EMTY vs. MSFD
EMTY (ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF) and MSFD (Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares) are both Inverse Equities funds - EMTY tracks the Solactive-ProShares Bricks and Mortar Retail Store Index (-100%) while MSFD tracks the Microsoft Corporation (-100%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, EMTY returned -3.45%/yr vs -2.53%/yr for MSFD. At a 0.24 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. EMTY charges 0.66%/yr vs 1.06%/yr for MSFD.
Performance
EMTY vs. MSFD - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, EMTY achieves a 0.81% return, which is significantly lower than MSFD's 28.14% return.
EMTY
- 1D
- 1.05%
- 1M
- 0.74%
- YTD
- 0.81%
- 6M
- 2.11%
- 1Y
- -1.61%
- 3Y*
- -3.45%
- 5Y*
- -2.56%
- 10Y*
- —
MSFD
- 1D
- 3.18%
- 1M
- 13.07%
- YTD
- 28.14%
- 6M
- 28.55%
- 1Y
- 28.15%
- 3Y*
- -2.53%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
EMTY vs. MSFD - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EMTY ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF | 0.81% | -1.76% | -4.13% | 0.27% | -4.71% |
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares | 28.14% | -13.36% | -7.86% | -35.90% | 3.88% |
Correlation
The correlation between EMTY and MSFD is -0.01, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.01 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.15 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 7, 2022 | 0.24 |
The correlation between EMTY and MSFD shifts across timeframes, from -0.01 (1 year) to 0.24 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
EMTY vs. MSFD — Risk / Return Rank
EMTY
MSFD
EMTY vs. MSFD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF (EMTY) and Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| EMTY | MSFD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.17 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.73 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.00 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.12 | 1.22 | -1.33 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.22 | 3.85 | -4.07 |
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Drawdowns
EMTY vs. MSFD - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum EMTY drawdown since its inception was -77.62%, which is greater than MSFD's maximum drawdown of -59.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for EMTY and MSFD.
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Drawdown Indicators
| EMTY | MSFD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -77.62% | -59.90% | -17.72% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -13.91% | -23.25% | +9.34% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -30.83% | -40.50% | +9.67% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -30.83% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -74.84% | -42.20% | -32.64% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -54.38% | -41.61% | -12.77% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 7.50% | 7.81% | -0.31% |
Volatility
EMTY vs. MSFD - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF (EMTY) is 5.23%, while Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) has a volatility of 11.13%. This indicates that EMTY experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MSFD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| EMTY | MSFD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 5.23% | 11.13% | -5.90% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 12.80% | 22.64% | -9.84% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 17.80% | 26.18% | -8.38% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 22.36% | 26.23% | -3.87% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 25.64% | 26.23% | -0.59% |
EMTY vs. MSFD - Expense Ratio Comparison
EMTY has a 0.66% expense ratio, which is lower than MSFD's 1.06% expense ratio.
Dividends
EMTY vs. MSFD - Dividend Comparison
EMTY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.46%, more than MSFD's 2.44% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EMTY ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF | 3.46% | 3.83% | 6.00% | 4.41% | 0.65% | 0.00% | 0.07% | 0.82% | 0.62% | 0.03% |
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares | 2.44% | 3.33% | 4.46% | 4.43% | 0.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
EMTY and MSFD have a correlation of -0.01, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSFD has higher volatility (11.13%) compared to EMTY (5.23%). In terms of maximum drawdown, EMTY dropped -77.62% vs MSFD's -59.90%.
On 3-year performance, MSFD leads with -2.53% vs -3.45% for EMTY. On fees, EMTY is cheaper at 0.66% per year. On volatility, EMTY has been the lower-risk option at 5.23%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, MSFD has performed better with a -2.53% return vs -3.45%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
EMTY is cheaper with a 0.66% expense ratio, compared with 1.06% for MSFD.
EMTY has the higher dividend yield at 3.46%, compared with 2.44% for MSFD.
EMTY tracks Solactive-ProShares Bricks and Mortar Retail Store Index (-100%), while MSFD tracks Microsoft Corporation (-100%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.66% for EMTY and 1.06% for MSFD.
MSFD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.08 vs -0.09), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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