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FCTE vs. AFOS
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

FCTE vs. AFOS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and ARS Focused Opportunities Strategy ETF (AFOS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, FCTE achieves a 8.91% return, which is significantly lower than AFOS's 26.02% return.


FCTE

1D
-0.88%
1M
-0.24%
YTD
8.91%
6M
7.45%
1Y
2.91%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

AFOS

1D
-4.70%
1M
-0.24%
YTD
26.02%
6M
29.35%
1Y
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

FCTE vs. AFOS - Yearly Performance Comparison


Correlation

The correlation between FCTE and AFOS is 0.57, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 27, 2025

0.57

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Return for Risk

FCTE vs. AFOS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

FCTE
FCTE Risk / Return Rank: 1212
Overall Rank
FCTE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1212
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FCTE Sortino Ratio Rank: 1212
Sortino Ratio Rank
FCTE Omega Ratio Rank: 1212
Omega Ratio Rank
FCTE Calmar Ratio Rank: 1212
Calmar Ratio Rank
FCTE Martin Ratio Rank: 1212
Martin Ratio Rank

AFOS
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

FCTE vs. AFOS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and ARS Focused Opportunities Strategy ETF (AFOS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


FCTEAFOSDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.23

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.63

FCTE vs. AFOS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


FCTEAFOSDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.20

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.29

3.75

-3.46

Drawdowns

FCTE vs. AFOS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FCTE drawdown since its inception was -19.68%, which is greater than AFOS's maximum drawdown of -11.52%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FCTE and AFOS.


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Drawdown Indicators


FCTEAFOSDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-19.68%

-11.52%

-8.16%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-12.85%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-3.10%

-4.83%

+1.73%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.01%

-1.38%

-4.63%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

4.66%

Volatility

FCTE vs. AFOS - Volatility Comparison


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Volatility by Period


FCTEAFOSDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.77%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

12.35%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

14.99%

20.74%

-5.75%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

18.68%

20.74%

-2.06%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

18.68%

20.74%

-2.06%

FCTE vs. AFOS - Expense Ratio Comparison

FCTE has a 0.85% expense ratio, which is higher than AFOS's 0.45% expense ratio.


Dividends

FCTE vs. AFOS - Dividend Comparison

FCTE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.08%, less than AFOS's 0.24% yield.


PositionTTM20252024
AFOS
ARS Focused Opportunities Strategy ETF
0.24%0.30%0.00%
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
0.08%0.18%0.18%

Frequently Asked Questions


FCTE and AFOS have a correlation of 0.57, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

On fees, AFOS is cheaper at 0.45% per year. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

AFOS is cheaper with a 0.45% expense ratio, compared with 0.85% for FCTE.

AFOS has the higher dividend yield at 0.24%, compared with 0.08% for FCTE.

They also come from different issuers: SMI 3Fourteen and ARS Investment Partners. Their fees differ too: 0.85% for FCTE and 0.45% for AFOS.

Portfolio Optimizer

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