NAIL vs. QQQ

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

NAIL (Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares) and QQQ (Invesco QQQ ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - NAIL is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%), while QQQ is a Nasdaq-100 fund tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, NAIL returned 3.96%/yr vs 21.94%/yr for QQQ. At a 0.48 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. NAIL charges 0.99%/yr vs 0.18%/yr for QQQ.

Performance

NAIL vs. QQQ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL) and Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, NAIL achieves a -23.44% return, which is significantly lower than QQQ's 21.30% return. Over the past 10 years, NAIL has underperformed QQQ with an annualized return of 3.96%, while QQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 21.94% annualized return.

NAIL

• 1D: -2.39%
• 1M: 1.50%
• YTD: -23.44%
• 6M: -42.68%
• 1Y: -20.27%
• 3Y*: -11.78%
• 5Y*: -14.07%
• 10Y*: 3.96%

QQQ

• 1D: -0.26%
• 1M: 10.60%
• YTD: 21.30%
• 6M: 19.66%
• 1Y: 41.82%
• 3Y*: 28.78%
• 5Y*: 17.97%
• 10Y*: 21.94%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

NAIL vs. QQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares	-23.44%	-40.43%	-22.83%	259.61%	-75.23%	168.20%	-32.08%	184.63%	-73.96%	268.71%
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF	21.30%	20.77%	25.58%	54.86%	-32.58%	27.42%	48.62%	38.96%	-0.13%	32.66%

Correlation

The correlation between NAIL and QQQ is 0.28, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.28
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.40
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.52
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.49
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 20, 2015	0.48

The correlation between NAIL and QQQ shifts across timeframes, from 0.28 (1 year) to 0.52 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

NAIL vs. QQQ - Sectors Allocation Comparison

Sectors	NAIL	QQQ
Consumer Cyclical	71.8%	12.3%
Industrials	19.1%	2.8%
Basic Materials	8.6%	1.1%
Real Estate	0.5%	0.1%
Communication Services	-	15.8%
Consumer Defensive	-	7.7%
Energy	-	0.6%
Financial Services	-	0.2%
Healthcare	-	4.2%
Technology	-	53.8%
Utilities	-	1.4%

Return for Risk

NAIL vs. QQQ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

NAIL

NAIL Risk / Return Rank: 7
NAIL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6
NAIL Sortino Ratio Rank: 9
NAIL Omega Ratio Rank: 9
NAIL Calmar Ratio Rank: 6
NAIL Martin Ratio Rank: 6

QQQ

QQQ Risk / Return Rank: 73
QQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 79
QQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 75
QQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 74
QQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 69
QQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 71

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

NAIL vs. QQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL) and Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	NAIL	QQQ	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.23	2.64	-2.87
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.27	3.45	-3.18
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.03	1.45	-0.42
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.30	3.51	-3.81
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.53	13.49	-14.02
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

NAIL vs. QQQ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current NAIL Sharpe Ratio is -0.23, which is lower than the QQQ Sharpe Ratio of 2.64. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of NAIL and QQQ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	NAIL	QQQ	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.23	2.64	-2.87
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.16	0.81	-0.97
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.04	0.99	-0.94
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	-0.00	0.41	-0.41

Drawdowns

NAIL vs. QQQ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum NAIL drawdown since its inception was -93.75%, which is greater than QQQ's maximum drawdown of -82.97%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NAIL and QQQ.

Drawdown Indicators

	NAIL	QQQ	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-93.75%	-82.97%	-10.78%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-67.85%	-11.96%	-55.89%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-82.09%	-22.77%	-59.32%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-84.40%	-35.12%	-49.28%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-93.75%	-35.12%	-58.63%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-78.12%	-0.26%	-77.86%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-43.80%	-32.79%	-11.01%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	38.18%	3.11%	+35.07%

Volatility

NAIL vs. QQQ - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL) has a higher volatility of 24.23% compared to Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) at 4.49%. This indicates that NAIL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than QQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	NAIL	QQQ	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	24.23%	4.49%	+19.74%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	60.86%	12.10%	+48.76%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	87.63%	15.94%	+71.69%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	86.99%	22.38%	+64.61%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	89.20%	22.29%	+66.91%

NAIL vs. QQQ - Expense Ratio Comparison

NAIL has a 0.99% expense ratio, which is higher than QQQ's 0.18% expense ratio.

Dividends

NAIL vs. QQQ - Dividend Comparison

NAIL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.04%, more than QQQ's 0.38% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares	1.04%	1.55%	0.63%	0.22%	0.00%	0.00%	0.01%	0.17%	0.35%	1.25%	0.00%	0.00%
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF	0.38%	0.45%	0.56%	0.62%	0.80%	0.43%	0.55%	0.74%	0.91%	0.84%	1.06%	0.99%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both NAIL and QQQ in my portfolio?

NAIL and QQQ have a correlation of 0.28, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, NAIL or QQQ?

NAIL has higher volatility (24.23%) compared to QQQ (4.49%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NAIL dropped -93.75% vs QQQ's -82.97%.

Which ETF is better, NAIL or QQQ?

On 10-year performance, QQQ leads with 21.94% vs 3.96% for NAIL. On fees, QQQ is cheaper at 0.18% per year. On volatility, QQQ has been the lower-risk option at 4.49%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, NAIL or QQQ?

Over the 10-year period, QQQ has performed better with a 21.94% return vs 3.96%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, NAIL or QQQ?

QQQ is cheaper with a 0.18% expense ratio, compared with 0.99% for NAIL.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, NAIL or QQQ?

NAIL has the higher dividend yield at 1.04%, compared with 0.38% for QQQ.

What is the main difference between NAIL and QQQ?

NAIL is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while QQQ is Nasdaq-100. NAIL tracks Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%), while QQQ tracks NASDAQ-100 Index. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and Invesco. Their fees differ too: 0.99% for NAIL and 0.18% for QQQ.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

QQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.64 vs -0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.