CTA vs. TUA

Last updated Jun 14, 2026

CTA (Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF) and TUA (Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - CTA is a Systematic Trend fund actively managed by Simplify, while TUA is a Intermediate Core Bond fund actively managed by Simplify. Both are actively managed. Over the past 3 years, CTA returned 9.41%/yr vs -0.12%/yr for TUA. At a correlation of -0.39, they often move in opposite directions. CTA charges 0.78%/yr vs 0.16%/yr for TUA.

Performance

CTA vs. TUA - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CTA achieves a 6.10% return, which is significantly higher than TUA's -5.24% return.

CTA

• 1D: -1.22%
• 1M: -10.45%
• YTD: 6.10%
• 6M: 8.48%
• 1Y: 6.45%
• 3Y*: 9.41%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

TUA

• 1D: -0.27%
• 1M: -0.34%
• YTD: -5.24%
• 6M: -4.70%
• 1Y: -1.82%
• 3Y*: -0.12%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

CTA vs. TUA - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF	6.10%	0.88%	24.15%	-2.23%	-4.31%
TUA Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF	-5.24%	7.27%	-3.59%	-2.04%	-0.83%

Correlation

The correlation between CTA and TUA is -0.29, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.29
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	-0.36
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 15, 2022	-0.39

Return for Risk

CTA vs. TUA — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

CTA

CTA Risk / Return Rank: 14
CTA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 14
CTA Sortino Ratio Rank: 13
CTA Omega Ratio Rank: 14
CTA Calmar Ratio Rank: 15
CTA Martin Ratio Rank: 16

TUA

TUA Risk / Return Rank: 6
TUA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7
TUA Sortino Ratio Rank: 6
TUA Omega Ratio Rank: 6
TUA Calmar Ratio Rank: 7
TUA Martin Ratio Rank: 6

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

CTA vs. TUA - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	CTA	TUA	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.28	-0.33	+0.61
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.50	-0.43	+0.93
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.07	0.95	+0.11
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.44	-0.32	+0.76
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	1.24	-0.81	+2.06

CTA vs. TUA - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CTA Sharpe Ratio is 0.28, which is higher than the TUA Sharpe Ratio of -0.33. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CTA and TUA, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

CTA vs. TUA - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CTA drawdown since its inception was -18.07%, which is greater than TUA's maximum drawdown of -15.85%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CTA and TUA.

Drawdown Indicators

	CTA	TUA	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-18.07%	-15.85%	-2.22%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-12.94%	-7.05%	-5.89%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-12.94%	-9.14%	-3.80%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-12.94%	-9.92%	-3.02%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-5.71%	-8.37%	+2.66%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	4.57%	2.74%	+1.83%

Volatility

CTA vs. TUA - Volatility Comparison

Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) has a higher volatility of 6.16% compared to Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) at 2.35%. This indicates that CTA's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TUA based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	CTA	TUA	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	6.16%	2.35%	+3.81%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	17.59%	5.00%	+12.59%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	20.33%	6.84%	+13.49%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	16.61%	10.75%	+5.86%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	16.61%	10.75%	+5.86%

CTA vs. TUA - Expense Ratio Comparison

CTA has a 0.78% expense ratio, which is higher than TUA's 0.16% expense ratio.

Dividends

CTA vs. TUA - Dividend Comparison

CTA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.13%, more than TUA's 3.55% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF	5.13%	3.19%	4.80%	7.78%	6.58%
TUA Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF	3.55%	3.84%	5.19%	4.83%	0.15%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both CTA and TUA in my portfolio?

CTA and TUA have a correlation of -0.29, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, CTA or TUA?

CTA has higher volatility (6.16%) compared to TUA (2.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CTA dropped -18.07% vs TUA's -15.85%.

Which ETF is better, CTA or TUA?

On 3-year performance, CTA leads with 9.41% vs -0.12% for TUA. On fees, TUA is cheaper at 0.16% per year. On volatility, TUA has been the lower-risk option at 2.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, CTA or TUA?

Over the 3-year period, CTA has performed better with a 9.41% return vs -0.12%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, CTA or TUA?

TUA is cheaper with a 0.16% expense ratio, compared with 0.78% for CTA.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, CTA or TUA?

CTA has the higher dividend yield at 5.13%, compared with 3.55% for TUA.

What is the main difference between CTA and TUA?

CTA is categorized as Systematic Trend, while TUA is Intermediate Core Bond. Their fees differ too: 0.78% for CTA and 0.16% for TUA.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

CTA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.28 vs -0.33), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.