Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 48% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | Foreign Large Cap Equities | 24% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 20% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | REIT | 8% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 3, 2026, the Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio returned 10.51% Year-To-Date and 10.70% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.13% | 5.25% | 11.16% | 11.43% | 28.20% | 21.12% | 12.66% | 13.75% |
Portfolio Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio | 0.32% | 3.82% | 10.51% | 11.53% | 24.03% | 17.26% | 9.08% | 10.70% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.46% | 0.46% | 5.19% | 4.03% | 0.20% | 1.60% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 0.63% | 5.24% | 15.96% | 19.86% | 32.71% | 20.13% | 10.01% | 10.27% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 0.46% | -1.60% | 7.96% | 7.15% | 9.88% | 9.19% | 2.21% | 5.22% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.26% | 5.37% | 12.01% | 12.40% | 30.01% | 22.37% | 13.05% | 15.13% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 27, 2007, Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.72%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.1 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Apr 2009 with a return of +10.8%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -16.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +10.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -9.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.44% | 2.01% | -5.39% | 7.52% | 3.61% | 0.33% | 10.51% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.77% | 0.36% | -2.94% | 0.48% | 4.19% | 3.69% | 0.72% | 2.69% | 2.49% | 1.41% | 0.67% | 0.52% | 18.22% |
| 2024 | -0.16% | 3.11% | 2.80% | -4.02% | 4.10% | 1.41% | 2.74% | 2.45% | 1.76% | -2.35% | 3.92% | -3.30% | 12.70% |
| 2023 | 6.98% | -3.00% | 2.30% | 1.29% | -1.24% | 4.72% | 2.66% | -2.29% | -4.29% | -2.68% | 8.49% | 5.37% | 18.79% |
| 2022 | -4.92% | -2.32% | 1.61% | -7.12% | 0.07% | -7.04% | 6.91% | -4.23% | -8.66% | 5.38% | 6.75% | -3.92% | -17.58% |
| 2021 | -0.50% | 2.06% | 2.61% | 3.95% | 1.17% | 1.37% | 1.54% | 1.83% | -3.63% | 4.56% | -1.95% | 3.59% | 17.55% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 0.72%, beta of 0.78, and R2 of 0.95 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 27, 2007.
- This portfolio participated in 84.70% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 81.33% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Alpha
- 0.72%
- Beta
- 0.78
- R²
- 0.95
- Upside Capture
- 81.33%
- Downside Capture
- 84.70%
Expense Ratio
Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.04%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio ranks 47 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.40 | 2.39 | +0.01 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.38 | 3.25 | +0.13 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.44 | 1.43 | +0.01 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.08 | 3.11 | -0.04 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.82 | 14.38 | -0.57 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 38 | 1.38 | 2.07 | 1.24 | 1.85 | 5.66 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 61 | 2.10 | 2.89 | 1.38 | 2.94 | 11.50 |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 23 | 0.75 | 1.11 | 1.14 | 1.20 | 3.80 |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 74 | 2.48 | 3.37 | 1.45 | 3.44 | 15.88 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio provided a 2.19% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.19% | 2.40% | 2.46% | 2.38% | 2.33% | 1.97% | 1.96% | 2.40% | 2.73% | 2.33% | 2.54% | 2.48% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.96% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.59% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 3.69% | 3.92% | 3.85% | 3.95% | 3.91% | 2.56% | 3.93% | 3.39% | 4.74% | 4.23% | 4.82% | 3.92% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.01% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio was 48.48%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 493 trading sessions.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -48.48%Mar 2009 | 1y 5mo | 1y 11mo | 3y 4moOct 2007 - Feb 2011 |
COVID crash2020 | -28.73%Mar 2020 | 1mo 4d | 5mo 4d | 6mo 8dFeb 2020 - Aug 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -24.52%Oct 2022 | 9mo 20d | 1y 4mo | 2y 1moDec 2021 - Feb 2024 |
2011 correction2011 | -16.89%Oct 2011 | 5mo 4d | 4mo 28d | 10mo 2dMay 2011 - Feb 2012 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -14.37%Dec 2018 | 3mo 26d | 3mo 8d | 7mo 4dAug 2018 - Apr 2019 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
AI Analysis
Thesis
The portfolio is a plain-vanilla equity core wrapped around a smaller bond and REIT sleeve, which is really a bet on broad market equity behavior with some interest-rate sensitivity around the edges.
The numbers
- The diversification ratio sits at 1.12-1.14, around the 22nd-31st percentile on the platform, so the portfolio has only a modest diversification benefit.
- The effective asset count is 2.99 of 4, which says the four labels are present, but three of them mostly behave like one equity block.
- Correlations are doing the usual thing: VTI (48%) and VEA (24%) are 0.83 correlated, and VNQ (8%) sits much closer to equities than to bonds.
What works
- BND (20%) is the one genuinely different sleeve; its near-zero correlation with VNQ and slight negative correlation with VTI gives the portfolio some ballast.
- The weights are not grotesquely concentrated, so the portfolio is not pretending that four holdings are four independent bets.
What does not
- VTI, VEA (Foreign Large Cap Equities), and VNQ (REIT) form a single cluster, so the portfolio’s equity risk is more concentrated than the ticker count suggests.
- The low DR across 1Y through Incept implies the positions have not been paying much diversification rent recently.
Stress Scenario
- A growth or inflation scare that pushes equities down while REITs reprice with rates would leave VTI, VEA, and VNQ moving together, while BND becomes the only offset.
Worth knowing
- Portfolios with this correlation profile are usually better thought of as one equity portfolio plus one bond sleeve, rather than as four equal sources of risk.
- The bond allocation is doing the arithmetic work here; the other sleeves are mostly making the equity story sound more plural than it is.
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.99, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.12 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.12, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.93 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.93 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.95 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.95 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 27, 2007 | 0.96 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTI has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while BND has the lowest at -0.14.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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