Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ABBV AbbVie Inc. | Healthcare | 11.02% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 3.04% |
CB Chubb Limited | Financial Services | 1.88% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | Consumer Defensive | 0.19% |
GE General Electric Company | Industrials | 7.74% |
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | Healthcare | 3.95% |
IBM International Business Machines Corporation | Technology | 2.98% |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | Healthcare | 11.85% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 2.83% |
PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | Technology | 3.60% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 10.01% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | Technology | 2.62% |
PM Philip Morris International Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 11.08% |
SO The Southern Company | Utilities | 8.24% |
T AT&T Inc. | Communication Services | 0.27% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | Communication Services | 1.34% |
WMT Walmart Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 8% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | Energy | 9.37% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced when any position deviates by more than 0.0% from its target allocation.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 30, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of PLTR
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.80% | 4.83% | 2.59% | 5.27% | 30.14% | 19.29% | 10.91% | 12.94% |
Portfolio Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space | -0.01% | -2.99% | 1.24% | 5.74% | 25.18% | 34.45% | 29.31% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | -1.89% | -8.50% | -15.65% | 9.84% | 20.41% | 35.16% | 38.12% | 30.34% |
PM Philip Morris International Inc. | -1.43% | -9.26% | -1.13% | 1.46% | 1.67% | 21.77% | 16.49% | 9.93% |
ABBV AbbVie Inc. | -0.05% | -5.10% | -7.29% | -6.36% | 21.73% | 12.83% | 18.43% | 18.12% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 2.36% | -1.65% | -5.97% | -5.46% | -22.39% | 17.47% | 17.91% | 23.02% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | -0.15% | -5.23% | 24.65% | 35.57% | 49.50% | 12.45% | 26.07% | 10.49% |
SO The Southern Company | -1.38% | -4.51% | 9.38% | -3.56% | 7.39% | 13.54% | 11.90% | 10.97% |
WMT Walmart Inc. | -0.23% | -0.77% | 12.21% | 14.90% | 33.94% | 37.67% | 23.24% | 20.52% |
GE General Electric Company | -1.28% | 3.27% | 2.06% | 4.87% | 69.97% | 61.18% | 36.94% | 9.03% |
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | -0.48% | -3.75% | 14.52% | 19.60% | 35.77% | 23.07% | 20.29% | 7.31% |
PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 1.56% | -1.99% | -10.91% | -20.60% | -5.44% | 18.06% | 21.84% | 21.48% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 1, 2020, Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space's average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.49%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.3 years.
Historically, 75% of months were positive and 25% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +16.3%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -5.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -7.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.86% | 3.57% | -4.66% | -0.33% | 1.24% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.81% | 9.22% | -2.20% | 2.64% | 1.67% | 2.84% | -1.43% | 2.47% | 4.28% | -0.26% | 5.25% | 0.37% | 34.60% |
| 2024 | 5.44% | 7.40% | 5.08% | -0.14% | 4.54% | 3.77% | 4.02% | 8.77% | 1.72% | 0.73% | 3.48% | -4.03% | 48.40% |
| 2023 | 3.12% | -0.58% | 5.31% | 2.15% | 0.43% | 5.74% | 2.94% | 2.35% | -0.85% | 0.51% | 5.60% | 1.78% | 32.18% |
| 2022 | 0.22% | 0.35% | 6.61% | -3.91% | 3.77% | -4.58% | 4.12% | -1.84% | -5.86% | 12.73% | 6.28% | -2.04% | 15.20% |
| 2021 | 2.70% | 2.83% | 3.04% | 3.64% | 3.02% | 3.37% | 0.22% | 4.17% | -4.84% | 5.07% | -2.67% | 8.33% | 32.19% |
Benchmark Metrics
Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space has an annualized alpha of 22.75%, beta of 0.64, and R² of 0.60 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 01, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 111.56% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 24.74% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 22.75% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.64 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 22.75%
- Beta
- 0.64
- R²
- 0.60
- Upside Capture
- 111.56%
- Downside Capture
- 24.74%
Expense Ratio
Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space ranks 41 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.21 | 2.30 | -0.08 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.15 | 3.18 | -0.03 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | 1.43 | -0.04 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.20 | 3.40 | +0.80 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 15.70 | 15.35 | +0.34 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 47 | 0.50 | 0.95 | 1.13 | 0.81 | 1.94 |
PM Philip Morris International Inc. | 33 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.03 | 0.28 | 0.57 |
