MCD vs. XLP

Last updated Jun 13, 2026

MCD (McDonald's Corporation) is a stock, while XLP (State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF) is Consumer Staples Equities fund tracking the Consumer Staples Select Sector Index. Over the past 10 years, MCD returned 11.46%/yr vs 7.60%/yr for XLP. At a 0.46 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

MCD vs. XLP - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in McDonald's Corporation (MCD) and State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MCD achieves a -5.66% return, which is significantly lower than XLP's 11.10% return. Over the past 10 years, MCD has outperformed XLP with an annualized return of 11.46%, while XLP has yielded a comparatively lower 7.60% annualized return.

MCD

• 1D: 0.01%
• 1M: 4.28%
• YTD: -5.66%
• 6M: -8.96%
• 1Y: -3.37%
• 3Y*: 1.94%
• 5Y*: 6.16%
• 10Y*: 11.46%

XLP

• 1D: 0.65%
• 1M: 0.99%
• YTD: 11.10%
• 6M: 9.54%
• 1Y: 8.93%
• 3Y*: 8.26%
• 5Y*: 6.65%
• 10Y*: 7.60%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MCD vs. XLP - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
MCD McDonald's Corporation	-5.66%	7.89%	0.14%	15.06%	0.51%	27.79%	11.30%	13.97%	5.78%	45.05%
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF	11.10%	1.52%	12.20%	-0.82%	-0.81%	17.20%	10.11%	27.43%	-8.07%	12.98%

Correlation

The correlation between MCD and XLP is 0.54, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.54
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.53
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.57
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.52
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 22, 1998	0.46

The correlation between MCD and XLP shifts across timeframes, from 0.46 (all time) to 0.57 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

MCD vs. XLP — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MCD

MCD Risk / Return Rank: 32
MCD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 33
MCD Sortino Ratio Rank: 27
MCD Omega Ratio Rank: 28
MCD Calmar Ratio Rank: 37
MCD Martin Ratio Rank: 34

XLP

XLP Risk / Return Rank: 19
XLP Sharpe Ratio Rank: 20
XLP Sortino Ratio Rank: 20
XLP Omega Ratio Rank: 18
XLP Calmar Ratio Rank: 20
XLP Martin Ratio Rank: 17

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MCD vs. XLP - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for McDonald's Corporation (MCD) and State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	MCD	XLP	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.23	0.59	-0.82
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-0.21	0.94	-1.15
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.98	1.11	-0.13
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.20	0.79	-0.99
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.50	1.52	-2.03

MCD vs. XLP - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MCD Sharpe Ratio is -0.23, which is lower than the XLP Sharpe Ratio of 0.59. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MCD and XLP, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

MCD vs. XLP - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MCD drawdown since its inception was -73.20%, which is greater than XLP's maximum drawdown of -35.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MCD and XLP.

Drawdown Indicators

	MCD	XLP	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-73.20%	-35.90%	-37.30%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-19.05%	-9.69%	-9.36%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-19.05%	-12.39%	-6.66%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-19.05%	-16.30%	-2.75%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-36.90%	-24.51%	-12.39%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-15.46%	-4.12%	-11.34%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-14.89%	-7.06%	-7.83%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	7.53%	5.01%	+2.52%

Volatility

MCD vs. XLP - Volatility Comparison

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) has a higher volatility of 4.96% compared to State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) at 4.53%. This indicates that MCD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than XLP based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	MCD	XLP	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	4.96%	4.53%	+0.43%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	12.20%	10.14%	+2.06%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	16.62%	12.90%	+3.72%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	17.27%	13.34%	+3.93%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	20.40%	14.75%	+5.65%

Dividends

MCD vs. XLP - Dividend Comparison

MCD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.58%, more than XLP's 2.53% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
MCD McDonald's Corporation	2.58%	2.35%	2.34%	2.10%	2.15%	1.96%	2.35%	2.39%	2.36%	2.23%	2.97%	2.91%
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF	2.53%	2.75%	2.77%	2.63%	2.47%	2.28%	2.50%	2.57%	3.04%	2.62%	2.53%	2.52%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both MCD and XLP in my portfolio?

MCD and XLP have a correlation of 0.54, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, MCD or XLP?

MCD has higher volatility (4.96%) compared to XLP (4.53%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MCD dropped -73.20% vs XLP's -35.90%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

XLP currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.59 vs -0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.