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MSFD vs. SPDN
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

MSFD vs. SPDN - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MSFD achieves a 10.43% return, which is significantly higher than SPDN's -7.81% return.


MSFD

1D
3.26%
1M
-3.86%
YTD
10.43%
6M
9.36%
1Y
7.43%
3Y*
-7.16%
5Y*
10Y*

SPDN

1D
0.58%
1M
-4.42%
YTD
-7.81%
6M
-7.36%
1Y
-16.94%
3Y*
-12.80%
5Y*
-8.88%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MSFD vs. SPDN - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
MSFD
Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares
10.43%-13.36%-7.86%-35.90%3.88%
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares
-7.81%-11.09%-12.88%-15.04%3.08%

Correlation

The correlation between MSFD and SPDN is 0.45, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.45

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.62

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 8, 2022

0.67

Over the past year, the correlation between MSFD and SPDN has dropped to 0.45 - well below their long-term average of 0.67, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.

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Return for Risk

MSFD vs. SPDN — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MSFD
MSFD Risk / Return Rank: 1313
Overall Rank
MSFD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1313
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MSFD Sortino Ratio Rank: 1414
Sortino Ratio Rank
MSFD Omega Ratio Rank: 1414
Omega Ratio Rank
MSFD Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
MSFD Martin Ratio Rank: 1313
Martin Ratio Rank

SPDN
SPDN Risk / Return Rank: 11
Overall Rank
SPDN Sharpe Ratio Rank: 00
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPDN Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPDN Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
SPDN Calmar Ratio Rank: 11
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPDN Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MSFD vs. SPDN - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


MSFDSPDNDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+1.70

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+2.65

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.08

0.78

+0.30

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.32

-0.95

+1.27

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.89

-1.74

+2.63

MSFD vs. SPDN - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MSFD Sharpe Ratio is 0.29, which is higher than the SPDN Sharpe Ratio of -1.41. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MSFD and SPDN, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


MSFDSPDNDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.29

-1.41

+1.70

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.53

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.51

-0.70

+0.19

Drawdowns

MSFD vs. SPDN - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MSFD drawdown since its inception was -59.90%, smaller than the maximum SPDN drawdown of -75.31%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSFD and SPDN.


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Drawdown Indicators


MSFDSPDNDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-59.90%

-75.31%

+15.41%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-23.25%

-17.95%

-5.30%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-40.50%

-38.24%

-2.26%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-43.85%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-50.20%

-75.17%

+24.97%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-41.59%

-48.54%

+6.95%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

8.40%

9.78%

-1.38%

Volatility

MSFD vs. SPDN - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) has a higher volatility of 10.12% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN) at 2.78%. This indicates that MSFD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPDN based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


MSFDSPDNDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

10.12%

2.78%

+7.34%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

22.06%

9.08%

+12.98%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

25.32%

12.10%

+13.22%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

26.15%

16.86%

+9.29%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

26.15%

18.04%

+8.11%

MSFD vs. SPDN - Expense Ratio Comparison

MSFD has a 1.06% expense ratio, which is higher than SPDN's 0.50% expense ratio.


Dividends

MSFD vs. SPDN - Dividend Comparison

MSFD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.83%, less than SPDN's 4.09% yield.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
MSFD
Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares
2.83%3.33%4.46%4.43%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares
4.09%4.06%5.32%5.84%0.96%0.00%0.10%1.89%1.24%0.42%

Frequently Asked Questions


MSFD and SPDN have a correlation of 0.45, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

MSFD has higher volatility (10.12%) compared to SPDN (2.78%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSFD dropped -59.90% vs SPDN's -75.31%.

On 3-year performance, MSFD leads with -7.16% vs -12.80% for SPDN. On fees, SPDN is cheaper at 0.50% per year. On volatility, SPDN has been the lower-risk option at 2.78%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, MSFD has performed better with a -7.16% return vs -12.80%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

SPDN is cheaper with a 0.50% expense ratio, compared with 1.06% for MSFD.

SPDN has the higher dividend yield at 4.09%, compared with 2.83% for MSFD.

MSFD tracks Microsoft Corporation (-100%), while SPDN tracks S&P 500 Index. Their fees differ too: 1.06% for MSFD and 0.50% for SPDN.

MSFD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.29 vs -1.41), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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