NVDD vs. SMH
NVDD (Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares) and SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - NVDD is a Inverse Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while SMH is a Semiconductors fund tracking the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index. NVDD is actively managed, while SMH is passively managed. Over the past year, NVDD returned -31.84% vs 138.23% for SMH. At a correlation of -0.78, they often move in opposite directions. NVDD charges 1.01%/yr vs 0.35%/yr for SMH.
Performance
NVDD vs. SMH - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, NVDD achieves a -10.62% return, which is significantly lower than SMH's 72.73% return.
NVDD
- 1D
- 3.37%
- 1M
- 5.55%
- YTD
- -10.62%
- 6M
- -9.15%
- 1Y
- -31.84%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SMH
- 1D
- -7.01%
- 1M
- 7.93%
- YTD
- 72.73%
- 6M
- 71.29%
- 1Y
- 138.23%
- 3Y*
- 62.28%
- 5Y*
- 38.18%
- 10Y*
- 37.85%
NVDD vs. SMH - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDD Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares | -10.62% | -38.72% | -69.77% | -8.97% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 72.73% | 49.17% | 39.10% | 17.79% |
Correlation
The correlation between NVDD and SMH is -0.65, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.65 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 13, 2023 | -0.78 |
The correlation between NVDD and SMH shifts across timeframes, from -0.78 (all time) to -0.65 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
NVDD vs. SMH — Risk / Return Rank
NVDD
SMH
NVDD vs. SMH - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| NVDD | SMH | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -4.89 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -5.29 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.86 | 1.58 | -0.72 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.81 | 9.31 | -10.13 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.44 | 33.88 | -35.31 |
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Drawdowns
NVDD vs. SMH - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum NVDD drawdown since its inception was -88.34%, roughly equal to the maximum SMH drawdown of -84.96%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NVDD and SMH.
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Drawdown Indicators
| NVDD | SMH | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -88.34% | -84.96% | -3.38% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -39.32% | -14.93% | -24.39% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -35.74% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -45.30% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -45.30% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -86.54% | -7.01% | -79.53% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -67.31% | -41.01% | -26.30% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 24.19% | 4.10% | +20.09% |
Volatility
NVDD vs. SMH - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD) is 13.05%, while VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has a volatility of 19.08%. This indicates that NVDD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SMH based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| NVDD | SMH | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 13.05% | 19.08% | -6.03% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 26.79% | 29.18% | -2.39% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 35.31% | 34.87% | +0.44% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 47.36% | 35.83% | +11.53% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 47.36% | 32.97% | +14.39% |
NVDD vs. SMH - Expense Ratio Comparison
NVDD has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is higher than SMH's 0.35% expense ratio.
Dividends
NVDD vs. SMH - Dividend Comparison
NVDD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.01%, more than SMH's 0.18% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDD Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares | 4.01% | 4.19% | 4.83% | 1.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.18% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
Frequently Asked Questions
NVDD and SMH have a correlation of -0.65, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMH has higher volatility (19.08%) compared to NVDD (13.05%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NVDD dropped -88.34% vs SMH's -84.96%.
On 1-year performance, SMH leads with 138.23% vs -31.84% for NVDD. On fees, SMH is cheaper at 0.35% per year. On volatility, NVDD has been the lower-risk option at 13.05%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SMH has performed better with a 138.23% return vs -31.84%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SMH is cheaper with a 0.35% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for NVDD.
NVDD has the higher dividend yield at 4.01%, compared with 0.18% for SMH.
NVDD is categorized as Inverse Equities, while SMH is Semiconductors. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and VanEck. Their fees differ too: 1.01% for NVDD and 0.35% for SMH.
SMH currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (3.99 vs -0.90), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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