^DXY vs. TLT
^DXY (US Dollar Currency Index) is an index, while TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) is Government Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. Over the past 10 years, ^DXY returned 0.54%/yr vs -1.62%/yr for TLT. At a correlation of -0.11, they often move in opposite directions.
Performance
^DXY vs. TLT - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, ^DXY achieves a 0.93% return, which is significantly higher than TLT's 0.13% return. Over the past 10 years, ^DXY has outperformed TLT with an annualized return of 0.54%, while TLT has yielded a comparatively lower -1.62% annualized return.
^DXY
- 1D
- 0.04%
- 1M
- 1.10%
- YTD
- 0.93%
- 6M
- -0.12%
- 1Y
- 0.54%
- 3Y*
- -1.55%
- 5Y*
- 1.86%
- 10Y*
- 0.54%
TLT
- 1D
- 0.21%
- 1M
- 0.44%
- YTD
- 0.13%
- 6M
- -1.35%
- 1Y
- 5.16%
- 3Y*
- -1.67%
- 5Y*
- -5.98%
- 10Y*
- -1.62%
^DXY vs. TLT - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^DXY US Dollar Currency Index | 0.93% | -9.37% | 7.06% | -2.11% | 7.87% | 6.71% | -6.69% | 0.22% | 4.40% | -9.87% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.13% | 4.25% | -8.05% | 2.77% | -31.23% | -4.60% | 18.15% | 14.12% | -1.61% | 9.18% |
Correlation
The correlation between ^DXY and TLT is -0.37, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.37 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.33 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.24 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.18 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 29, 2002 | -0.11 |
Over the past year, the inverse relationship between ^DXY and TLT has strengthened: their correlation has moved from -0.11 to -0.37, meaning they now move in opposite directions more often than their long-term average.
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Return for Risk
^DXY vs. TLT — Risk / Return Rank
^DXY
TLT
^DXY vs. TLT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for US Dollar Currency Index (^DXY) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| ^DXY | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.09 | 0.53 | -0.44 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.17 | 0.83 | -0.67 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.02 | 1.09 | -0.07 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.15 | 0.55 | -0.40 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.35 | 1.38 | -1.03 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| ^DXY | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.09 | 0.53 | -0.44 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.26 | -0.38 | +0.64 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.08 | -0.11 | +0.19 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.08 | 0.26 | -0.33 |
Drawdowns
^DXY vs. TLT - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum ^DXY drawdown since its inception was -45.13%, smaller than the maximum TLT drawdown of -48.35%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ^DXY and TLT.
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Drawdown Indicators
| ^DXY | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -45.13% | -48.35% | +3.22% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -4.00% | -7.58% | +3.58% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -12.49% | -19.18% | +6.69% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -15.68% | -43.70% | +28.02% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -15.68% | -48.35% | +32.67% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -23.66% | -40.20% | +16.54% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -28.17% | -13.81% | -14.36% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.75% | 3.02% | -1.27% |
Volatility
^DXY vs. TLT - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for US Dollar Currency Index (^DXY) is 1.02%, while iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has a volatility of 2.84%. This indicates that ^DXY experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TLT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| ^DXY | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 1.02% | 2.84% | -1.82% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 3.89% | 6.60% | -2.71% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 5.75% | 9.81% | -4.06% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 6.98% | 15.87% | -8.89% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 6.49% | 14.91% | -8.42% |
Frequently Asked Questions
^DXY and TLT have a correlation of -0.37, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TLT has higher volatility (2.84%) compared to ^DXY (1.02%). In terms of maximum drawdown, ^DXY dropped -45.13% vs TLT's -48.35%.
TLT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.53 vs 0.09), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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