BTAI vs. USD

Last updated Jun 6, 2026

BTAI (BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc.) is a stock, while USD (ProShares Ultra Semiconductors) is Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors Index (200%). Over the past 5 years, BTAI returned -71.22%/yr vs 61.72%/yr for USD. At a 0.25 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

BTAI vs. USD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. (BTAI) and ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, BTAI achieves a -30.94% return, which is significantly lower than USD's 69.08% return.

BTAI

• 1D: -10.16%
• 1M: -15.00%
• YTD: -30.94%
• 6M: -46.62%
• 1Y: -27.78%
• 3Y*: -85.03%
• 5Y*: -71.22%
• 10Y*: —

USD

• 1D: -16.84%
• 1M: 0.03%
• YTD: 69.08%
• 6M: 62.79%
• 1Y: 196.23%
• 3Y*: 111.77%
• 5Y*: 61.72%
• 10Y*: 58.18%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

BTAI vs. USD - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
BTAI BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc.	-30.94%	-73.25%	-87.33%	-86.27%	5.66%	-56.00%	216.22%	278.50%	-65.00%
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors	69.08%	62.08%	139.64%	228.79%	-68.57%	104.27%	68.16%	110.37%	-39.09%

Correlation

The correlation between BTAI and USD is 0.21, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.21
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.17
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.24
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 9, 2018	0.25

Return for Risk

BTAI vs. USD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

BTAI

BTAI Risk / Return Rank: 39
BTAI Sharpe Ratio Rank: 34
BTAI Sortino Ratio Rank: 49
BTAI Omega Ratio Rank: 46
BTAI Calmar Ratio Rank: 31
BTAI Martin Ratio Rank: 34

USD

USD Risk / Return Rank: 81
USD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 91
USD Sortino Ratio Rank: 66
USD Omega Ratio Rank: 71
USD Calmar Ratio Rank: 92
USD Martin Ratio Rank: 86

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

BTAI vs. USD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. (BTAI) and ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	BTAI	USD	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.19	3.10	-3.30
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.76	2.98	-2.22
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.08	1.41	-0.33
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.33	6.21	-6.54
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.43	17.82	-18.25
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

BTAI vs. USD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current BTAI Sharpe Ratio is -0.19, which is lower than the USD Sharpe Ratio of 3.10. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of BTAI and USD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	BTAI	USD	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.19	3.10	-3.30
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.59	0.81	-1.39
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	—	0.84	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	-0.39	0.46	-0.85

Drawdowns

BTAI vs. USD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum BTAI drawdown since its inception was -99.90%, which is greater than USD's maximum drawdown of -88.63%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BTAI and USD.

Drawdown Indicators

	BTAI	USD	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-99.90%	-88.63%	-11.27%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-85.00%	-31.80%	-53.20%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-99.70%	-64.46%	-35.24%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-99.84%	-77.85%	-21.99%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-77.85%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-99.89%	-21.89%	-78.00%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-63.23%	-32.34%	-30.89%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	64.85%	11.06%	+53.79%

Volatility

BTAI vs. USD - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. (BTAI) is 21.38%, while ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD) has a volatility of 27.63%. This indicates that BTAI experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than USD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	BTAI	USD	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	21.38%	27.63%	-6.25%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	56.26%	50.45%	+5.81%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	143.82%	63.70%	+80.12%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	121.45%	76.91%	+44.54%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	117.97%	69.45%	+48.52%

Dividends

BTAI vs. USD - Dividend Comparison

BTAI has not paid dividends to shareholders, while USD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.27%.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
BTAI BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc.	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors	0.27%	0.39%	0.10%	0.05%	0.30%	0.00%	0.14%	0.72%	0.93%	0.32%	0.46%	0.39%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both BTAI and USD in my portfolio?

BTAI and USD have a correlation of 0.21, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, BTAI or USD?

USD has higher volatility (27.63%) compared to BTAI (21.38%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BTAI dropped -99.90% vs USD's -88.63%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

USD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (3.10 vs -0.19), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.