Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 4, 2013, corresponding to the inception date of BNDX
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio returned -0.87% Year-To-Date and 9.44% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio | -0.01% | -2.41% | -0.87% | 0.99% | 15.60% | 13.31% | 7.07% | 9.44% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.22% | -0.98% | 0.31% | 0.85% | 4.27% | 3.53% | 0.30% | 1.70% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | -0.77% | -2.79% | 3.65% | 8.84% | 30.37% | 16.09% | 8.76% | 9.49% |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | -0.10% | -1.55% | -0.08% | 0.10% | 2.63% | 3.79% | 0.18% | 1.74% |
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF | -0.67% | -2.48% | 2.90% | 6.78% | 27.80% | 15.65% | 7.59% | 9.14% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 5, 2013, Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.74%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.8 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +8.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -10.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +6.7%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -8.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.00% | 1.30% | -4.69% | 0.66% | -0.87% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.36% | 0.04% | -2.84% | 0.37% | 3.88% | 3.77% | 0.89% | 2.30% | 2.71% | 1.67% | 0.36% | 0.40% | 16.90% |
| 2024 | 0.16% | 2.93% | 2.60% | -3.35% | 3.59% | 1.68% | 2.15% | 1.97% | 1.92% | -1.93% | 3.68% | -2.51% | 13.31% |
| 2023 | 6.15% | -2.83% | 2.72% | 1.07% | -0.75% | 4.24% | 2.56% | -2.02% | -3.80% | -2.35% | 7.64% | 4.69% | 17.85% |
| 2022 | -4.09% | -2.20% | 0.67% | -6.99% | 0.39% | -6.09% | 6.09% | -3.63% | -7.76% | 4.45% | 6.26% | -3.75% | -16.58% |
| 2021 | -0.34% | 1.52% | 1.89% | 3.25% | 0.90% | 1.40% | 0.95% | 1.67% | -3.22% | 3.87% | -1.50% | 2.54% | 13.48% |
Benchmark Metrics
Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 0.80%, beta of 0.67, and R² of 0.95 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 05, 2013.
- This portfolio participated in 74.71% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 69.34% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.67 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 0.80%
- Beta
- 0.67
- R²
- 0.95
- Upside Capture
- 69.34%
- Downside Capture
- 74.71%
Expense Ratio
Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.04%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio ranks 51 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.24 | 0.88 | +0.35 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.84 | 1.37 | +0.47 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.27 | 1.21 | +0.06 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.85 | 1.39 | +0.46 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.30 | 6.43 | +1.86 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 48 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 1.18 | 1.71 | 4.64 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 83 | 1.73 | 2.36 | 1.35 | 2.64 | 10.14 |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 34 | 0.82 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 0.89 | 3.55 |
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF | 79 | 1.62 | 2.23 | 1.33 | 2.46 | 9.28 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio provided a 2.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.37% | 2.36% | 2.41% | 2.38% | 2.18% | 1.94% | 1.76% | 2.36% | 2.53% | 2.13% | 2.28% | 2.31% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.92% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.90% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 4.47% | 4.39% | 4.18% | 4.42% | 1.51% | 3.74% | 1.11% | 3.40% | 3.01% | 2.23% | 1.89% | 1.63% |
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF | 2.90% | 3.09% | 3.24% | 3.32% | 3.12% | 3.08% | 2.00% | 3.10% | 3.27% | 2.66% | 2.96% | 2.95% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio was 24.76%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 92 trading sessions.
The current Bogleheads Four-fund Portfolio drawdown is 4.50%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -24.76% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 92 | Aug 3, 2020 | 115 |
| -22.93% | Nov 9, 2021 | 235 | Oct 14, 2022 | 339 | Feb 22, 2024 | 574 |
| -12.73% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 59 | Mar 21, 2019 | 288 |
| -11.95% | Feb 19, 2025 | 35 | Apr 8, 2025 | 28 | May 19, 2025 | 63 |
| -11.89% | Apr 27, 2015 | 202 | Feb 11, 2016 | 104 | Jul 12, 2016 | 306 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.82, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BNDX | BND | VEU | VEA | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | -0.02 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| BNDX | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.10 |
| BND | -0.02 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 0.11 |
| VEU | 0.80 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| VEA | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.89 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Portfolio | 0.96 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.90 | 0.89 | 0.97 | 1.00 |