Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Random Walk, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 4, 2013, corresponding to the inception date of VWOB
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the Random Walk returned -1.48% Year-To-Date and 8.60% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Random Walk | 0.07% | -0.97% | -1.48% | 0.12% | 10.14% | 11.50% | 7.56% | 8.60% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 1.36% | -4.43% | 3.06% | 1.04% | 2.95% | 7.33% | 3.14% | 4.85% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.22% | -0.98% | 0.31% | 0.85% | 4.27% | 3.53% | 0.30% | 1.70% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | -0.77% | -2.79% | 3.65% | 8.84% | 30.37% | 16.09% | 8.76% | 9.49% |
VWOB Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF | 0.18% | -2.07% | -1.09% | 1.20% | 8.85% | 8.12% | 2.14% | 3.52% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
FFRHX Fidelity Floating Rate High Income Fund | 0.00% | 0.45% | -0.50% | 0.88% | 4.89% | 7.08% | 5.20% | 4.99% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 5, 2013, Random Walk's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.65%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 8.9 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +7.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -12.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Random Walk closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 26, 2020 with a return of +4.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -6.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.71% | -0.72% | -1.82% | 0.37% | -1.48% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.57% | -0.69% | -2.61% | -0.65% | 3.55% | 2.68% | 1.22% | 1.25% | 1.82% | 1.05% | 0.32% | 0.37% | 10.19% |
| 2024 | 0.74% | 2.71% | 1.40% | -1.45% | 2.33% | 0.90% | 1.19% | 1.22% | 1.24% | 0.30% | 3.36% | -1.03% | 13.59% |
| 2023 | 4.23% | -0.69% | 1.16% | 1.04% | 0.02% | 4.12% | 2.16% | -0.11% | -1.51% | -1.19% | 4.52% | 3.18% | 18.01% |
| 2022 | -2.26% | -1.27% | 1.39% | -3.70% | -1.51% | -4.83% | 4.88% | -0.57% | -5.36% | 3.97% | 2.93% | -2.31% | -8.89% |
| 2021 | 0.32% | 1.77% | 1.37% | 2.38% | 0.59% | 1.17% | 0.60% | 1.57% | -1.43% | 3.00% | -0.89% | 1.92% | 13.00% |
Benchmark Metrics
Random Walk has an annualized alpha of 2.29%, beta of 0.45, and R² of 0.92 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 05, 2013.
- This portfolio participated in 51.32% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 50.98% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.29% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.45 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 2.29%
- Beta
- 0.45
- R²
- 0.92
- Upside Capture
- 50.98%
- Downside Capture
- 51.32%
Expense Ratio
Random Walk has an expense ratio of 0.41%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Random Walk ranks 48 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.21 | 0.88 | +0.33 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.79 | 1.37 | +0.42 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.28 | 1.21 | +0.07 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.66 | 1.39 | +0.27 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.96 | 6.43 | +1.52 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 16 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 1.05 | 0.29 | 1.11 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 48 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 1.18 | 1.71 | 4.64 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 83 | 1.73 | 2.36 | 1.35 | 2.64 | 10.14 |
VWOB Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF | 70 | 1.36 | 1.88 | 1.29 | 1.97 | 7.94 |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
FFRHX Fidelity Floating Rate High Income Fund | 74 | 1.46 | 2.06 | 1.49 | 1.70 | 8.23 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Random Walk provided a 4.51% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 4.51% | 4.90% | 4.67% | 5.52% | 2.95% | 2.13% | 2.88% | 3.80% | 3.66% | 3.11% | 3.43% | 3.01% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 3.86% | 3.92% | 3.85% | 3.95% | 3.91% | 2.56% | 3.93% | 3.39% | 4.74% | 4.23% | 4.82% | 3.92% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.92% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.90% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
VWOB Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF | 5.95% | 5.92% | 6.08% | 5.50% | 5.30% | 4.04% | 4.18% | 4.58% | 4.52% | 4.61% | 4.71% | 4.93% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
FFRHX Fidelity Floating Rate High Income Fund | 6.75% | 7.41% | 6.94% | 8.24% | 3.81% | 2.74% | 3.84% | 5.15% | 4.74% | 4.05% | 4.44% | 3.69% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Random Walk. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Random Walk was 27.31%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 112 trading sessions.
The current Random Walk drawdown is 2.50%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -27.31% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 112 | Aug 31, 2020 | 135 |
| -13.12% | Jan 4, 2022 | 187 | Sep 30, 2022 | 187 | Jun 30, 2023 | 374 |
| -10.12% | Oct 4, 2018 | 56 | Dec 24, 2018 | 66 | Apr 1, 2019 | 122 |
| -9.49% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 52 | Jun 24, 2025 | 86 |
| -9.35% | May 22, 2015 | 183 | Feb 11, 2016 | 75 | May 31, 2016 | 258 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.92, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BND | FFRHX | VWOB | VNQ | VEA | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 0.80 | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| BND | -0.02 | 1.00 | -0.01 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 0.04 | -0.01 | -0.02 |
| FFRHX | 0.28 | -0.01 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| VWOB | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| VNQ | 0.58 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| VEA | 0.80 | 0.04 | 0.30 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| VTI | 0.99 | -0.01 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Portfolio | 0.96 | -0.02 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.59 | 0.80 | 0.97 | 1.00 |