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NVDD vs. SMH
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

NVDD vs. SMH - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, NVDD achieves a -10.62% return, which is significantly lower than SMH's 72.73% return.


NVDD

1D
3.37%
1M
5.55%
YTD
-10.62%
6M
-9.15%
1Y
-31.84%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

SMH

1D
-7.01%
1M
7.93%
YTD
72.73%
6M
71.29%
1Y
138.23%
3Y*
62.28%
5Y*
38.18%
10Y*
37.85%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

NVDD vs. SMH - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023
NVDD
Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares
-10.62%-38.72%-69.77%-8.97%
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
72.73%49.17%39.10%17.79%

Correlation

The correlation between NVDD and SMH is -0.65, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.65

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 13, 2023

-0.78

The correlation between NVDD and SMH shifts across timeframes, from -0.78 (all time) to -0.65 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

NVDD vs. SMH — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

NVDD
NVDD Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
NVDD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
NVDD Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
NVDD Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
NVDD Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
NVDD Martin Ratio Rank: 11
Martin Ratio Rank

SMH
SMH Risk / Return Rank: 9494
Overall Rank
SMH Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9696
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SMH Sortino Ratio Rank: 9191
Sortino Ratio Rank
SMH Omega Ratio Rank: 9292
Omega Ratio Rank
SMH Calmar Ratio Rank: 9797
Calmar Ratio Rank
SMH Martin Ratio Rank: 9696
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

NVDD vs. SMH - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


NVDDSMHDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-4.89

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-5.29

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.86

1.58

-0.72

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.81

9.31

-10.13

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.44

33.88

-35.31

NVDD vs. SMH - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current NVDD Sharpe Ratio is -0.90, which is lower than the SMH Sharpe Ratio of 3.99. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of NVDD and SMH, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

NVDD vs. SMH - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum NVDD drawdown since its inception was -88.34%, roughly equal to the maximum SMH drawdown of -84.96%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NVDD and SMH.


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Drawdown Indicators


NVDDSMHDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-88.34%

-84.96%

-3.38%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-39.32%

-14.93%

-24.39%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-35.74%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-45.30%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-45.30%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-86.54%

-7.01%

-79.53%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-67.31%

-41.01%

-26.30%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

24.19%

4.10%

+20.09%

Volatility

NVDD vs. SMH - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD) is 13.05%, while VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has a volatility of 19.08%. This indicates that NVDD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SMH based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


NVDDSMHDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

13.05%

19.08%

-6.03%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

26.79%

29.18%

-2.39%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

35.31%

34.87%

+0.44%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

47.36%

35.83%

+11.53%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

47.36%

32.97%

+14.39%

NVDD vs. SMH - Expense Ratio Comparison

NVDD has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is higher than SMH's 0.35% expense ratio.


Dividends

NVDD vs. SMH - Dividend Comparison

NVDD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.01%, more than SMH's 0.18% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
NVDD
Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares
4.01%4.19%4.83%1.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
0.18%0.31%0.44%0.60%1.18%0.51%0.69%1.50%1.88%1.43%0.80%2.14%

Frequently Asked Questions


NVDD and SMH have a correlation of -0.65, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

SMH has higher volatility (19.08%) compared to NVDD (13.05%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NVDD dropped -88.34% vs SMH's -84.96%.

On 1-year performance, SMH leads with 138.23% vs -31.84% for NVDD. On fees, SMH is cheaper at 0.35% per year. On volatility, NVDD has been the lower-risk option at 13.05%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, SMH has performed better with a 138.23% return vs -31.84%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

SMH is cheaper with a 0.35% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for NVDD.

NVDD has the higher dividend yield at 4.01%, compared with 0.18% for SMH.

NVDD is categorized as Inverse Equities, while SMH is Semiconductors. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and VanEck. Their fees differ too: 1.01% for NVDD and 0.35% for SMH.

SMH currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (3.99 vs -0.90), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for NVDD and SMH

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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