BITX vs. MSTX
BITX (2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF) and MSTX (Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - BITX is a Cryptocurrency fund tracking the S&P CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Roll Index (200%), while MSTX is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Defiance. BITX is passively managed, while MSTX is actively managed. Over the past year, BITX returned -80.34% vs -98.20% for MSTX. A 0.78 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. BITX charges 2.38%/yr vs 1.29%/yr for MSTX.
Performance
BITX vs. MSTX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, BITX achieves a -58.12% return, which is significantly higher than MSTX's -78.86% return.
BITX
- 1D
- -5.33%
- 1M
- -6.13%
- 6M
- -61.36%
- YTD
- -58.12%
- 1Y
- -80.34%
- 3Y*
- 1.91%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
MSTX
- 1D
- -5.35%
- 1M
- -49.69%
- 6M
- -81.03%
- YTD
- -78.86%
- 1Y
- -98.20%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BITX vs. MSTX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -58.12% | -38.71% | 106.65% |
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | -78.86% | -89.06% | 134.05% |
Correlation
The correlation between BITX and MSTX is 0.85, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 15, 2024 | 0.78 |
The correlation between BITX and MSTX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.78 to 0.85 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
BITX vs. MSTX — Risk / Return Rank
BITX
MSTX
BITX vs. MSTX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| BITX | MSTX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.25 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.82 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.80 | 0.73 | +0.07 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.96 | -1.00 | +0.03 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.42 | -1.20 | -0.22 |
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Drawdowns
BITX vs. MSTX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum BITX drawdown since its inception was -83.45%, smaller than the maximum MSTX drawdown of -99.46%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BITX and MSTX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| BITX | MSTX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -83.45% | -99.46% | +16.01% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -83.45% | -98.63% | +15.18% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -83.45% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -81.49% | -99.35% | +17.86% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -33.35% | -71.39% | +38.04% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 56.38% | 81.50% | -25.12% |
Volatility
BITX vs. MSTX - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) is 22.66%, while Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) has a volatility of 53.48%. This indicates that BITX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MSTX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| BITX | MSTX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 22.66% | 53.48% | -30.82% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 69.77% | 121.92% | -52.15% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 88.03% | 148.11% | -60.08% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 97.79% | 168.15% | -70.36% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 97.79% | 168.15% | -70.36% |
BITX vs. MSTX - Expense Ratio Comparison
BITX has a 2.38% expense ratio, which is higher than MSTX's 1.29% expense ratio.
Dividends
BITX vs. MSTX - Dividend Comparison
BITX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 33.37%, while MSTX has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 33.37% | 21.69% | 10.70% |
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.01% |
Frequently Asked Questions
BITX and MSTX have a correlation of 0.85, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSTX has higher volatility (53.48%) compared to BITX (22.66%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BITX dropped -83.45% vs MSTX's -99.46%.
On 1-year performance, BITX leads with -80.34% vs -98.20% for MSTX. On fees, MSTX is cheaper at 1.29% per year. On volatility, BITX has been the lower-risk option at 22.66%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BITX has performed better with a -80.34% return vs -98.20%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
MSTX is cheaper with a 1.29% expense ratio, compared with 2.38% for BITX.
BITX has the higher dividend yield at 33.37%, compared with 0.00% for MSTX.
BITX is categorized as Cryptocurrency, while MSTX is Leveraged Equities. They also come from different issuers: Volatility Shares and Defiance. Their fees differ too: 2.38% for BITX and 1.29% for MSTX.
MSTX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.66 vs -0.92), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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