^TYX vs. GC=F
^TYX (Treasury Yield 30 Years) is an index, while GC=F (Gold Futures) is an asset. Over the past 10 years, ^TYX returned 6.94%/yr vs 13.72%/yr for GC=F. At a correlation of -0.15, they often move in opposite directions.
Performance
^TYX vs. GC=F - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, ^TYX achieves a 2.85% return, which is significantly lower than GC=F's 4.09% return. Over the past 10 years, ^TYX has underperformed GC=F with an annualized return of 6.94%, while GC=F has yielded a comparatively higher 13.72% annualized return.
^TYX
- 1D
- -0.24%
- 1M
- 0.71%
- YTD
- 2.85%
- 6M
- 3.88%
- 1Y
- 1.92%
- 3Y*
- 8.57%
- 5Y*
- 17.33%
- 10Y*
- 6.94%
GC=F
- 1D
- 1.48%
- 1M
- -3.83%
- YTD
- 4.09%
- 6M
- 6.87%
- 1Y
- 34.37%
- 3Y*
- 31.99%
- 5Y*
- 18.96%
- 10Y*
- 13.72%
^TYX vs. GC=F - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^TYX Treasury Yield 30 Years | 2.85% | 1.13% | 19.08% | 1.11% | 108.66% | 15.74% | -31.10% | -20.89% | 10.26% | -10.58% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 4.09% | 64.52% | 27.48% | 13.34% | -0.43% | -3.47% | 24.59% | 18.87% | -2.14% | 13.59% |
Correlation
The correlation between ^TYX and GC=F is -0.16, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.16 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.17 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.20 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.26 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 30, 2000 | -0.15 |
The correlation between ^TYX and GC=F shifts across timeframes, from -0.26 (10 years) to -0.15 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
^TYX vs. GC=F — Risk / Return Rank
^TYX
GC=F
^TYX vs. GC=F - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Treasury Yield 30 Years (^TYX) and Gold Futures (GC=F). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| ^TYX | GC=F | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.07 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.31 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.03 | 1.25 | -0.21 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.19 | 1.83 | -1.64 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.41 | 4.59 | -4.19 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| ^TYX | GC=F | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.15 | 1.22 | -1.07 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.67 | 1.04 | -0.36 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.20 | 0.83 | -0.63 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.02 | 0.62 | -0.65 |
Drawdowns
^TYX vs. GC=F - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum ^TYX drawdown since its inception was -88.52%, which is greater than GC=F's maximum drawdown of -44.36%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ^TYX and GC=F.
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Drawdown Indicators
| ^TYX | GC=F | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -88.52% | -44.36% | -44.16% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -9.55% | -17.73% | +8.18% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -22.85% | -17.73% | -5.12% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -25.46% | -20.43% | -5.03% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -72.86% | -20.87% | -51.99% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -38.99% | -15.34% | -23.65% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -45.96% | -13.03% | -32.93% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 4.45% | 7.13% | -2.68% |
Volatility
^TYX vs. GC=F - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Treasury Yield 30 Years (^TYX) is 3.58%, while Gold Futures (GC=F) has a volatility of 4.73%. This indicates that ^TYX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GC=F based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| ^TYX | GC=F | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.58% | 4.73% | -1.15% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 7.99% | 23.11% | -15.12% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 12.15% | 26.50% | -14.35% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 25.06% | 18.20% | +6.86% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 33.11% | 16.44% | +16.67% |
Frequently Asked Questions
^TYX and GC=F have a correlation of -0.16, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
GC=F has higher volatility (4.73%) compared to ^TYX (3.58%). In terms of maximum drawdown, ^TYX dropped -88.52% vs GC=F's -44.36%.
GC=F currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.22 vs 0.15), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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