HCMT vs. SPY
HCMT (Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF) and SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - HCMT is a Large Cap Blend Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while SPY is a S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. HCMT is actively managed, while SPY is passively managed. Over the past year, HCMT returned 43.14% vs 27.98% for SPY. Their correlation of 0.92 suggests significant overlap in exposure. HCMT charges 1.17%/yr vs 0.09%/yr for SPY.
Performance
HCMT vs. SPY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with HCMT having a 11.17% return and SPY slightly lower at 10.91%.
HCMT
- 1D
- -0.89%
- 1M
- 14.82%
- YTD
- 11.17%
- 6M
- 9.27%
- 1Y
- 43.14%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SPY
- 1D
- -0.70%
- 1M
- 5.05%
- YTD
- 10.91%
- 6M
- 10.91%
- 1Y
- 27.98%
- 3Y*
- 22.35%
- 5Y*
- 13.83%
- 10Y*
- 15.49%
HCMT vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
HCMT Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF | 11.17% | 7.39% | 39.14% | 5.67% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 10.91% | 17.72% | 24.89% | 9.72% |
Correlation
The correlation between HCMT and SPY is 0.90, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.90 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 23, 2023 | 0.92 |
The correlation between HCMT and SPY has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.90 to 0.92 - a consistent structural relationship.
HCMT vs. SPY - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
HCMT
SPY
Technology
Financial Services
Communication Services
Consumer Cyclical
Healthcare
Industrials
Consumer Defensive
Energy
Utilities
Real Estate
Basic Materials
Technology
HCMT
SPY
Financial Services
HCMT
SPY
Communication Services
HCMT
SPY
Consumer Cyclical
HCMT
SPY
Healthcare
HCMT
SPY
Industrials
HCMT
SPY
Consumer Defensive
HCMT
SPY
Energy
HCMT
SPY
Utilities
HCMT
SPY
Real Estate
HCMT
SPY
Basic Materials
HCMT
SPY
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Return for Risk
HCMT vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank
HCMT
SPY
HCMT vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| HCMT | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.59 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.93 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.31 | 1.43 | -0.12 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.84 | 3.16 | -0.32 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.19 | 14.72 | -7.52 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| HCMT | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 1.79 | 2.38 | -0.59 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | — | 0.82 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | 0.87 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.74 | 0.59 | +0.16 |
Drawdowns
HCMT vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HCMT drawdown since its inception was -36.26%, smaller than the maximum SPY drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HCMT and SPY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| HCMT | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -36.26% | -55.19% | +18.93% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -15.27% | -8.88% | -6.39% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -18.76% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -24.50% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -33.72% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -0.89% | -0.70% | -0.19% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -8.24% | -9.05% | +0.81% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 6.01% | 1.91% | +4.10% |
Volatility
HCMT vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison
Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) has a higher volatility of 5.80% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 2.84%. This indicates that HCMT's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| HCMT | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 5.80% | 2.84% | +2.96% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 16.58% | 8.90% | +7.68% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 24.21% | 11.83% | +12.38% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 28.48% | 17.05% | +11.43% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 28.48% | 17.94% | +10.54% |
HCMT vs. SPY - Expense Ratio Comparison
HCMT has a 1.17% expense ratio, which is higher than SPY's 0.09% expense ratio.
Dividends
HCMT vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison
HCMT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.38%, less than SPY's 0.98% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HCMT Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF | 0.38% | 0.43% | 2.75% | 0.63% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.98% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.90, HCMT and SPY move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
HCMT has higher volatility (5.80%) compared to SPY (2.84%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HCMT dropped -36.26% vs SPY's -55.19%.
On 1-year performance, HCMT leads with 43.14% vs 27.98% for SPY. On fees, SPY is cheaper at 0.09% per year. On volatility, SPY has been the lower-risk option at 2.84%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, HCMT has performed better with a 43.14% return vs 27.98%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPY is cheaper with a 0.09% expense ratio, compared with 1.17% for HCMT.
SPY has the higher dividend yield at 0.98%, compared with 0.38% for HCMT.
HCMT is categorized as Large Cap Blend Equities, while SPY is S&P 500. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and State Street. Their fees differ too: 1.17% for HCMT and 0.09% for SPY.
SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.38 vs 1.79), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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