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CTA vs. BTGD
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

CTA vs. BTGD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF (BTGD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CTA achieves a 9.63% return, which is significantly higher than BTGD's -32.80% return.


CTA

1D
0.52%
1M
-4.51%
YTD
9.63%
6M
12.55%
1Y
10.03%
3Y*
10.94%
5Y*
10Y*

BTGD

1D
5.44%
1M
-28.40%
YTD
-32.80%
6M
-33.78%
1Y
-31.91%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

CTA vs. BTGD - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
9.63%0.88%7.62%
BTGD
STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF
-32.80%34.62%29.81%

Correlation

The correlation between CTA and BTGD is 0.12, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.12

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 17, 2024

0.16

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Return for Risk

CTA vs. BTGD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

CTA
CTA Risk / Return Rank: 1919
Overall Rank
CTA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1818
Sharpe Ratio Rank
CTA Sortino Ratio Rank: 1717
Sortino Ratio Rank
CTA Omega Ratio Rank: 1818
Omega Ratio Rank
CTA Calmar Ratio Rank: 2222
Calmar Ratio Rank
CTA Martin Ratio Rank: 2121
Martin Ratio Rank

BTGD
BTGD Risk / Return Rank: 44
Overall Rank
BTGD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 55
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTGD Sortino Ratio Rank: 55
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTGD Omega Ratio Rank: 55
Omega Ratio Rank
BTGD Calmar Ratio Rank: 44
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTGD Martin Ratio Rank: 33
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

CTA vs. BTGD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF (BTGD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


CTABTGDDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+1.07

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.33

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.10

0.93

+0.17

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.92

-0.60

+1.52

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

2.32

-1.29

+3.61

CTA vs. BTGD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CTA Sharpe Ratio is 0.50, which is higher than the BTGD Sharpe Ratio of -0.57. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CTA and BTGD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


CTABTGDDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.50

-0.57

+1.07

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.58

0.19

+0.39

Drawdowns

CTA vs. BTGD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CTA drawdown since its inception was -18.07%, smaller than the maximum BTGD drawdown of -53.31%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CTA and BTGD.


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Drawdown Indicators


CTABTGDDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-18.07%

-53.31%

+35.24%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-11.00%

-53.31%

+42.31%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-11.23%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-10.05%

-50.77%

+40.72%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-5.69%

-14.85%

+9.16%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

4.33%

24.72%

-20.39%

Volatility

CTA vs. BTGD - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) is 6.73%, while STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF (BTGD) has a volatility of 14.85%. This indicates that CTA experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BTGD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


CTABTGDDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

6.73%

14.85%

-8.12%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

17.43%

46.45%

-29.02%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

20.21%

56.04%

-35.83%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.59%

55.94%

-39.35%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

16.59%

55.94%

-39.35%

CTA vs. BTGD - Expense Ratio Comparison

CTA has a 0.78% expense ratio, which is lower than BTGD's 1.00% expense ratio.


Dividends

CTA vs. BTGD - Dividend Comparison

CTA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.97%, which matches BTGD's 5.00% yield.


PositionTTM2025202420232022
BTGD
STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF
5.00%3.36%0.19%0.00%0.00%
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
4.97%3.19%4.80%7.78%6.58%

Frequently Asked Questions


CTA and BTGD have a correlation of 0.12, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

BTGD has higher volatility (14.85%) compared to CTA (6.73%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CTA dropped -18.07% vs BTGD's -53.31%.

On 1-year performance, CTA leads with 10.03% vs -31.91% for BTGD. On fees, CTA is cheaper at 0.78% per year. On volatility, CTA has been the lower-risk option at 6.73%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, CTA has performed better with a 10.03% return vs -31.91%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

CTA is cheaper with a 0.78% expense ratio, compared with 1.00% for BTGD.

BTGD has the higher dividend yield at 5.00%, compared with 4.97% for CTA.

CTA is categorized as Systematic Trend, while BTGD is Cryptocurrency. They also come from different issuers: Simplify and Quantify Funds. Their fees differ too: 0.78% for CTA and 1.00% for BTGD.

CTA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.50 vs -0.57), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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