^XAU vs. GDX
^XAU (Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index) is an index, while GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF) is Gold fund tracking the NYSE MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index. Over the past 10 years, ^XAU returned 14.99%/yr vs 14.11%/yr for GDX. With a 0.98 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep.
Performance
^XAU vs. GDX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, ^XAU achieves a 6.15% return, which is significantly higher than GDX's 0.73% return. Over the past 10 years, ^XAU has outperformed GDX with an annualized return of 14.99%, while GDX has yielded a comparatively lower 14.11% annualized return.
^XAU
- 1D
- 1.46%
- 1M
- 4.21%
- YTD
- 6.15%
- 6M
- 13.80%
- 1Y
- 77.23%
- 3Y*
- 42.60%
- 5Y*
- 17.52%
- 10Y*
- 14.99%
GDX
- 1D
- 1.65%
- 1M
- 0.69%
- YTD
- 0.73%
- 6M
- 6.93%
- 1Y
- 63.55%
- 3Y*
- 41.54%
- 5Y*
- 19.08%
- 10Y*
- 14.11%
^XAU vs. GDX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^XAU Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index | 6.15% | 149.51% | 9.14% | 4.00% | -8.75% | -8.14% | 34.86% | 51.32% | -17.13% | 8.13% |
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 0.73% | 154.77% | 10.63% | 9.98% | -9.01% | -9.52% | 23.66% | 39.84% | -8.77% | 11.99% |
Correlation
The correlation between ^XAU and GDX is 0.98 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.97 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 23, 2006 | 0.98 |
The correlation between ^XAU and GDX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.97 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
^XAU vs. GDX — Risk / Return Rank
^XAU
GDX
^XAU vs. GDX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index (^XAU) and VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| ^XAU | GDX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.34 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.28 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.29 | 1.25 | +0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.57 | 2.07 | +0.50 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.64 | 5.27 | +1.37 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| ^XAU | GDX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 1.74 | 1.40 | +0.34 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.49 | 0.53 | -0.04 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.41 | 0.38 | +0.03 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.08 | 0.13 | -0.05 |
Drawdowns
^XAU vs. GDX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum ^XAU drawdown since its inception was -83.04%, roughly equal to the maximum GDX drawdown of -80.34%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ^XAU and GDX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| ^XAU | GDX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -83.04% | -80.34% | -2.70% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -30.21% | -30.84% | +0.63% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -30.21% | -30.84% | +0.63% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -45.52% | -46.51% | +0.99% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -45.52% | -49.79% | +4.27% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -22.75% | -25.41% | +2.66% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -39.76% | -40.43% | +0.67% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 11.66% | 12.09% | -0.43% |
Volatility
^XAU vs. GDX - Volatility Comparison
Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index (^XAU) and VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) have volatilities of 15.15% and 15.49%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| ^XAU | GDX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 15.15% | 15.49% | -0.34% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 36.41% | 37.51% | -1.10% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 44.51% | 45.49% | -0.98% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 36.17% | 36.40% | -0.23% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 36.28% | 37.17% | -0.89% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.98, ^XAU and GDX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
GDX has higher volatility (15.49%) compared to ^XAU (15.15%). In terms of maximum drawdown, ^XAU dropped -83.04% vs GDX's -80.34%.
^XAU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.74 vs 1.40), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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