CTA vs. VT
CTA (Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF) and VT (Vanguard Total World Stock ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - CTA is a Systematic Trend fund actively managed by Simplify, while VT is a Global Equities fund tracking the FTSE Global All Cap Index. CTA is actively managed, while VT is passively managed. Over the past 3 years, CTA returned 6.30%/yr vs 19.87%/yr for VT. At a correlation of -0.14, they often move in opposite directions. CTA charges 0.78%/yr vs 0.06%/yr for VT.
Performance
CTA vs. VT - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, CTA achieves a -2.31% return, which is significantly lower than VT's 12.41% return.
CTA
- 1D
- -0.27%
- 1M
- -7.93%
- 6M
- -4.35%
- YTD
- -2.31%
- 1Y
- -2.73%
- 3Y*
- 6.30%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
VT
- 1D
- 0.40%
- 1M
- 1.22%
- 6M
- 9.67%
- YTD
- 12.41%
- 1Y
- 24.11%
- 3Y*
- 19.87%
- 5Y*
- 10.78%
- 10Y*
- 12.58%
CTA vs. VT - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | -2.31% | 0.88% | 24.15% | -2.23% | 9.01% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 12.41% | 22.43% | 16.49% | 22.02% | -6.19% |
Correlation
The correlation between CTA and VT is -0.09, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.09 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.10 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 8, 2022 | -0.14 |
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Return for Risk
CTA vs. VT — Risk / Return Rank
CTA
VT
CTA vs. VT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| CTA | VT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.80 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.37 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.01 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.07 | 2.44 | -2.51 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.20 | 10.41 | -10.61 |
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Drawdowns
CTA vs. VT - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum CTA drawdown since its inception was -20.44%, smaller than the maximum VT drawdown of -50.27%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CTA and VT.
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Drawdown Indicators
| CTA | VT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -20.44% | -50.27% | +29.83% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -20.44% | -9.67% | -10.77% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -20.44% | -16.51% | -3.93% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -26.38% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -34.24% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -19.85% | -0.72% | -19.13% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -5.92% | -6.99% | +1.07% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 6.67% | 2.26% | +4.41% |
Volatility
CTA vs. VT - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) is 4.27%, while Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) has a volatility of 4.90%. This indicates that CTA experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than VT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| CTA | VT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 4.27% | 4.90% | -0.63% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 17.73% | 11.41% | +6.32% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 20.44% | 13.61% | +6.83% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 16.59% | 16.19% | +0.40% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 16.59% | 17.15% | -0.56% |
CTA vs. VT - Expense Ratio Comparison
CTA has a 0.78% expense ratio, which is higher than VT's 0.06% expense ratio.
Dividends
CTA vs. VT - Dividend Comparison
CTA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.14%, more than VT's 1.58% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.14% | 3.19% | 4.80% | 7.78% | 6.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 1.58% | 1.82% | 1.95% | 2.08% | 2.20% | 1.82% | 1.66% | 2.32% | 2.53% | 2.11% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
Frequently Asked Questions
CTA and VT have a correlation of -0.09, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
VT has higher volatility (4.90%) compared to CTA (4.27%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CTA dropped -20.44% vs VT's -50.27%.
On 3-year performance, VT leads with 19.87% vs 6.30% for CTA. On fees, VT is cheaper at 0.06% per year. On volatility, CTA has been the lower-risk option at 4.27%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, VT has performed better with a 19.87% return vs 6.30%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
VT is cheaper with a 0.06% expense ratio, compared with 0.78% for CTA.
CTA has the higher dividend yield at 5.14%, compared with 1.58% for VT.
CTA is categorized as Systematic Trend, while VT is Global Equities. They also come from different issuers: Simplify and Vanguard. Their fees differ too: 0.78% for CTA and 0.06% for VT.
VT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.73 vs -0.07), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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