HCMT vs. SMST
HCMT (Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF) and SMST (Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - HCMT is a Large Cap Blend Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while SMST is a Inverse Equities fund actively managed by Defiance. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, HCMT returned 23.50% vs 240.03% for SMST. At a correlation of -0.44, they often move in opposite directions. HCMT charges 1.17%/yr vs 1.29%/yr for SMST.
Performance
HCMT vs. SMST - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, HCMT achieves a 5.14% return, which is significantly higher than SMST's -27.96% return.
HCMT
- 1D
- -2.63%
- 1M
- -1.04%
- 6M
- 1.44%
- YTD
- 5.14%
- 1Y
- 23.50%
- 3Y*
- 16.36%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SMST
- 1D
- 5.26%
- 1M
- 44.38%
- 6M
- -15.07%
- YTD
- -27.96%
- 1Y
- 240.03%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
HCMT vs. SMST - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
HCMT Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF | 5.14% | 7.39% | 7.98% |
SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF | -27.96% | -44.36% | -91.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between HCMT and SMST is -0.42, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.42 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 21, 2024 | -0.44 |
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Return for Risk
HCMT vs. SMST — Risk / Return Rank
HCMT
SMST
HCMT vs. SMST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| HCMT | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.75 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.05 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.17 | 1.30 | -0.14 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.55 | 2.83 | -1.28 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.74 | 5.47 | -1.73 |
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Drawdowns
HCMT vs. SMST - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HCMT drawdown since its inception was -36.26%, smaller than the maximum SMST drawdown of -99.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HCMT and SMST.
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Drawdown Indicators
| HCMT | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -36.26% | -99.25% | +62.99% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -15.27% | -85.39% | +70.12% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -36.26% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -6.27% | -97.17% | +90.90% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -8.14% | -90.89% | +82.75% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 6.29% | 44.09% | -37.80% |
Volatility
HCMT vs. SMST - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) is 12.17%, while Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) has a volatility of 56.59%. This indicates that HCMT experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SMST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| HCMT | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 12.17% | 56.59% | -44.42% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 20.85% | 135.88% | -115.03% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 27.24% | 149.23% | -121.99% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 29.12% | 167.74% | -138.62% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 29.12% | 167.74% | -138.62% |
HCMT vs. SMST - Expense Ratio Comparison
HCMT has a 1.17% expense ratio, which is lower than SMST's 1.29% expense ratio.
Dividends
HCMT vs. SMST - Dividend Comparison
HCMT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.59%, while SMST has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
HCMT Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF | 0.59% | 0.43% | 2.75% | 0.63% |
SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
HCMT and SMST have a correlation of -0.42, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMST has higher volatility (56.59%) compared to HCMT (12.17%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HCMT dropped -36.26% vs SMST's -99.25%.
On 1-year performance, SMST leads with 240.03% vs 23.50% for HCMT. On fees, HCMT is cheaper at 1.17% per year. On volatility, HCMT has been the lower-risk option at 12.17%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SMST has performed better with a 240.03% return vs 23.50%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HCMT is cheaper with a 1.17% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for SMST.
HCMT has the higher dividend yield at 0.59%, compared with 0.00% for SMST.
HCMT is categorized as Large Cap Blend Equities, while SMST is Inverse Equities. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and Defiance. Their fees differ too: 1.17% for HCMT and 1.29% for SMST.
SMST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.62 vs 0.87), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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