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40's
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40's, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 20, 2015, corresponding to the inception date of PYPL

Returns By Period

As of Apr 7, 2026, the 40's returned 0.77% Year-To-Date and 11.48% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.44%-1.90%-3.41%-1.91%30.31%17.22%10.14%12.44%
Portfolio
40's
-0.05%-1.27%0.77%-0.27%20.27%12.08%2.53%11.48%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
0.45%-1.56%-2.70%-1.22%32.43%18.56%10.52%13.90%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.60%-1.75%-4.08%-2.91%39.91%23.49%12.83%19.23%
VXUS
Vanguard Total International Stock ETF
0.63%0.09%3.46%6.23%40.04%15.81%7.50%9.05%
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
0.93%4.05%9.95%15.68%119.70%47.06%26.39%31.90%
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
0.35%-0.84%0.47%0.17%31.77%13.62%3.99%7.88%
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A
1.43%0.56%-4.09%19.95%106.75%40.77%21.99%23.06%
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
-2.15%-11.07%-21.55%-22.16%47.36%24.00%9.55%35.69%
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
-0.20%-4.53%-5.23%-4.73%-3.48%15.09%12.56%12.94%
SHV
iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF
0.01%0.27%0.87%1.82%3.97%4.67%3.20%2.17%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
0.31%-3.17%-21.86%-35.86%-21.67%-15.19%-29.12%1.76%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 21, 2015, 40's's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +0.93%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.2 years.

Historically, 58% of months were positive and 42% were negative. The best month was Aug 2020 with a return of +13.4%, while the worst month was Dec 2022 at -8.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, 40's closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 16, 2020 with a return of +9.6%, while the worst single day was Mar 23, 2020 at -11.0%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20261.73%-0.64%-0.42%0.10%0.77%
20251.72%-5.16%-2.22%4.13%3.43%1.66%-1.24%2.05%6.29%3.62%-0.67%-2.00%11.61%
2024-1.55%2.53%2.26%-0.13%0.43%1.98%3.56%-0.16%5.36%1.06%1.54%2.55%21.04%
20238.34%-0.72%3.74%-3.42%2.00%3.66%3.62%-3.74%-2.71%-5.05%4.73%3.34%13.64%
2022-2.53%-2.97%0.53%-7.24%-4.38%-7.51%7.64%-3.45%-5.88%-1.57%3.57%-7.96%-28.43%
20215.40%-2.01%-2.50%3.06%-1.70%1.99%0.55%1.12%-2.73%3.72%-0.06%-1.82%4.72%

Benchmark Metrics

40's has an annualized alpha of 8.31%, beta of 0.28, and R² of 0.13 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 21, 2015.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (48.82%) than losses (28.20%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.28 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.13 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.13 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
8.31%
Beta
0.28
0.13
Upside Capture
48.82%
Downside Capture
28.20%

Expense Ratio

40's has an expense ratio of 0.16%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

40's ranks 71 for risk / return — better than 71% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


40's Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
40's Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6969
Sharpe Ratio Rank
40's Sortino Ratio Rank: 6565
Sortino Ratio Rank
40's Omega Ratio Rank: 5757
Omega Ratio Rank
40's Calmar Ratio Rank: 9393
Calmar Ratio Rank
40's Martin Ratio Rank: 7070
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.11

1.84

+0.27

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.04

2.97

+0.07

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.38

1.40

-0.02

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

4.58

1.82

+2.76

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

10.87

7.76

+3.12


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
811.893.041.422.068.60
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
791.912.971.402.027.51
VXUS
Vanguard Total International Stock ETF
872.533.601.492.569.93
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
973.464.171.575.7320.62
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
761.902.711.371.987.00
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A
953.574.581.574.5017.12
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
640.881.561.190.892.18
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
21-0.21-0.170.98-0.76-1.30
SHV
iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF
10019.58152.3354.64443.152,490.75
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
16-0.54-0.510.93-0.64-1.43

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

40's Sharpe ratios as of Apr 7, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.11
  • 5-Year: 0.19
  • 10-Year: 0.81
  • All Time: 0.77

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.63 to 2.54, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 40's compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

40's provided a 1.12% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.12%1.13%1.29%1.29%1.11%0.72%0.68%1.14%1.14%0.88%0.87%1.02%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.16%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.48%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
VXUS
Vanguard Total International Stock ETF
2.93%3.18%3.37%3.24%3.09%3.10%2.14%3.06%3.18%2.73%2.93%2.83%
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
0.28%0.31%0.44%0.60%1.18%0.51%0.69%1.50%1.88%1.43%0.80%2.14%
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
2.69%2.79%3.20%3.52%4.11%2.63%1.91%3.23%2.88%2.30%2.52%3.26%
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A
0.28%0.27%0.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SHV
iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF
3.93%4.09%5.02%4.73%1.39%0.00%0.74%2.19%1.66%0.72%0.34%0.03%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
0.62%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40's. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 40's was 33.20%, occurring on Dec 28, 2022. Recovery took 677 trading sessions.

The current 40's drawdown is 2.17%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-33.2%Feb 17, 2021471Dec 28, 2022677Sep 11, 20251148
-19.62%Mar 19, 202012Apr 3, 202040Jun 2, 202052
-16.62%Sep 2, 2015316Dec 1, 2016286Jan 23, 2018602
-9.91%Sep 3, 202014Sep 23, 202044Nov 24, 202058
-7.6%Apr 4, 201941Jun 3, 2019102Oct 25, 2019143

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 11 assets, with an effective number of assets of 11.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkSHVTSLABRK-BPYPLGOOGLUVXYVWOSMHVXUSQQQVTIPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.040.480.650.610.69-0.770.680.780.800.910.990.56
SHV-0.041.00-0.04-0.07-0.03-0.030.09-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.04-0.040.02
TSLA0.48-0.041.000.220.380.39-0.400.380.460.390.550.490.64
BRK-B0.65-0.070.221.000.360.36-0.520.420.380.550.450.640.27
PYPL0.61-0.030.380.361.000.50-0.500.470.520.510.650.620.55
GOOGL0.69-0.030.390.360.501.00-0.550.500.580.540.760.670.52
UVXY-0.770.09-0.40-0.52-0.50-0.551.00-0.59-0.62-0.66-0.71-0.77-0.22
VWO0.68-0.020.380.420.470.50-0.591.000.630.880.650.690.49
SMH0.78-0.030.460.380.520.58-0.620.631.000.670.840.770.58
VXUS0.80-0.010.390.550.510.54-0.660.880.671.000.710.800.51
QQQ0.91-0.040.550.450.650.76-0.710.650.840.711.000.900.64
VTI0.99-0.040.490.640.620.67-0.770.690.770.800.901.000.57
Portfolio0.560.020.640.270.550.52-0.220.490.580.510.640.571.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jul 21, 2015