BITX vs. MSTX
BITX (2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF) and MSTX (Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - BITX is a Cryptocurrency fund tracking the S&P CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Roll Index (200%), while MSTX is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Defiance. BITX is passively managed, while MSTX is actively managed. Over the past year, BITX returned -74.26% vs -96.70% for MSTX. A 0.78 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. BITX charges 2.38%/yr vs 1.29%/yr for MSTX.
Performance
BITX vs. MSTX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, BITX achieves a -57.54% return, which is significantly higher than MSTX's -71.19% return.
BITX
- 1D
- -6.62%
- 1M
- -34.22%
- YTD
- -57.54%
- 6M
- -57.83%
- 1Y
- -74.26%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
MSTX
- 1D
- -10.71%
- 1M
- -61.25%
- YTD
- -71.19%
- 6M
- -73.53%
- 1Y
- -96.70%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BITX vs. MSTX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -57.54% | -38.71% | 106.65% |
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | -71.19% | -89.06% | 134.05% |
Correlation
The correlation between BITX and MSTX is 0.86, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.86 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 15, 2024 | 0.78 |
The correlation between BITX and MSTX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.78 to 0.86 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
BITX vs. MSTX — Risk / Return Rank
BITX
MSTX
BITX vs. MSTX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| BITX | MSTX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.17 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.79 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.84 | 0.76 | +0.07 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.91 | -0.99 | +0.08 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.40 | -1.23 | -0.16 |
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Drawdowns
BITX vs. MSTX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum BITX drawdown since its inception was -82.16%, smaller than the maximum MSTX drawdown of -99.11%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BITX and MSTX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| BITX | MSTX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -82.16% | -99.11% | +16.95% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -82.16% | -97.76% | +15.60% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -81.23% | -99.11% | +17.88% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -32.50% | -70.60% | +38.10% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 53.22% | 78.39% | -25.17% |
Volatility
BITX vs. MSTX - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) is 26.10%, while Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) has a volatility of 44.91%. This indicates that BITX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MSTX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| BITX | MSTX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 26.10% | 44.91% | -18.81% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 69.46% | 114.95% | -45.49% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 87.90% | 143.60% | -55.70% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 98.18% | 167.05% | -68.87% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 98.18% | 167.05% | -68.87% |
BITX vs. MSTX - Expense Ratio Comparison
BITX has a 2.38% expense ratio, which is higher than MSTX's 1.29% expense ratio.
Dividends
BITX vs. MSTX - Dividend Comparison
BITX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 37.54%, while MSTX has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 37.54% | 21.69% | 10.70% |
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.01% |
Frequently Asked Questions
BITX and MSTX have a correlation of 0.86, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSTX has higher volatility (44.91%) compared to BITX (26.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BITX dropped -82.16% vs MSTX's -99.11%.
On 1-year performance, BITX leads with -74.26% vs -96.70% for MSTX. On fees, MSTX is cheaper at 1.29% per year. On volatility, BITX has been the lower-risk option at 26.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BITX has performed better with a -74.26% return vs -96.70%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
MSTX is cheaper with a 1.29% expense ratio, compared with 2.38% for BITX.
BITX has the higher dividend yield at 37.54%, compared with 0.00% for MSTX.
BITX is categorized as Cryptocurrency, while MSTX is Leveraged Equities. They also come from different issuers: Volatility Shares and Defiance. Their fees differ too: 2.38% for BITX and 1.29% for MSTX.
MSTX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.67 vs -0.85), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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