ABBV AbbVie Inc. | 57 | 0.86 | 1.31 | 1.17 | 1.62 | 3.66 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7 | -0.99 | -1.31 | 0.85 | -0.76 | -1.19 |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | 82 | 2.18 | 2.79 | 1.35 | 3.77 | 13.71 |
SO The Southern Company | 43 | 0.47 | 0.77 | 1.09 | 0.59 | 1.44 |
WMT Walmart Inc. | 75 | 1.56 | 2.34 | 1.29 | 3.26 | 8.83 |
GE General Electric Company | 84 | 2.44 | 2.98 | 1.40 | 3.54 | 12.94 |
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 70 | 1.28 | 1.99 | 1.23 | 2.88 | 8.25 |
PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 26 | -0.16 | 0.02 | 1.00 | -0.07 | -0.17 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space provided a 2.40% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.40% | 1.93% | 2.05% | 2.33% | 2.28% | 3.18% | 3.37% | 3.46% | 3.52% | 2.77% | 2.93% | 2.92% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 0.69% | 0.56% | 0.67% | 0.78% | 1.07% | 1.23% | 1.75% | 1.96% | 1.94% | 2.46% | 2.77% | 2.37% |
PM Philip Morris International Inc. | 3.66% | 3.52% | 4.40% | 5.46% | 4.98% | 5.16% | 5.73% | 5.43% | 6.73% | 3.99% | 4.50% | 4.60% |
ABBV AbbVie Inc. | 3.23% | 2.87% | 3.49% | 3.82% | 3.49% | 3.84% | 4.41% | 4.83% | 3.89% | 2.65% | 3.64% | 3.41% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6.91% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | 2.71% | 3.32% | 3.57% | 3.68% | 3.22% | 5.70% | 8.44% | 4.92% | 4.74% | 3.66% | 3.30% | 3.69% |
SO The Southern Company | 3.13% | 3.37% | 3.47% | 3.96% | 3.78% | 3.82% | 4.13% | 3.86% | 5.42% | 4.78% | 4.52% | 4.60% |
WMT Walmart Inc. | 0.76% | 0.84% | 0.92% | 1.45% | 1.58% | 1.52% | 1.50% | 1.78% | 2.23% | 2.07% | 2.89% | 3.20% |
GE General Electric Company | 0.49% | 0.47% | 0.67% | 0.25% | 0.38% | 0.34% | 0.37% | 4.12% | 4.89% | 4.81% | 2.94% | 2.95% |
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 2.28% | 2.57% | 3.33% | 3.70% | 3.40% | 3.91% | 4.67% | 3.88% | 3.65% | 2.90% | 2.57% | 1.27% |
PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space was 12.31%, occurring on Jun 17, 2022. Recovery took 92 trading sessions.
The current Candidate (3/23/25), 1/2 sample space drawdown is 4.97%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -12.31% | Apr 11, 2022 | 48 | Jun 17, 2022 | 92 | Oct 28, 2022 | 140 |
| -12.28% | Mar 3, 2025 | 27 | Apr 8, 2025 | 15 | Apr 30, 2025 | 42 |
| -7.06% | Oct 13, 2020 | 12 | Oct 28, 2020 | 7 | Nov 6, 2020 | 19 |
| -6.6% | Mar 2, 2026 | 20 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -5.29% | Sep 15, 2023 | 13 | Oct 3, 2023 | 9 | Oct 16, 2023 | 22 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 18 assets, with an effective number of assets of 12.03, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | XOM | PLTR | PANW | NVDA | LLY | T | SO | GILD | PM | ABBV | PGR | TMUS | AVGO | WMT | CB | GE | IBM | COST | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.68 | 0.34 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.69 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| XOM | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 0.43 |
| PLTR | 0.53 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.10 | 0.07 | -0.05 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| PANW | 0.52 | 0.05 | 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.19 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.44 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| NVDA | 0.68 | 0.04 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.19 | -0.04 | -0.07 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.15 | 0.67 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| LLY | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.58 |
| T | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.07 | 0.05 | -0.04 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.28 | 0.36 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.37 | -0.01 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.15 | 0.36 |
| SO | 0.21 | 0.16 | -0.05 | 0.01 | -0.07 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.32 | -0.03 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| GILD | 0.30 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 0.12 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| PM | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.07 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.50 |
| ABBV | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.38 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.54 |
| PGR | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 0.51 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| TMUS | 0.32 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| AVGO | 0.69 | 0.08 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.67 | 0.20 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| WMT | 0.34 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| CB | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.51 | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
| GE | 0.54 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.38 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.56 |
| IBM | 0.49 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.51 |
| COST | 0.53 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.59 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.48 |
| Portfolio | 0.71 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 1.00 |