BITX vs. UST

Last updated Jun 13, 2026

BITX (2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF) and UST (ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury) are both exchange-traded funds - BITX is a Cryptocurrency fund tracking the S&P CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Roll Index (200%), while UST is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%). Both are passively managed. Over the past year, BITX returned -74.95% vs 2.47% for UST. At a 0.01 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. BITX charges 2.38%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for UST.

Performance

BITX vs. UST - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) and ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, BITX achieves a -55.39% return, which is significantly lower than UST's -2.66% return.

BITX

• 1D: 0.08%
• 1M: -37.85%
• YTD: -55.39%
• 6M: -58.72%
• 1Y: -74.95%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

UST

• 1D: -0.42%
• 1M: -0.04%
• YTD: -2.66%
• 6M: -2.37%
• 1Y: 2.47%
• 3Y*: 0.27%
• 5Y*: -6.96%
• 10Y*: -2.25%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

BITX vs. UST - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF	-55.39%	-38.71%	163.41%	46.18%
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury	-2.66%	10.26%	-6.19%	-1.58%

Correlation

The correlation between BITX and UST is 0.08, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.08
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 27, 2023	0.01

Return for Risk

BITX vs. UST — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

BITX

BITX Risk / Return Rank: 2
BITX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3
BITX Sortino Ratio Rank: 1
BITX Omega Ratio Rank: 2
BITX Calmar Ratio Rank: 1
BITX Martin Ratio Rank: 2

UST

UST Risk / Return Rank: 13
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 14
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 13
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 12
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 13
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 13

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

BITX vs. UST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) and ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	BITX	UST	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.86	0.27	-1.12
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-1.53	0.45	-1.98
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.83	1.05	-0.22
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.91	0.28	-1.20
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.45	0.77	-2.21

BITX vs. UST - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current BITX Sharpe Ratio is -0.86, which is lower than the UST Sharpe Ratio of 0.27. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of BITX and UST, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

BITX vs. UST - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum BITX drawdown since its inception was -82.16%, which is greater than UST's maximum drawdown of -47.99%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BITX and UST.

Drawdown Indicators

	BITX	UST	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-82.16%	-47.99%	-34.17%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-82.16%	-8.75%	-73.41%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-16.74%	—
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-43.97%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-47.99%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-80.28%	-38.19%	-42.09%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-32.12%	-15.16%	-16.96%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	51.79%	3.22%	+48.57%

Volatility

BITX vs. UST - Volatility Comparison

2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) has a higher volatility of 24.10% compared to ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) at 3.25%. This indicates that BITX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than UST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	BITX	UST	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	24.10%	3.25%	+20.85%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	69.17%	6.75%	+62.42%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	87.50%	9.35%	+78.15%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	98.23%	15.47%	+82.76%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	98.23%	13.18%	+85.05%

BITX vs. UST - Expense Ratio Comparison

BITX has a 2.38% expense ratio, which is higher than UST's 0.95% expense ratio.

Dividends

BITX vs. UST - Dividend Comparison

BITX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 35.54%, more than UST's 3.48% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF	35.54%	21.69%	10.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury	3.48%	3.65%	4.09%	3.49%	0.47%	0.27%	0.53%	1.42%	1.71%	0.84%	0.64%	0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both BITX and UST in my portfolio?

BITX and UST have a correlation of 0.08, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, BITX or UST?

BITX has higher volatility (24.10%) compared to UST (3.25%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BITX dropped -82.16% vs UST's -47.99%.

Which ETF is better, BITX or UST?

On 1-year performance, UST leads with 2.47% vs -74.95% for BITX. On fees, UST is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.25%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, BITX or UST?

Over the 1-year period, UST has performed better with a 2.47% return vs -74.95%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, BITX or UST?

UST is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 2.38% for BITX.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, BITX or UST?

BITX has the higher dividend yield at 35.54%, compared with 3.48% for UST.

What is the main difference between BITX and UST?

BITX is categorized as Cryptocurrency, while UST is Leveraged Bonds. BITX tracks S&P CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Roll Index (200%), while UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%). They also come from different issuers: Volatility Shares and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 2.38% for BITX and 0.95% for UST.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

UST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.27 vs -0.86), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.