NVDD vs. EMTY
NVDD (Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares) and EMTY (ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF) are both Inverse Equities funds. NVDD is actively managed, while EMTY is passively managed. Over the past year, NVDD returned -31.84% vs -0.49% for EMTY. At a 0.13 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. NVDD charges 1.01%/yr vs 0.66%/yr for EMTY.
Performance
NVDD vs. EMTY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, NVDD achieves a -10.62% return, which is significantly lower than EMTY's 0.39% return.
NVDD
- 1D
- 3.37%
- 1M
- 5.55%
- YTD
- -10.62%
- 6M
- -9.15%
- 1Y
- -31.84%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
EMTY
- 1D
- -0.42%
- 1M
- 0.32%
- YTD
- 0.39%
- 6M
- 1.16%
- 1Y
- -0.49%
- 3Y*
- -3.59%
- 5Y*
- -2.54%
- 10Y*
- —
NVDD vs. EMTY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDD Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares | -10.62% | -38.72% | -69.77% | -8.97% |
EMTY ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF | 0.39% | -1.76% | -4.13% | -11.11% |
Correlation
The correlation between NVDD and EMTY is -0.01, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.01 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 13, 2023 | 0.13 |
The correlation between NVDD and EMTY shifts across timeframes, from -0.01 (1 year) to 0.13 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
NVDD vs. EMTY — Risk / Return Rank
NVDD
EMTY
NVDD vs. EMTY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD) and ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF (EMTY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| NVDD | EMTY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.88 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.32 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.86 | 1.01 | -0.15 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.81 | -0.04 | -0.78 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.44 | -0.07 | -1.37 |
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Drawdowns
NVDD vs. EMTY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum NVDD drawdown since its inception was -88.34%, which is greater than EMTY's maximum drawdown of -77.62%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NVDD and EMTY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| NVDD | EMTY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -88.34% | -77.62% | -10.72% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -39.32% | -13.91% | -25.41% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -30.83% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -30.83% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -86.54% | -74.94% | -11.60% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -67.31% | -54.39% | -12.92% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 24.19% | 7.26% | +16.93% |
Volatility
NVDD vs. EMTY - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD) has a higher volatility of 13.05% compared to ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF (EMTY) at 5.20%. This indicates that NVDD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than EMTY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| NVDD | EMTY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 13.05% | 5.20% | +7.85% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 26.79% | 12.81% | +13.98% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 35.31% | 17.77% | +17.54% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 47.36% | 22.36% | +25.00% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 47.36% | 25.63% | +21.73% |
NVDD vs. EMTY - Expense Ratio Comparison
NVDD has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is higher than EMTY's 0.66% expense ratio.
Dividends
NVDD vs. EMTY - Dividend Comparison
NVDD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.01%, more than EMTY's 3.47% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EMTY ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF | 3.47% | 3.83% | 6.00% | 4.41% | 0.65% | 0.00% | 0.07% | 0.82% | 0.62% | 0.03% |
NVDD Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares | 4.01% | 4.19% | 4.83% | 1.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
NVDD and EMTY have a correlation of -0.01, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
NVDD has higher volatility (13.05%) compared to EMTY (5.20%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NVDD dropped -88.34% vs EMTY's -77.62%.
On 1-year performance, EMTY leads with -0.49% vs -31.84% for NVDD. On fees, EMTY is cheaper at 0.66% per year. On volatility, EMTY has been the lower-risk option at 5.20%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, EMTY has performed better with a -0.49% return vs -31.84%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
EMTY is cheaper with a 0.66% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for NVDD.
NVDD has the higher dividend yield at 4.01%, compared with 3.47% for EMTY.
They also come from different issuers: Direxion and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 1.01% for NVDD and 0.66% for EMTY.
EMTY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.03 vs -0.90), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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