 19.56%
• 3Y*: 19.43%
• 5Y*: 12.81%
• 10Y*: 14.90%
• ALL TIME*: 10.78%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

PGR vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
PGR The Progressive Corporation	-0.79%	-3.02%	51.39%	23.16%	26.81%	10.84%	41.48%	25.14%	9.39%	61.59%
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	9.40%	17.72%	24.89%	26.18%	-18.18%	28.73%	18.33%	31.22%	-4.57%	21.71%

Correlation

The correlation between PGR and SPY is -0.20, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.20
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.02
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.20
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.33
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 29, 1993	0.46

The correlation between PGR and SPY shifts across timeframes, from -0.20 (1 year) to 0.46 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

PGR vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

PGR

PGR Risk / Return Rank: 30
PGR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 31
PGR Sortino Ratio Rank: 27
PGR Omega Ratio Rank: 27
PGR Calmar Ratio Rank: 31
PGR Martin Ratio Rank: 31

SPY

SPY Risk / Return Rank: 63
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 63
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 61
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 62
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 59
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 72

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

PGR vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for The Progressive Corporation (PGR) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	PGR	SPY	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.33	1.56	-1.89
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-0.28	2.17	-2.45
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.96	1.28	-0.32
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.42	2.21	-2.63
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.71	9.59	-10.30

PGR vs. SPY - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current PGR Sharpe Ratio is -0.33, which is lower than the SPY Sharpe Ratio of 1.56. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of PGR and SPY, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

PGR vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum PGR drawdown since its inception was -71.06%, which is greater than SPY's maximum drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PGR and SPY.

Drawdown Indicators

	PGR	SPY	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-71.06%	-55.19%	-15.87%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-19.79%	-8.88%	-10.91%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-30.35%	-18.76%	-11.59%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-30.35%	-24.50%	-5.85%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-30.35%	-33.72%	+3.37%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-22.33%	-2.05%	-20.28%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-14.55%	-9.02%	-5.53%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	11.71%	2.04%	+9.67%

Volatility

PGR vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) has a higher volatility of 14.04% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 3.45%. This indicates that PGR's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	PGR	SPY	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	14.04%	3.45%	+10.59%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	20.19%	10.06%	+10.13%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	25.34%	12.64%	+12.70%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	25.16%	17.15%	+8.01%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	24.79%	17.94%	+6.85%

Dividends

PGR vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison

PGR's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.55%, more than SPY's 1.01% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
PGR The Progressive Corporation	6.55%	2.15%	0.48%	0.25%	0.31%	6.23%	2.68%	3.89%	1.86%	1.21%	2.50%	2.16%
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	1.01%	1.07%	1.21%	1.40%	1.65%	1.20%	1.52%	1.75%	2.04%	1.80%	2.03%	2.06%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both PGR and SPY in my portfolio?

PGR and SPY have a correlation of -0.20, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, PGR or SPY?

PGR has higher volatility (14.04%) compared to SPY (3.45%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PGR dropped -71.06% vs SPY's -55.19%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.56 vs -0.33), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.