Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | Leveraged Bonds | 50% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities | 50% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 16, 2026, the 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF returned 35.79% Year-To-Date and 18.89% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.65% | 1.97% | 10.35% | 10.82% | 26.39% | 19.66% | 12.33% | 13.81% |
Portfolio 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF | 6.18% | 10.82% | 35.79% | 36.82% | 68.88% | 21.98% | -0.51% | 18.89% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 0.00% | 7.62% | -5.18% | -5.24% | -1.79% | -20.85% | -30.62% | -16.93% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 9.12% | 12.28% | 60.72% | 63.13% | 133.92% | 62.54% | 26.58% | 46.35% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 11, 2010, 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF's average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.56%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.3 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +31.7%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -31.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 7 months.
On a daily basis, 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +17.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -15.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.69% | 2.23% | -13.67% | 25.86% | 21.13% | 0.22% | 35.79% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.17% | 3.42% | -13.34% | -4.85% | 8.03% | 14.20% | 0.79% | 0.06% | 12.98% | 8.01% | -3.57% | -5.80% | 20.16% |
| 2024 | -2.17% | 3.92% | 1.84% | -16.86% | 13.06% | 11.45% | 0.78% | 2.74% | 5.40% | -10.45% | 9.81% | -8.36% | 6.65% |
| 2023 | 27.45% | -8.99% | 21.52% | -0.19% | 6.33% | 10.08% | 0.97% | -8.41% | -19.07% | -12.69% | 31.74% | 20.82% | 71.27% |
| 2022 | -18.65% | -9.85% | -4.80% | -31.78% | -8.65% | -15.67% | 22.23% | -15.68% | -27.69% | -5.27% | 16.32% | -18.58% | -75.47% |
| 2021 | -5.65% | -8.65% | -5.84% | 12.32% | -2.70% | 16.65% | 9.65% | 5.49% | -13.12% | 15.78% | 6.31% | -2.19% | 25.16% |
Benchmark Metrics
3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF has an annualized alpha of 16.62%, beta of 1.12, and R2 of 0.33 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 11, 2010.
- This portfolio captured 206.18% of S&P 500 Index gains and 135.62% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- R2 of 0.33 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 16.62%
- Beta
- 1.12
- R²
- 0.33
- Upside Capture
- 206.18%
- Downside Capture
- 135.62%
Expense Ratio
3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF has a high expense ratio of 0.98%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF ranks 39 for risk / return — below 39% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.08 | 2.14 | -0.06 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.60 | 2.89 | -0.29 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.35 | 1.39 | -0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.59 | 2.91 | -0.33 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.50 | 13.08 | -5.58 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 9 | -0.06 | 0.11 | 1.01 | -0.07 | -0.15 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 75 | 2.60 | 2.80 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 11.67 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF provided a 2.24% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.24% | 2.35% | 2.78% | 2.04% | 1.09% | 0.07% | 1.12% | 0.50% | 0.80% | 0.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.11% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.37% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF was 77.77%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF drawdown is 29.69%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -77.77%Nov 2022 | 11mo 22d | — | 4y 6moNov 2021 - now |
COVID crash2020 | -42.10%Mar 2020 | 9d | 1mo 12d | 1mo 21dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2021 bear market2021 | -29.23%Mar 2021 | 6mo 6d | 4mo | 10mo 6dSep 2020 - Jul 2021 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -26.69%Nov 2018 | 2mo 22d | 4mo | 6mo 22dAug 2018 - Mar 2019 |
2016 bear market2016 | -22.87%Dec 2016 | 2mo 3d | 4mo 3d | 6mo 6dSep 2016 - Apr 2017 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.28 | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.57 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.57, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.81 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.77 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.70 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 11, 2010 | 0.59 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. TQQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while TMF has the lowest at -0.24.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 3x Bond - Equities TQQQ TMF is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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