FCTE vs. ITOT

Last updated Jun 6, 2026

FCTE (SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF) and ITOT (iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF) are both Large Cap Blend Equities funds. FCTE is actively managed, while ITOT is passively managed. Over the past year, FCTE returned 2.91% vs 25.86% for ITOT. A 0.78 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. FCTE charges 0.85%/yr vs 0.03%/yr for ITOT.

Performance

FCTE vs. ITOT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with FCTE having a 8.91% return and ITOT slightly lower at 8.76%.

FCTE

• 1D: -0.88%
• 1M: -0.24%
• YTD: 8.91%
• 6M: 7.45%
• 1Y: 2.91%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

ITOT

• 1D: -2.71%
• 1M: 0.38%
• YTD: 8.76%
• 6M: 8.31%
• 1Y: 25.86%
• 3Y*: 21.07%
• 5Y*: 12.18%
• 10Y*: 14.67%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

FCTE vs. ITOT - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
FCTE SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF	8.91%	-3.80%	5.47%
ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF	8.76%	17.00%	8.24%

Correlation

The correlation between FCTE and ITOT is 0.69, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.69
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 3, 2024	0.78

The correlation between FCTE and ITOT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.69 to 0.78 - a consistent structural relationship.

FCTE vs. ITOT - Sectors Allocation Comparison

Sectors	FCTE	ITOT
Technology	44.1%	33.8%
Healthcare	21.8%	9.0%
Industrials	13.8%	9.5%
Consumer Cyclical	9.3%	10.1%
Communication Services	6.1%	10.3%
Consumer Defensive	4.8%	4.7%
Basic Materials	-	2.1%
Energy	-	3.7%
Financial Services	-	12.1%
Real Estate	-	2.4%
Utilities	-	2.3%

Return for Risk

FCTE vs. ITOT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

FCTE

FCTE Risk / Return Rank: 12
FCTE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 12
FCTE Sortino Ratio Rank: 12
FCTE Omega Ratio Rank: 12
FCTE Calmar Ratio Rank: 12
FCTE Martin Ratio Rank: 12

ITOT

ITOT Risk / Return Rank: 64
ITOT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 64
ITOT Sortino Ratio Rank: 61
ITOT Omega Ratio Rank: 63
ITOT Calmar Ratio Rank: 60
ITOT Martin Ratio Rank: 72

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

FCTE vs. ITOT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	FCTE	ITOT	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.20	2.08	-1.88
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.38	2.80	-2.42
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.05	1.37	-0.33
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.23	2.92	-2.69
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	0.63	13.34	-12.71
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

FCTE vs. ITOT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current FCTE Sharpe Ratio is 0.20, which is lower than the ITOT Sharpe Ratio of 2.08. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of FCTE and ITOT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	FCTE	ITOT	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.20	2.08	-1.88
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	—	0.70	—
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	—	0.80	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.29	0.57	-0.28

Drawdowns

FCTE vs. ITOT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FCTE drawdown since its inception was -19.68%, smaller than the maximum ITOT drawdown of -55.20%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FCTE and ITOT.

Drawdown Indicators

	FCTE	ITOT	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-19.68%	-55.20%	+35.52%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-12.85%	-8.90%	-3.95%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-19.44%	—
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-25.36%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-35.00%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-3.10%	-2.95%	-0.15%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-6.01%	-6.97%	+0.96%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	4.66%	1.94%	+2.72%

Volatility

FCTE vs. ITOT - Volatility Comparison

SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT) have volatilities of 3.77% and 3.93%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	FCTE	ITOT	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	3.77%	3.93%	-0.16%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	12.35%	9.56%	+2.79%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	14.99%	12.51%	+2.48%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	18.68%	17.39%	+1.29%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	18.68%	18.28%	+0.40%

FCTE vs. ITOT - Expense Ratio Comparison

FCTE has a 0.85% expense ratio, which is higher than ITOT's 0.03% expense ratio.

Dividends

FCTE vs. ITOT - Dividend Comparison

FCTE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.08%, less than ITOT's 1.00% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
FCTE SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF	0.08%	0.18%	0.18%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF	1.00%	1.11%	1.23%	1.47%	1.66%	1.18%	1.41%	1.88%	2.14%	1.69%	1.83%	2.01%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both FCTE and ITOT in my portfolio?

FCTE and ITOT have a correlation of 0.69, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, FCTE or ITOT?

ITOT has higher volatility (3.93%) compared to FCTE (3.77%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FCTE dropped -19.68% vs ITOT's -55.20%.

Which ETF is better, FCTE or ITOT?

On 1-year performance, ITOT leads with 25.86% vs 2.91% for FCTE. On fees, ITOT is cheaper at 0.03% per year. On volatility, FCTE has been the lower-risk option at 3.77%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, FCTE or ITOT?

Over the 1-year period, ITOT has performed better with a 25.86% return vs 2.91%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, FCTE or ITOT?

ITOT is cheaper with a 0.03% expense ratio, compared with 0.85% for FCTE.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, FCTE or ITOT?

ITOT has the higher dividend yield at 1.00%, compared with 0.08% for FCTE.

What is the main difference between FCTE and ITOT?

They also come from different issuers: SMI 3Fourteen and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.85% for FCTE and 0.03% for ITOT.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

ITOT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.08 vs 0.20), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.