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CTA vs. BTGD
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

CTA vs. BTGD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF (BTGD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CTA achieves a 4.59% return, which is significantly higher than BTGD's -35.83% return.


CTA

1D
1.32%
1M
2.38%
6M
2.75%
YTD
4.59%
1Y
3.52%
3Y*
9.71%
5Y*
10Y*
ALL TIME*
7.94%

BTGD

1D
4.01%
1M
0.82%
6M
-42.84%
YTD
-35.83%
1Y
-42.90%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
ALL TIME*
6.49%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

CTA vs. BTGD - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
4.59%0.88%7.70%
BTGD
STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF
-35.83%34.62%29.32%

Correlation

The correlation between CTA and BTGD is 0.10, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.10

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 16, 2024

0.15

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Return for Risk

CTA vs. BTGD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

CTA
CTA Risk / Return Rank: 1313
Overall Rank
CTA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1414
Sharpe Ratio Rank
CTA Sortino Ratio Rank: 1313
Sortino Ratio Rank
CTA Omega Ratio Rank: 1313
Omega Ratio Rank
CTA Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
CTA Martin Ratio Rank: 1414
Martin Ratio Rank

BTGD
BTGD Risk / Return Rank: 33
Overall Rank
BTGD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 33
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTGD Sortino Ratio Rank: 44
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTGD Omega Ratio Rank: 44
Omega Ratio Rank
BTGD Calmar Ratio Rank: 33
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTGD Martin Ratio Rank: 11
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

CTA vs. BTGD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF (BTGD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


CTABTGDDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.91

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.28

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

0.90

+0.15

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.17

-0.73

+0.90

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.49

-1.39

+1.88

CTA vs. BTGD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CTA Sharpe Ratio is 0.17, which is higher than the BTGD Sharpe Ratio of -0.74. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CTA and BTGD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

CTA vs. BTGD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CTA drawdown since its inception was -20.44%, smaller than the maximum BTGD drawdown of -58.79%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CTA and BTGD.


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Drawdown Indicators


CTABTGDDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-20.44%

-58.79%

+38.35%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-20.44%

-58.79%

+38.35%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-20.44%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-14.18%

-52.99%

+38.81%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-5.99%

-17.44%

+11.45%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

7.21%

30.90%

-23.69%

Volatility

CTA vs. BTGD - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) is 5.46%, while STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF (BTGD) has a volatility of 15.69%. This indicates that CTA experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BTGD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


CTABTGDDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.46%

15.69%

-10.23%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

18.01%

47.88%

-29.87%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

20.77%

57.94%

-37.17%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.66%

55.96%

-39.30%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

16.66%

55.96%

-39.30%

CTA vs. BTGD - Expense Ratio Comparison

CTA has a 0.78% expense ratio, which is lower than BTGD's 1.00% expense ratio.


Dividends

CTA vs. BTGD - Dividend Comparison

CTA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.80%, less than BTGD's 5.24% yield.


PositionTTM2025202420232022
BTGD
STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF
5.24%3.36%0.19%0.00%0.00%
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
4.80%3.19%4.80%7.78%6.58%

Frequently Asked Questions


CTA and BTGD have a correlation of 0.10, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

BTGD has higher volatility (15.69%) compared to CTA (5.46%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CTA dropped -20.44% vs BTGD's -58.79%.

On 1-year performance, CTA leads with 3.52% vs -42.90% for BTGD. On fees, CTA is cheaper at 0.78% per year. On volatility, CTA has been the lower-risk option at 5.46%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, CTA has performed better with a 3.52% return vs -42.90%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

CTA is cheaper with a 0.78% expense ratio, compared with 1.00% for BTGD.

BTGD has the higher dividend yield at 5.24%, compared with 4.80% for CTA.

CTA is categorized as Systematic Trend, while BTGD is Cryptocurrency. They also come from different issuers: Simplify and Quantify Funds. Their fees differ too: 0.78% for CTA and 1.00% for BTGD.

CTA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.17 vs -0.74), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for CTA and BTGD

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